attacks

If the US attacks Iran like Venezuela, it will be a drain in both directions.

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In recent weeks, the United States has concentrated hundreds of aircraft and support assets around the Middle East, while commercial satellites captured unusual movements around the Iranian capital. That combination of deployments and repositioning It has raised tension and forced us to rethink calculations about what a direct collision would really entail. The temptation to copy Caracas. I remembered this morning the new york times that when Donald Trump compared an eventual offensive against Iran with the lightning operation which allowed Nicolás Maduro to be captured in Caracas, raised the idea of ​​rapid, surgical and decisive action. The problem is that the parallelism is quite misleading from its strategic basis. Venezuela offered a aging airspace and weakly defended, in addition to an accessible political objective, while Tehran is supported by a theocratic structure consolidated for almost half a century, a Revolutionary Guard of some 150,000 troops and a regional network of militias that can open multiple fronts. There is no “clean” or low-cost option, and any attempt to decapitate the regime would involve a sustained campaign with real risk of American casualties and regional escalation. And not only that. Satellite images. The latest images commercial flights from space through Airbus and Planet Labs have shown something that changes the calculus: the relocation of S-300 systems long-range around Tehran and Isfahan, accompanied by the Cobra-V8 electronic warfare in key positions south of the capital. This combination combines interceptors capable of hitting targets hundreds of kilometers away with powerful jamming capabilities in critical bands for radars, satellite links and designation pods, which points directly to the US “kill chain” before the missiles even enter their range. The signal is clear: Iran not only wants or can fire, it also wants blinddegrade and force attackers to operate closer and with greater exposure. A shield that complicates air attack. He S-300PMU-2with high-speed missiles and three-dimensional radars optimized for detect targets at low altitudesuch as drones and cruise missiles, constitutes the hard shell of the Iranian system, while the Cobra-V8 system seeks to erode and wear down the sensory advantage of American platforms like AWACS or even electronic suppression aircraft. Although there are doubts about the full integration of these systems and the absence of advanced fighters that act as overhead sensors, their deployment near the capital suggests an architecture designed to survive the first wave of attacks and force Washington to devote additional resources to suppression and electronic warfare. In other words, it is no longer just about dropping bombs, but about winning a previous battle in the electromagnetic spectrum. Missiles and multiple fronts. Added to this defensive armor is one of the missile arsenals wider Middle Eastwith medium-range systems capable of hitting US bases and allied cities more than 2,000 kilometersin addition to drones, anti-ship weapons and recent sea-based air defense tests in the Strait of Hormuz. In fact, it is entirely plausible that Iran could scale quickly through its so-called “axis of resistance”, activating Hezbollah, the Houthis or Iraqi militias to disperse the cost and expand the theater of the conflict. All this, of course, while threatening a road along which nearly a fifth of of world oil and gas. The logic, therefore, is dissuasive: any blow against Tehran would have an immediate echo in Israel, in the Gulf and in the planet’s energy trade. An indentation in both directions. The result of this equation is that the comparison with Caracas is diluted facing a scenario where the Iranian capital has become a strongly defended and electromagnetically contested space. The satellite images do not show a disarmed country, but one that has strengthened its core strategic in anticipation of a modern aerial suppression campaign. In short, if the United States plans to attack as he did it in Venezuelayou will not face an operational vacuum, but rather an environment saturated with missilesinterference and possible regional retaliation, a full-blown clash that threatens to become a combat with casualties in both directions from day one. Image | Airbus, Planet Labs In Xataka | If the US attacks Iran with drones, it will find a surprise: Russia has shielded its sky with an explosive weapon, Verba In Xataka | It is so small that it can barely be seen from space, but this secret island is the main problem for the US to attack Iran

If the US attacks Iran with drones, it will be in for a surprise. Russia shielded its sky with an explosive weapon: Verba

