AEMET

Do you know that hurricane that everyone speaks of? Well Aemet has just pronounced on Gabrielle

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In the last hours, Hurricane Gabrielle has reached category 4 in the middle of the Atlantic. That is, the countdown has begun: during the next few days, the cyclone will move to the east until Friday impacts with the Azores. Just after, the unknowns begin. Of those unknowns is what the weather information has been living in recent days. But now they begin to clear and, in fact, Aemet just said publicly That is on alert. And it is because, although as we said yesterday it is already clear that the Azores will take the worst part, the truth is that the scenarios in which the storm arrives at the peninsula are increasingly probable. Where is Gabrielle right now? Let’s start here. According to the latest notice of the National Hurricane Center in MiamiGabrielle is 2950 kilometers from the Azores. With sustained winds above the 220 km/h, the eye of the hurricane moves about 20 kilometers per hour to the northwest. And then? After passing through the Azores, Gabrielle “will stop being a hurricane.” Will suffer an extroatropical transition. That is to say “its intense wind field ceases to be located, exorbitant, circular, symmetrical and becomes expanding, becoming asymmetric and losing intensity.” That means that the Peninsula will approach the weekend as storm (something relatively common in autumn), but we do not know how, or when, or where exactly that transition will take place. What does all this mean? Well, right now, the most likely scenarios already give a discounted that Gabrielle He will approach “To our region, with high probabilities of suffering an extroatropical transition (transformation on storm) of high intensity.” And he will catch us almost by surprise. Because, although from Monday to Wednesday there will be a fresh atmosphere with showers, from Thursday we will enjoy a warm and stable atmosphere. It will be The summer of San MigueLy will be short (maybe very short). Just after: it is possible that the bad sea, the rains and the strong winds make an appearance in the west peninsular. Image | HNC In Xataka | The largest Hurricane of the Atlantic progresses slowly 16 kilometers per hour. The problem is your address: Spain

Aemet has set out to one of the hottest summers in recent years

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The 2025 meteorological summer will be dismissed abruptly at this end of August. After one of the most intense heat waves rememberedSpain prepares for a radical time change this week. The State Meteorology Agency (Aemet) He has warned of the arrival of a mass of cold air that will cause a collapse of temperatures in a generalized way in the peninsula and rains that will concentrate on the northeast peninsular. Alerts for rains in the northeast. From this same Tuesday, The situation will be complex In the area, the Pyrenees, and northern Catalonia, with yellow alerts already active throughout the day, with accumulated rainfall of 15 liters per square meter. But on Wednesday, August 27, these alerts will be intensified, becoming oranges in the Pyrenees of Lleida, the Arán Valley, the center of Huesca or the Bajo Aragon de Teruel. In these areas, rainfall is expected above 30 liters per square meter and a high probability that they are accompanied by hail. But these alerts will be deactivated on Thursday, where a return to normal is already expected. A two -speed Spain: polar cold and Mediterranean heat. Temperatures will vary considerably on the peninsula. For the AEMET “the temperatures will be normal at this time of August, except between Wednesday and Friday that a remarkable decrease is expected.” Is low temperatures It will be reported in most of the Peninsula, except in the Cantabrian, Mediterranean areas and in both archipelagos. This will result in a reduction in temperatures by one to three degrees in Extremadura, Castilla y León, Galicia, the interior of Asturias, Cantabria, the Basque Country and the Ebro Valley. Greater temperature variation on Thursday. As the prediction made by Aemetduring Thursday is where a variation of maximum temperatures will be registered, concentrating through the peninsular center. Meteorologists point to an end of August without extreme heat. Samuel Biener, from Tiempo.com, points to “between the Azores anticyclone and exerin will channel a mass of freshest air of polar origin that will cause an important almost generalized thermal decrease.” In this way, it confirms that there will be a reduction in temperatures that will favor Galicia and extend to Cantabrian, Pyrenees and Northwest. But what seems clear is that heat waves have been marked so as not to return to our country during the remainder of summer. A beginning of September according to normal. The forecast that Aemet has made As of August 22, it is quite optimistic with the start of September. According to the information they have, “September would begin with temperatures in general within normal values.” The exception would be found in the peninsular northwest, where the environment will register a decrease in temperatures. For the second week of September, temperatures will be superior to normal in the east peninsular, although at the moment in terms of rainfall the AEMET cannot launch an accurate prediction on what will happen. Images | Aemet In Xataka | We have centuries studying the different types of clouds. What tells us the shape and color of these atmospheric phenomena