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It we count last week. In the Middle East, crises rarely erupt overnight. First pieces move away from the spotlight, discreet commitments are signed and deployments multiply that seem routine. Only later, when everything falls into place, do you understand that the board had been preparing for something bigger for weeks. Now we know that Washington has not been the only one that has prepared. Agreement sealed in the shadows. counted this morning in an exclusive the financial times that Iran and Russia signed a secret contract of almost 500 million euros for delivery of 500 lVerba portable spears and 2,500 9M336 missiles. It would be Tehran’s most significant move to rebuild air defenses devastated after the 12 day war against Israel. The Iranian request came just days after its integrated network was seriously degraded by Israeli and American attacks, which allowed enemy aircraft to operate with superiority over large areas of the country. The agreement provides deliveries until 2029although the media explained that there are indications of early shipments, and it is complemented with night vision devices and other equipment that points to a phased but urgent reconstruction. What are Verba and why do they matter. The Verba system is a portable guided missile infrared designed to shoot down drones, cruise missiles and low-level aircraft such as helicopters, operated by small mobile teams that can deploy dispersed defenses without depending on fixed radars vulnerable to bombing. These are not heavy strategic systems like lthe S-300 or S-400but rather a flexible tactical layer that complicates helicopter operations and low-level flights. Its adoption is rapid, requires less integration and allows Iran to reinforce critical points at a relatively acceptable cost for Moscow, which can supply them without weakening substantially its own defense against Ukraine. Verba missile carrier A military alliance despite sanctions. Apparently the contract was negotiated between Rosoboronexport and the Iranian Ministry of Defense, with intermediaries already sanctioned by Washington, in a context of growing cooperation that includes Iranian drones employed by Russia in Ukraine and a bilateral treaty signed in 2025. Moscow thus demonstrates that it has no intention of abiding by Western sanctions or the arms embargo reactivated by European powers, while Tehran tries rebuild the relationship following the perception that Russia did not come to their aid during the latest conflict with Israel. The flow of cargo flights and the reception of attack helicopters Mi-28 reinforce the image of a active and sustained military association. The largest deployment since 2003. It we count last week. The agreement emerges in parallel to a massive accumulation of American air and naval power in the Middle East, with dozens of F-35, F-15 and A-10 fighters deployed at bases such as Muwaffaq Salti in Jordan and Prince Sultan in Saudi Arabia, in addition to two aircraft carrier groups led by the USS Abraham Lincoln and the USS Gerald R. Ford. In total, about 40,000 troops and a fleet comparable to the one before the 2003 invasion of Iraq support Donald Trump’s threats to impose a nuclear ultimatum on Tehran. Iran, for its part, warns that it would respond by attacking US bases in the region if hit. A reinforcement that changes the risk calculation. The new systems They will not turn Iran into a conventional rival comparable to the United States or Israel, of course, nor will they prevent sustained air campaigns if these are executed with technological superiority. However, they can raise cost and risk of specific operations, especially helicopter raids or low-altitude attacks, and prolong a possible conflict by making initial phases of aerial suppression difficult. In an environment where each shootdown would have a disproportionate political and strategic impact, the mere presence of hundreds of mobile launchers introduces a tactical deterrence variable. A preparation race. What does seem quite clear is that the combination Iranian rearmament and American deployment draws a scenario of maximum tension in which diplomacy and force advance in parallel. Tehran seeks to buy time, rebuild defensive layers and negotiate from a less vulnerable position. Washington tries to pressure with a demonstration of power without recent precedents in the region. What happens in the coming weeks will not only determine whether there is an attack or an agreement, but also whether the Russian-Iranian alliance is consolidated as a military axis capable of openly challenging the sanctions regime and reconfiguring the strategic balance of the Middle East. Image | ТАСС In Xataka | It is so small that it can barely be seen from space, but this secret island is the main problem for the US to attack Iran In Xataka | If the most advanced US nuclear aircraft carrier maintains its speed it will reach its destination on Sunday: a bad omen for Iran

The alleged PcComponentes hack affects 16 million customers. It’s another nightmare for phishing attacks

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In Hackmanac Cybersecurity alerts reporting alleged hacks and massive data thefts around the world are frequent. One of the last notices, posted yesterdayaffects a Spanish company on the rise: PcComponentes. If confirmed, the alleged data theft would have affected a huge number of users. 16 million affected. According to these data, a cyber attacker using the alias ‘daghetiaw’ claimed to have managed to infiltrate PcComponentes. By doing so, it has obtained the data of 16.3 million customers, specifically: DNI/NIF Orders and invoices Address Contact details (phone) Credit card metadata (type, expiration date) IP address A sample that seems to confirm the hack. The author of the cyberattack wanted to demonstrate that the database he managed to obtain is legitimate, and to do so he has published a free extract of 500,000 users. That is already a very bad sign and seems to confirm that this hack and massive data theft has indeed been successful. There were already problems a year ago. An This failure exposed a database with access credentials. And everything fits. In The Computer Chapuzas They have contacted 0xBogart and obtained more information about that incident. This user actually talks about the fact that a database from August 2023 was already stolen and that then “it had 11,951,125 users, it makes sense that in 2026 they will have 16 million.” This expert had access to PcComponentes’ servers for five years, and only lost it “when they abandoned their data center for Amazon Web Services,” he indicates in the El Chapuzas Informático text. Pc Componentes has not confirmed the hack. At the moment those responsible for Pc Componentes have neither confirmed nor denied the massive data theft. At Xataka we are trying to contact the company to clarify the details. Meanwhile, those responsible have 72 hours from when the hack was discovered to notify the Spanish Data Protection Agency (AEPD). Up next: phishing attacks. This new massive data theft represents a potential nightmare for PcComponentes customers. If the hack is confirmed, all that data could be used for much more convincing phishing attacks: the more information cyber attackers have about us, the more they can “convince” us with messages that appear to be authentic and that manage to confuse us. Or phishing. There is also the danger of identity theft: the stolen data allows the creation of a “user profile” with which a cybercriminal can impersonate one person to deceive another with social engineering techniques. If the database has been leaked there is little that PcComponentes clients can do because their information will already be exposed. It has not been clear if there are passwords included for access to the company website in the massive data theft, but our recommendation is to change that access password as soon as possible. In Xataka | The leak of 16 billion passwords would be the largest in history. If it weren’t for the fact that it’s a gigantic rehash

Japan has a problem with bear attacks in its cities. So they have started eating them