Aemet has already concluded the heat wave. Now experts look at Hurricane Erin to know if the cold will endure

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After a heat wave long and intenseSpain begins to travel a few days of thermal relief. However, after several warm episodes, it is worth asking whether the stabilization of temperatures will last over time or if on the contrary the heat will return. Days of calm ahead. Everything seems to indicate that we have several days in which temperatures will remain within normality. We will even see several days in which these will be something below the usual for these summer dates, According to the forecasts of the State Meteorology Agency (Aemet). So much so that even the rebound of temperatures that are expected towards the end of this week and beginnings of the next will not lead us to a particularly warm situation. The cold thermal anomalies At some points they could be below the nine degrees in some areas of the peninsular center, according to expert predictions. Gone is therefore the last heat wave, an episode that has not only been intense but also Looking at the western Atlantic. At the beginning of the week we pointed out that experts looked closely at what happened these days in places as far from our territory as the Western Atlantic and the Antilles archipelago. The reason was in the tropical storm Erin, a storm that reached the category of hurricane and whose journey seemed to turn to the north first and northeast later, undertaking a direction that would take her from the tropical waters to middle latitudes. Why interest? The key is on the impact that this storm could have on atmospheric circulation in these latitudes. According to explained a few days ago The physicist, disseminator and researcher at Aemet, German JJ, the emergence of this cyclone into medium latitudes could complicate the average weather prediction in Europe. Erin regroups. Erin seems to follow the established script and is already in the north direction. The storm has restructured in the last hours, so it can be expected that its progress will continue during the next few days. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) of the United States, the hurricane is off the coast of Florida. If the forecasts are completed, the storm will run in parallel to the east coast of the US during the next few days and between Friday and Saturday will reach the 40th parallel, already standing in our latitude. This, details German In another publicationimplies an important change in both atmospheric circulation and in the Jet Stream On the Atlantic, which will strengthen the cooling effect we are now seeing. “Thanks to this, atmospheric dynamics in our region will give a radical change, seem more like that of autumn,” he says. Uncertainty. We will have to wait to learn more about Erin’s course and its impacts, direct or indirect, about Europe. This hurricane reached category 5, becoming the first significant hurricane in a relatively meek season in Atlantic waters. The good news is that, if we can reach our environment, it will already do so as a subtropical storm or post-tropical cyclone, probably entering the continent to higher latitudes than ours. In Xataka | We have centuries studying the different types of clouds. What tells us the shape and color of these atmospheric phenomena Image | NHC / ECMWF

Three of the hottest days in the history of Spain have something in common, according to Aemet: August 2025

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The heat wave is over and now it’s time to take stock. The heat has broken numerous records, such as the maximum temperature captured at the Bercalona weather station, Fabra (38.9º), or the maximum registered in a month of August at the Jerez de la Frontera airport (45.8º). The heat wave also left other changes in historical records. 3/10. Three of the hottest days in Spain have been given during the newly finished heat wave, according to Data from the State Meteorology Agency (Aemet). Among them stands out on the 17th, with an average temperature of 28.99º, it would have been the hottest day of the heat wave and the fourth hottest day in the period between 1950 and 2025 in peninsular Spain. In this particular “Top 10” of Aemet, they also appear on August 11 and 12, which with average temperatures of 28.75º and 28.85º would be placed, respectively as the seventh and sixth warmer days of the historical series. The “Top 3”. And what about the hottest days of which you have a record? You don’t have to go far back in time to find the three warmest days of this particular series. According to agency data, the three warmest days in peninsular Spain were recorded in the 21st century. In order, these would be on August 23, 2023, with an average temperature of 29.1; on August 10, 2012, with 29.31º; and on August 14, 2021, when an average temperature of 29.58º Celsius was reached. Different data, same photo. Aemet’s list is not the only one that highlights the intensity of the last heat wave with respect to the records we had. The list published by the page Datadictindicates that five of the ninetest days of the last 70 years occurred during this heat wave, highlighting again on the 17th, when the estimated average temperature was 29.86º. As in the Aemet list, they also highlight on the 11th and 12th, although this list also includes on the 15th and 16th among the hottest days since we have observations. The discrepancy between the estimated values in each of the lists can be explained by the different methodology used when calculating the “average temperature”. According to Aemet, the calculation was carried out from the average of the maximum and minimum temperatures values, averages to which geostatistical techniques were applied to estimate an average value for the peninsular territory. Unleashed temperatures. Let’s use the method we use, the data maintain coherence in something: the last heat wave has been very intense. More generally, the 2025 is being a warmer summer than it is usually common. The month of June was marked by a persistent warm anomaly. While the month of July was less intense (we could even see negative temperature anomalies), August has had an extremely warm start. This seems to indicate that, despite the thermal descent that we still have ahead, the heat will consolidate as an indisputable protagonist of this last station. In Xataka | The maps that explain why Castilla y León have become the “zero zone” of forest fires Image | ECMWF