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If it is true that every crisis hides an opportunity, in Japan they have taken it to a new dimension. For some time now, the country of the rising sun has been dealing with a serious problem of bear attacks on humans, which has left more than a dozen victims since last spring. The authorities have been searching for some time the way to solve itbut there are those who have already found a way to benefit from it: the psychosis due to encounters with plantigrades is coming accompanied by what seems to be a growing interest in their meat. In Japan the (gastronomic) taste for these animals it’s not newbut there are hoteliers who they assure that demand is growing so much that they are unable to satisfy it. And they are clear about the reason: the news about attacks. Beware of the bears. Japan has long grappled with a serious problem birth rate, a trend that comes accompanied by the abandonment of rural areas and farmlands. That’s nothing new. Nor anything that Spain (and many other countries) has experienced firsthand. What is curious is the effect that this population decline is causing, combined with other factors, such as climate change, fluctuations in harvests and the increase in the populations of certain wild animals: an ‘epidemic’ of human bear attacks. One figure: 13 dead. With more bears prowling through the mountains, when acorns are scarce, the animals choose to approach towns and cities… with the risk that this implies. Sometimes his encounters with humans remain just that, scares, like what happened in october when a 1.4 m specimen sneaked into a supermarket in Numata. Other times the outcome is more tragic. According to the Government, between April and November 13 people died by claws and bites from these animals. To them are added 230 injured. It is the worst balance since the country began studying the phenomenon in 2006. Is the problem that serious? Yes. The figures are eloquent. And not only those of attacks, injuries and deaths. The japanese press (even the international) has been echoing the increase in sightings of bears, the increase in captured specimens and the problem that these animals are beginning to represent, which has led companies to look for ways to protect their employees and administrations to consider strategies to address the problem. Proof of how desperate the Government is is that it has approved emergency hunts and even has turned to the army. 13 deaths may not be a high number in a country of almost 123 million of inhabitants, but it is high enough to set off alarms, especially in certain regions. There are basically two species in the country: Asian black bears and brown bears, which can be found in Hokkaido and whose population has skyrocketed in the last three decades, reaching 11,500 individuals. according to The Japan Times. A delicious threat. All of the above was more or less known. In recent weeks local media such as The Mainichi, The Asashi Shimbun, NHK World Japan However, they have published articles that suggest something else: that in the midst of a wave of attacks, the Japanese seem to be rediscovering the pleasure of a good slice of grilled bear. a few days ago The Japan Times He even spoke with the owners of a restaurant located in a mountainous area of ​​Saitama who say they are having difficulty meeting the growing demand for meat. “With the increase in news about bears, the number of customers who want to eat their meat has increased,” explains to the newspaper the head of the business, Koji Suzuki. His wife confirms that they have even been forced to turn away clients. Another Sapporo restaurant presume also of the success of their “bear soup” and in Aomori there is a population that is promoting wild bear meat as a local gastronomic specialty. Those who promote the use of bear meat from the sector claim that it is a local and they insist in the usefulness of using the meat of slaughtered animals. Is it something new? Yes. And no. As Suzuki and Katsushiko Kakuta, a restaurant manager in Aomori, explain, bear meat seems to be arousing special interest among the Japanese, but for them it is not a new product. Does five years in Nishimeya (Aomori) they even opened a center to process meat from wild bears captured in the Shirakami-Sanchi mountains. And in 2023 in Akita they installed neither more nor less than a vending machine which sells 250 g of fresh meat from bears caught by hunters in the region for 2,200 yen. “Most say it’s delicious”. Kiyoshi Fujimoto, Sapporo chef, confesses that, in your opinion“now there are more people” interested in his bear meat-based recipe. What’s more, he assures that “most people who try it say it’s delicious.” The truth is that in Japan not only attacks and victims have increased. The captures of animals have also done so, which has forced the authorities to face the challenge of what to do with their corpses. Chosun remember that, although there are restaurants in the country that serve their meat, the law is restrictive on the consumption of slaughtered bears, so many end up incinerated. Images |Lucas Law (Unsplash), Adam Kolmacka (Unsplash) and Suzi Kim (Unsplash) In Xataka | A Japanese restaurant has taken its obsession with fresh fish to the extreme: it lets you catch it yourself

China had a tank more typical of science fiction. Now he has added a hypersonic missile in a video that attacks Japan

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China presented in August to the world a family of vehicles that broke with the classic logic of armored warfare: the Type 100 hybrid tank and its support vehicles ZBD-100. With barely 40 tons, these armored vehicles mix the lightness of a rapid deployment tank with an electronic architecture capable of converting them into nodes of a system hyperconnected combat. Now it has presented something more disturbing: a hypersonic missile aimed at a target. The Type 100 as a symbol. The robotic turret of the armored vehicles presented, their optical and laser sensors distributed throughout the hull and the fusion of data with drones and external radars give them a situational awareness which surpasses that of many Western cars. China does not seek to reproduce the heavy paradigm of the Abrams or the Leopard, but get ahead of him: Prioritizes sensors over armor, information on raw power, mobility over mass and active survivability against direct fire. His GL-6 system active protection, based on AESA radars that monitor an entire hemisphere, represents this new philosophy: in a battlefield saturated by drones, mines and loitering missiles, armor is no longer measured in centimeters of steel, but in milliseconds of electronic reaction. And more. The autonomy of its attack modules, the use of loads capable of imitating the power of the Abrams despite the smaller caliber and the incorporation of kamikaze drones from the support vehicles point to an ecosystem expressly conceived for contemporary war. He Type 100 also shows the Chinese commitment to lighter platforms that can operate in mountains, rice fields or coastlines, with less demanding logistics and easier to deploy near Taiwan or in possible points of friction with India. Overall, this armored vehicle reflects a theoretical break: China is betting on complete computerization of land combat and the massive use of distributed systems that share data in real time, something that can be decisive if it can be reliably integrated into doctrine and training. Type 100 The leap: low-cost hypersonics. Now, private company Lingkong Tianxing’s announcement that it is already mass manufacturing YKJ-1000 hypersonic missiles at a cost equivalent to 10% of a conventional missile It represents a profound alteration of the military balance in the Asia-Pacific. The fact that a private actor has entered into the systematic production of Mach 5-7 weapons points an industrial transition important: China is moving the frontier of war innovation outside of state monopolies, accelerating technological cycles and reducing prices to levels unthinkable for equivalent programs in the United States, where long-range hypersonics around 40 million dollars per unit. A clear threat. The YKJ-1000 not only stands out for its speed and its range of up to 1,300 kilometers, enough to cover the entirety of Japan from northern China, but also for its architecture autonomy-oriented: detection, target selection, defense evasion and evasive maneuvers in mid-flight. Its ability to travel inside standard shipping containers makes it a weapon hidden deploymentdispersible and easily moved by road or ship, adding strategic uncertainty in any crisis scenario. Plus: the images that close the promotional video (several missiles flying towards targets in Japan) constitute an unmistakable message in the midst of increasing regional tensions. The promise of a future version with integrated artificial intelligence anticipates a generation of cheap, extremely fast missiles designed to overwhelm or deceive defensesgenerating a new family of threats that could multiply in numbers that current anti-aircraft systems are simply not prepared to absorb. Frame from the missile video Japan, Taiwan and an escalation. The appearance of the YKJ-1000 comes at a time when relations between China and Japan are going through its most delicate phase in a decade. The statements of the new Japanese Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, hinting at a military response if Taiwan were attacked, have been interpreted in Beijing as a strategic shift of enormous significance. It we have counted: China has responded with travel advisories, flight cancellations and a public campaign suggesting Tokyo is getting dangerously close. to a red line. For Japan, China’s accelerated militarization is not an abstract phenomenon: it is a direct challenge to its sea routes, its energy security and its commitment to deterrence in the Taiwan Strait. For China, on the other hand, Japan is an actor that can decisively influence the American presence in the region. An intimidating missile. In this context, the massive deployment of the YKJ-1000 (capable of reaching bases in Okinawa, Kyushu or Hokkaido in minutes) takes on a obvious political component: It is a weapon designed both to operate and to intimidate. Furthermore, the mobile container system complicates pre-detection, while the multiplication of low-cost hypersonic platforms increases the pressure on Tokyo to reinforce anti-missile systems which, even in their most advanced configuration, were designed for slower, more predictable threats. He result is a spiral in which Japan accelerates its rearmament, the United States reinforces its air and naval presence and China responds by further expanding its panoply of both conventional and hypersonic missiles. Armored and missiles in it ship. What makes these developments more than isolated advances is their internal coherence. So much the Type 100 as the YKJ-1000 They reflect the same emerging doctrine: war based on saturation, speed, autonomy and distributed networks. The tank is not just a vehicle, it is a sensory node capable of sharing data with drones, radars and aerial platforms. And the hypersonic missile is not just a projectile, it is a mobile, cheap and difficult to intercept weapon designed to exploit vulnerabilities in complex systems. China is incorporating into its planning the idea that future conflicts will be decided by the ability to integrate sensors, automate decisions, and generate waves of simultaneous threats that outpace the adversary’s response. An island in the background. Thus, in a hypothetical attack on Taiwan, or in a limited confrontation with Japan, this synergy could allow China to combine computerized ground forces with hypersonic attacks of saturation intended to degrade enemy defenses, air bases and command nodes in the first minutes of the crisis. An explosive … Read more

The main problem of Europe’s rearmament is a number. If Russia attacks its borders, it has 45 days to roam freely