We believed that the heat wave was over. Aemet warns that, in reality, we still have the worst ahead

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The heat wave that affects the peninsula is leaving shocking data. Yesterday, three of the weather stations of the State Meteorology Agency (AEMET) collected maximums above the 45º Celsius, with 55 registering more than 42º. Two records of record. On August 11 and 12 they beat, According to Aemettwo temperature records. With an average temperature that touched the 29th in peninsular Spain, this month has seen on August 11 and 12 more than at least 1950. In fact, they are among the warmer days registered in August: only three times the 29th Celsius barrier has been overcome. On August 12, it was also the hottest day than is going 2025. If they are fulfilled The agency’s forecaststhe first twenty of August will be the warmest in peninsular Spain since there are records, exceeding a few tenths the previous registry (of 2003), and for more than one degree the next highest record, last year. From Seville to Badajoz. Yes Let’s go to the most extreme caseswe can find the 45.2º of the weather stations of Seville, Tablada and El Granado (in Huelva), or the 45.5º collected in Badajoz. Another striking fact were the high minimum temperatures: 29.7º in Osuna (Seville), the highest in peninsular Spain (in Gran Canaria there were thermometers that did not fall from the 30). A number that does not want to leave. The answer to the question of “what is happening” has to do with atmospheric stagnation a “synoptic configuration continues quite stationary”, In Aemet’s words. A dorsal anchored on the peninsula That allows the entry of warm and dry air from Africa, as well as the high degree of insolation propitiated by summer and stable skies, are main responsible for a heat wave that is not only being intense, also long. The latest update of Aemet’s forecasts indicate that this exceptional situation will last at least until Monday 18. The “more likely” scenario is that the entrance of a fresh air mass from the Atlantic serves to relieve the situation, but there are still a few days left for us to know greater certainty when and how the end of this heat wave will be given. What can we expect. Meanwhile, what can we expect? After a kind of brief respite today, Aemet foresees A new increase in temperatures tomorrow Thursday, a more marked ascent in Galicia, where the thermometers can exceed 38º. On Friday this ascent will be extended throughout the north, where orange notices are already planned due to an important risk derived from high temperatures. In Xataka | Every summer fires ravage to Spain. There is a usual guilty that goes unnoticed: old tractors Image | ECMWF

The dramatic is not that Aemet doubts the measurement of 43ºC in the Aragonese Pyrenees: it is that the possibility