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The scene took place a decade ago at a Polish station, when several American Bradleys lost their turrets when passing under a platform that was too low, symbolizing a problem that Europe never solved: the structural vulnerability of your military logistics network. on a continent that is rearmed at a vunknown speed since the Cold War, the shortcomings are not only found in the absence of more tanks, ammunition or entire brigades, but in the physical inability to move them in time. The hidden fragility. In the month of July already we count the first indication. Then Europe realized that rearmament I had to start on the roads under a very simple premise: a Russian invasion would unleash fatal congestion. In fact, the invasion of Ukraine in 2022 is already exposed that reality. France could not transfer his Leclercs to Romania via the shortest land route through Germany and was forced to send them by sea, a deviation that evidenced what military planners have been pointing out with frustration for years: Europe is not prepared to move a modern army from its western ports to the eastern border in a credible time frame for deterrence. Now, in addition, he is certain of a number: deterrence takes about 45 daysand in a real scenario it would be equivalent to losing a war before appearing on the front, so it is imperative to reduce. How much? The plan is to reduce it five or even three daysaccording to the objectives that Brussels is finalizing. That is the heart of problem that obsesses to German General Alexander Sollfrank: that everything, from documentation to the resistance of a tunnel and the availability of a train driver, will work “like a Swiss clock” when Moscow tests NATO’s reaction capacity. The political challenge. They remembered in the Financial Times that even before the first armored train crosses Europe, the critical obstacle is political. The experience of 2022 showed that, although US intelligence accurately warned of the imminent Russian attack, some European leaders did not believe that Putin would give the order. Military mobilization can only begin once governments accept that the threat is real, and that delay (hours or days) is gold for the aggressor. General Ben Hodges, former commander of US forces in Europe, formulated it to put it bluntly: the key is not just how to move troops, but how to speed up decision-making, open ammunition depots, activate convoys and do it before Russia launch your offensive. And more. Added to this is the strategic unknown of Donald Trump, whose record of oscillations against Russia keeps Europe in constant tension: even if Washington claims to remain committed with Article 5clarity, synchronicity and speed could be conditioned by your posture. Only when that political decision is made will the massive movement to the east begin, a flow whose magnitude (200,000 soldiers and thousands of armored vehicles from the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom) demands a continental precision no priors. Geography as an enemy. That said, almost all analysts agree: the real bottleneck of European defense is on your physical map. Europe, despite being a densely developed continent, is not designed to move heavy divisions from one end to the other. The tunnels are too low, the clearances too narrow, the Baltic roads incompatible with those of the rest of the continent, the bridges (such as the collapsed Carola in Dresden in 2024) too old to support the weight of a modern tank. Even the inclination of the railway track can become at a risk When a train transports armored vehicles: the cargo could overturn. The realization of this reality led Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania to launch the Rail Baltica projecta €24 billion investment explicitly designed to support oversized military trains and eliminate the dangerous process of transferring vehicles between networks with different gauges. And on the Peninsula. In Spain and Portugal, the situation is similarmaking any urgent transfer from the peninsula difficult. Germany, which should act as Europe’s great military highway, is perhaps the most worrying example: exhausted roads, bridges in critical condition and a railway network that years ago was no longer suitable for high-intensity operations. The logistical dimension. Moving an army in Europe is not just a matter of infrastructure: it is also a administrative nightmare. Since most of the countries crossed would not be formally at war, their labor and customs laws would remain in force even in full military mobilization. A convoy crossing three borders could clash to three different regulations on mandatory breaks for truck drivers, incompatible customs procedures or transit permits that must be issued on paper, since NATO avoids digital documents for fear of cyberattacks. Germany, Poland and the Netherlands have tried to break this labyrinth by creating a “military Schengen” embryonic, but regulation remains fragmented, slow and vulnerable. Brussels has identified 2,800 critical points of infrastructure that need urgent modernization, although only 500 have been prioritized, and the fulfillment of the plans depends on governments whose political priorities change every year. Added to this complexity is the vehicle multiplication and calibers in service, which makes it almost impossible to standardize the logistics chain. As Sollfrank warnsyou cannot plan every “screw”, but you can plan the scenarios, and today Europe is just beginning to understand the real scale of the problem. The industry as a decisive link. Plus: the modernization of military mobility requires not only adapting bridges and roads, but also rebuilding industrial capacity to transport a contemporary army. A light division may require up to 200 trains, each with more than 40 cars, which represents more than 8,000 logistics platforms for a single operational movement. European railway companies, from Deutsche Bahn to Baltic operators, are signing agreements to reserve military capabilities, while Rheinmetall begins to offer complete services for convoys crossing Germany, from mobile dormitories to emergency workshops. But Europe does not produce enough high-capacity railcars or specialized vehicles, and the industry requires joint tenders and unified specifications to be able to produce … Read more

It is called cheapflation and it directly attacks the most basic products

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In recent years the inflation seemed to subside on the charts, but not where millions of homes feel it: the supermarket. Under this appearance of normality, a silent and structural shift has been taking place that does not hit everyone equally: because what increases the most is not luxury, but the essentials, and it is paid for by those who cannot stop buying it. One word sums it up and explains it perfectly. Cheapflation. I remembered this morning the newspaper El País that food inflation has not been neutral: it hits harder the less you have. Thus, the so-called cheapflation (the disproportionate increase in the cost of the cheapest products) has raised the price of basic foods by 37% between 2021 and 2024, compared to 23% for high-end foods. The result: the poor households spend more proportion of their income in essential goods, and when they try to lower their basket by replacing commercial brands with white brands or smaller formats, they discover that these ranges are precisely the ones that have increased the most. The burden is not only economic: the qualitative degradation of the diet in households with financial stress has an impact on health, and in Spain the ECB indicators show a gap “exceptional and persistent” between food and the rest of the prices from 2022, consolidating a structural, not cyclical, shock. Pandemic, energy neck and Ukraine. The sequence that triggered cheapflation is recognizable: the exit from confinements with the demand running ahead of the offer, the later energy escalation and logistics, and that war in Ukraine that has only been stress fertilizerscereals and fuels. The ECB estimates a +30% accumulated in food in the eurozone since 2019, and in Spain, groceries have risen more than 30% from 2021 (compared to 19% of the general CPI), with essentials such as meat, milk, butter between +30% and +50%and extreme peaks in olive oil, coffee or cocoa, with increases up to 80%. The hidden layer. The increase in food is not explained only by wars or general inflation, but by how it is organized the market itself. Since the 2008 crisis, basic foodstuffs have been traded as a financial product on futures exchanges, which allows for speculative movements that push up prices. Account the investigation from the Barcelona Urban Research Institute (IDRA) that at the same time the world cereal trade is in the hands of only five large companies that control between 70% and 90% of the market and they also participate on both sides: in the physical grain and in the financial business linked to that grain. Between 2021 and 2022 they obtained record profits, some multiplied by three on previous levels. That combination (few hands managing the product and the price) means that any global shock translates into higher prices faster and with more strength. Spain as a laboratory. According to the same report from the Barcelona Institute, in Spain, both manufacturers and distributors captured extraordinary margins in inflationary phase: agri-food leads the rise in margins with +38.1% since 2020; The large distribution groups declared record profits (7.5 billion in 2024), while salaries in the sector are below average and pockets of precariousness persist, such as in fruit in Lleida and Andalusia. The contrast in this sense is clear: income moves from consumers and labor to capital concentrated in an oligopolistic market whose pricing power has not been contested. Non-intervention policy. The report also pointed out that when the market is left to resolve itself, the same thing almost always happens: the hard of the cost remains in families (worse and more expensive food, more deprivation, more inequality) and the extraordinary benefits remain above. Spain is already the third country in Europe where the food deprivation in 15 yearsonly behind France and Greece, and mainly affects single-parent households, dependent people and precarious jobs. Although from 2023 costs went down energy and logistics, the final prices have not. When a price “jumps” due to a crisis, if there are few companies dominating the market, that jump becomes the new floor and there is no going back. Regulation of power. The studies agree in which the problem is not solved only with specific aid, but by changing how the market works. That means reduce concentration of power in a few companies, stop financial speculation with food and be able to put temporary caps on prices when there is a crisis to prevent them from staying at the top forever. According to the documentit is not useful to give money to the consumer (because the State pays it) or to demand discounts from the farmer (who is already the weakest link), the adjustment has to come of the middle part of the chain, where the highest margins are (industry and distribution), and with an active role of the State to monitor that price power. The ultimate goal is not only for food to cost less, but for essentials to stop depending on financial fluctuations and the control of a few companies that today they dominate the grain on which food security depends. Image | H. Friar In Xataka | The shopping basket is so expensive that many Madrid residents are driving 40 minutes to buy in a cheap supermarket In Xataka | They are touching our balls (specifically, their price)

If China attacks Taiwan, Russia and North Korea will also do so … but to Europe

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An interview of the New York Times It has opened the possibility of a scenario that concerns a large number of nations. NATO general secretary Mark Rutte, explained The closest thing to a chess board where the movement of a key piece produced a geopolitical earthquake of extraordinary dimensions, according to the leader, everything would begin if China finally decides Attack Taiwan. What would come later would be the closest thing to world war. The context. The extensive interview He came to a key point: the fear of an escalation of Chinese military intervention on the island of Taiwan It has increased drastically He launched his invasion On a large scale of Ukraine. The approach: the war has served as possible model How both taipéi and the international community could answer if Beijing decides to invade. Of course, Rutte took the opportunity to spread the message we listen to incessantly: rearmamentbut from a disturbing perspective. Routte word. “There is more and more awareness, and let’s not be naive about it: if xi jinping attack Taiwan, he would first make sure his smallest partner in all this, Vladimir Putin, and say: ‘Hey, I will do this and I need you to keep them occupied in Europe attacking NATO territory’”, Routte declared. “It is very likely that this is how this advances. And to dissuade them, we need to do two things. One is that it, collectively, is so strong that the Russians never do it. And the second, collaborate with the Indo -Pacific, something that President Trump is promoting vehemently,” added. The strategic clamp. We have coming counting These months. As the military pressure China on Taiwan reaches levels unprecedentedthat key date of 2027 It is glimpsed on the horizon and, meanwhile, Western strategists begin to fear a more gloomy scenario: than Beijing, when launched into an eventual invasion of the island, activate its Russian partner to open a second front in Europe. That was about Rutte’s wordsthat this coordination would not be an improvised act, but a deliberate play. They remembered the Analysts on Twz That, although it seems alarmist, the warning fits with the growing alignment between Moscow and Beijing, which not only share strategic interests, but also reinforce each other in their respective wars: Russia with Chinese technical support in Ukraine, and China benefiting from the distraction that represents the European conflict for US military resources. NATO troops The 2027 horizon. A few months ago We point that Western intelligence reports agree that both China and Russia would be working with similar temporal horizons. Xi Jinping would have ordered the EPL armed forces to be ready to Take Taiwan in 2027a period supported For the CIA and by The statements of the then head of the IndoPacom, when talking about the call “Davidson Window.” In turn, the Rutte ownas well as high controls military from Germany and Ukraine, they argue that Russia could reconstitute your abilities To attack NATO territory Towards 2029. That is, by the end of this decade, both powers would be (it does not mean that it will be so) in technical and logistics conditions to open A double front which would test the American reaction capacity. In practice, this would mean that any Chinese offensive on Taiwan It could coincide With a Russian offensive on the eastern flank of Europe, forcing the United States to divide its resources between two simultaneous war theaters. Pressures on Taiwan. The United States Indo-Pacific Command data (INDOPACOM) leaves no doubt: Chinese military pressure on Taiwan has Increased 300% Annual, with Naval maneuversexercises amphibians, drills landing, rocket and operations releases of aircraft carriers Around the island. Admiral Samuel Paparo warned of a “boiling point” that could crystallize in a real operation if Beijing considers that Washington is too dispersed to respond effectively. Although some analysts consider unlikely that Russia is ready Right to attack NATO, others recognize that even a credible threat or hybrid war actions could force the United States to mobilize resources preventively. And the simple expectation of conflict would already be enough to dilute the American response capacity in the Pacific. Iran and North Korea. Beyond Russia, experts agree that China has other “saturation actors” to divert US attention and media. The recent offensive With B-2 Spirit bombings on Iranian nuclear facilities, it shows that Washington already has part of its arsenal committed in the Middle East. The maintenance of Two groups of aircraft carriers In the region, along with the sustained war Against the hutis In Yemen and the constant tension with Iran, they already suppose a drainage considerable operation. To this is added the latent threat North Koreawhose structural dependence on China makes it a strategic pawn willing to sow chaos if Beijing demands it. Neither Pyongyang nor Moscow would have to launch into a total war: it would be enough with actions of “Gray Zone” Sufficiently to force a reaction from the United States and its allies, dispersing strength, anticipating conflicts and undermining the logistics and tactical concentration that would require a Taiwan effective defense. Wear strategy. The key to the scenario that is emerging is not in the immediate brute force, but in asymmetric deterrence. China knows that a Taiwan invasion is not simply a military operation, but a total geostrategic bet. To have any chance of success, It must guarantee that the United States cannot concentrate your forces quickly in the region. Russia, North Korea and even latent conflicts in the Middle East are part of this architecture. In that context, a weakened, distracted or forced to defend their eastern flank while Washington has to operate on several fronts, would offer the “Window of opportunity” that Beijing needs. Hence the revitalization of the European rearmethe reinforcement of the Defenses in Finland and Poland, and the Increase in spending Military in almost all the countries of the Alliance, are not only reactive measures against Russia, but essential elements of the strategy to also deter China. Washington and unpredictable deterrence. The Trump … Read more

Russia is surprising Ukraine with suicidal attacks. They are not drones, they are waves of an assault on the Max style motorcycle

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Drones have changed so much Combat tactics that the war in Ukraine has become a Test laboratory where leading and arsenal technologies of the past are mixed to try to find an advantage over the enemy. Already We have seen like the First and second World War were recognized in Some practices. The last one: a Russian offensive that Ukraine did not see to arrive: two -wheel troops offensive waves. Suicide loads. The images That they have state seeing In different channels they are more typical of The Mad Max saga that we saw in the cinema. And not only because of the appearance and surroundings of these squads, but for the type of offensive and the end in most cases. What is appreciated is a dangerous evolution of assault tactics, one where the Russian army has begun to Use motorcycles as a main tool to move towards the Ukrainian lines, in an attempt to avoid the destruction of their armored Modern to the power of precision attack drones. In figures, Telegram told That a quarter of the Russian soldiers who participate in terrestrial offensives now do so on two wheels, a number that underlines Moscow’s strategic despair before an enemy that dominates the air with swarms of DONS FPV. These incursions, which often involve More than 100 motorists simultaneously, they have a mortality rate extremely highwhich is why Russian combatants themselves have begun to share in networks Survival guides with tips that seem to be extracted from a postpocalyptic war scenario. A brutal logic. The logic behind these motorcycle loads is as simple as chilling: the tanks They are easy white and the soldiers on foot too slow. Motorcycles, on the other hand, can move quickly, disperse, zigzagen and, hopefully, dodge the drones before being detected. It happens that speed is not protection, and FPV, with speeds of up to 190 km/hy autonomy of several minutes, make any error into a death sentence. The shared guide on the Russian channel of Telegram Rambo School It summarizes it clearly: “Your motorcycle is speed, no armor. An error is death.” The recommendation: Avoid straight roads, move through broken land, react in less than three seconds, get rid of any extra weight and, if a drone is detected, separate from colleagues to divide the risk. “No frenzy. Or you die,” repeat the central slogan. The small possibility of surviving improves if exhaust routes have been explored and drives between trees, buildings or directly towards the weeds, waiting for drone to shock before impacting. Tactics without return. They counted in Forbes that these attacks do not seek to take a large -scale strategic ground, but to win a few meters and press defensive lines. His success, therefore, is marginal and almost always temporary, but responds to A brutal reality: The life of the Russian soldier is treated as expendable in a wear war where priority is volume, not efficiency. Unlike any western army, which would hardly accept such a low level in a single operation, Russia seems comfortable assuming that 80-90% of these motorcyclists It will not return. Surviving one of these onslaught does not imply a reward, but to be the first in the next wave. A war that mutates. We have gone counting before. The change of military paradigm on the Ukrainian front shows a war that It is reinventing Its forms In real time. Of tanks turned into mobile coffinsit has passed to Light vehicles such as buggies, quads and motorcycles, which offer some more mobility at the cost of protection. The trend seems clear: prioritize evasion over resistance. However, the evolution is reciprocal. If motorcycle loads demonstrate a real tactical threat, it will be possible much before Ukraine introduces specific countermeasures, such as “antimotos” drones with wider fields of vision or explosive fragmentation heads designed to cancel these mobile targets, and then the Russian contrary and thus…. At the moment, Ukraine has already tripled its production of drones in a year, reaching the 4.5 million in 2025with increasingly trained operators to intercept and eliminate motorcyclists before they approach the front. Perpetual sacrifice. In short, the phenomenon of Suicide charges In motorcycle not only evidences the high human cost that is willing to pay, but also the increasingly character asymmetric and technological of the conflict. The image of soldiers without armor launching On dirt roads to avoid drones as if they were intelligent projectiles portrays a war that has left behind any traditional notion of war confrontation. If you want also, what happens in the front is more similar to a lethal experiment of military evolution, where adaptation means the difference between being sprayed in seconds or lasting enough to, perhaps, die in the next wave. The phrase that summarizes this dynamic is not a metaphor, it is a battle array Among the troops: run or die. Image | Telegram/Ministry of Defense of Russia In Xataka | The Ukraine War is getting rid, first of all, with drones. And that is leaving an infinite fiber optic trail through the field In Xataka | Renault was a pioneer in the production of war tanks. And now you will start manufacturing drones for Ukraine

In 2025 the plug -in hybrids will contaminate three times more. It is not magic, it is the change of homologation that attacks manufacturers

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How much does a plug -in hybrid consume? It is almost impossible to be clear. It is a technology that depends so much on the use that is given to make any type of estimate involves falling into an error. So far we have seen plug -in hybrids that approve consumption between one and two liters per 100 kilometers. How realistic is this? It depends, as we said, How we use the car. If you are one of those who get the most out of this data on the car computer. The problem is that, according to the data they handle in the European Union, few drivers do this Ideal use of a hybrid car. This causes the estimated real consumption of these cars to be much higher than reflected in the technical chips. To solve it, the European Union completely changes the homologation cycle, which raises the consumption and has a direct impact on the broadcast portfolio that each company will have to present in 2027. The headache of plug -in hybrids As we said, the European Union is not believed by the homologations that have been made so far with plug -in hybrids. Not because they considered that they did not reflect a realistic figure, rather the problem is that they did not reflect the real use that has been extended. If you are a user who makes Between 50 and 100 kilometers a day For an urban environment and/or its vicinity, a plug -in hybrid can be a perfect car if you have to load it every night. With a consumption of 20 kWh/100 kilometers in electric mode, we can expect a cost of two euros or less daily. Prioritizing battery use most of the time, gasoline spending should be ridiculous. However, the European Commission believes that these types of cars are not always used in the most efficient way. In a report published in 2024 They collected that the realistic mean of consumption of a plug -in hybrid in Europe is 5.94 l/100 km of fuel (5.97 l/100 km between the plug -in hybrids of gasoline, the most common) for the type of driving that is made. And they highlighted another very important point. CO2 emissions are 139.4 gr/km of CO2, instead of 39.6 gr/km of CO2 approved on average. Therefore, as of this year other cycles are beginning to make during the homologation of new cars. Until nowa plug -in hybrid was subjected to constant cycles in which the speed was increasing to exhaust its battery. After its electric warehouse, one last cycle was made only with the Combustion engine. It was a way to simulate the most efficient conditions of use of a PHEV: throw to the extent of the possible electric motor until the battery is exhausted. But since January 1, 2025 it is applied EURO 6E BIS. This new way of measuring plug -in hybrids is mandatory for all homologated cars until December 31, 2026. From there, all cars sold by manufacturers as new will have to undergo this new test. With this new protocol, the conditions are harder. The test will be extended up to 2,200 kilometers and the test will run over time with the empty battery. Temperature conditions will be more extreme. And when EURO 6E BIS-FCM enters into force, cars will face worse circumstances with tests that will extend up to 4,260 kilometers. What happens is that in many countries Aids have been delivered to purchase of a plug -in hybrid, thinking that their owners would make a more efficient use of them. However, In Switzerland they already took their aid In 2022 because they considered that with the use that they were giving them contaminated as much as a diesel and They were taking advantage of advantages of cleaner vehicles. All this has direct consequences for the coming years on emissions. The maximum allowed limit for each brand is 93.6 gr/km of CO2 on average in 2027. For the calculation the Weight of the emissions registered in 2025, 2026 and 2027. The brand that exceeds will have to pay 95 euros for each gram overcome and car sold. That is, if you have sold one million cars and record 94.6 gr/km of CO2 on average, the fine will be 95 million euros. Having until the end of 2026 with plug -in hybrids that barely approve just over 30 gr/km of CO2 is an advantage for manufacturers that can prioritize their sales if their electric cars are not working quite well. Keep in mind that these data allow up to three plug -in hybrid cars by a gasoline without exceeding the maximum allowed barrier. The problem will come with the new models that are coming to the market and, above all, from 2027 that manufacturers must withdraw these markets from the market or assume that the same vehicle will now reflect a volume of emissions that can be between three and four times higher. That is, they will be able to use the “trick” of the plug -in hybrid but will not add so favorably as until now. Photo | Byd In Xataka | Catl wants to convert plug -in hybrids into true electric cars with its last battery: 400 kilometers of autonomy

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