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The heat wave is leaving us some amazing records. And worrying, such as notices, oranges and reds (due to important risk and extreme risk respectively) due to temperatures that could exceed 40º today. It is striking, but it is not the strangest case we have seen these days. Broking the 43º? Undoubtedly one of the unique views during this heat wave is that of the municipality of Torla-Aordesa. According to the data compiled by the State Meteorology Agency (Aemet), the Pyrenean municipality station was placed between the three meteorological stations with higher maximums throughout the country: 42.9º Celsius yesterday, day 10. But there is a problem: perhaps everything was an error in the measurement. The data that could be consulted this morning through the agency’s website indicated that the daytime maximum at the Torla-Aorda station had been ascending in recent days: 41.3º on the 8th, 42nd on the 9th and, 42.9º on Sunday. In Xataka The Mediterranean temperature has dropped more than two degrees in less than two months. The worst: continues above the average Something did not fit. However, something did not fit. The fact that a station located at a height of 1,076 meters in the Pyrenees Oscense offered considerably higher readings than others located in its environment was certainly strange. As a contrast, the station Sabiñánigolocated something further south already 775 m, registered a maximum of 40.3º. That of Ordesa ParadorOrdesa and Monteperdido National Park, at 1,206 meters, registered a maximum of 36.9º; and that of Torla-Aordesa, the onion He collected 30.4 to 1,905 meters above sea level. A striking record. What is happening? Something did not fit and Aemet has taken measures and the latest data of the station are not available, which perhaps does not avoid certain confusion since the data had been reproduced in numerous media. The question is now what happening. From the Twitter account The North Meteo They offered a possible explanation, a non -conjunctural but structural. Through a threadthe account pointed out a few days ago that the location of the station, near a water treatment plant (a heat source) and the vegetation of the environment, could be affecting the station’s records. {“Videid”: “X8rsa6e”, “Autoplay”: False, “Title”: “Why don’t we convert the salt water into sweet to combat drought?”, “Tag”: “Webedia-prod”, “Duration”: “294”} A heat wave. The data surprised some, but not everyone. After all, cone or without measurement errors, the province of Huesca and those of its surroundings are going through a complicated situation. We pointed out the more than 40º in Sabiñánigo, but this is not alone to exceed the temperature. As explained he HERALDO DE ARAGÓNFraga, Ballobar, or Sariñena are some of the localities that exceeded this temperature. For example, at the Cabdella Tower station, in the Leridano Pyrenees, at 1,273 meters, on Saturday, 32.8º were recorded; while In Isaba/leftto 838 and in Navarra, the maxims reached 38.4 on Friday and again on Saturday. The controversy shows us a background problem, and that is that the data has lost, at least, their ability to surprise us. In full heat wave and in a context of climate change it is difficult to be surprised by temperatures that in principle would seem crazy but that are less and less. The work of experts is doubly important in this situation, it is the human eye that allows us to realize the possible errors in the data. In Xataka | Every summer fires ravage to Spain. There is a usual guilty that goes unnoticed: old tractors Image | Turol Jones (Function () {Window._js_modules = Window._js_modules || {}; var headelement = document.getelegsbytagname (‘head’) (0); if (_js_modules.instagram) {var instagramscript = Document.Createlement (‘script’); }}) (); – The news The dramatic is not that Aemet doubts the measurement of 43ºC in the Aragonese Pyrenees: it is that the possibility It was originally posted in Xataka by Pablo Martínez-Juarez .

In the heat and extreme summer storms in Menorca, Aemet has just added one more risk: “Meteotsunamis”

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A trough travels the peninsula and, like The experts advancedtheir impacts begin to be noticed today. These impacts have led to the State Meteorology Agency (Aemet) to issue various notices, Among them one focused on the risk of Rissagasthe phenomenon also known as “Meteotsunami”. Notice by Rissagas. In addition to the notices for rains and storms (which bind to notices still in force for temperatures of more than 36º in areas of Albacete and Murcia), Aemet has issued various coastal notices that will remain active during the next few days in the Mediterranean, specifically in Catalonia and Balearic Islands. Among these notices is an active one on the coast of the island of Menorca, since there are expected sea level oscillations that could reach 0.7 meters. This oscillation of the island region responds in the Balearic Islands At the end Rissagabut it is also usually called “Meteotsunami” for presenting some parallelism with the seismic phenomenon. Rissagas or meteotsunamis. As we pointed out before, the Rissagas They are abrupt oscillations of sea level. As explained some time ago Aemet’s then territorial delegate in Illes Balears, Mª José Guerrero, these phenomena occur only in coves and ports “with a certain geometry.” As with the tsunamis, these begin with the sea by backward, which can leave the small boats of the fishing and sports ports stranded. In a matter of minutes, the waters return to the port, and do so with a flood that can drag the vessels and overflow the docks. On average, these oscillations are usually about 50 centimeters. However, cases have been found in which they reached several meters. “Tsunamis“Meteorological. As its name suggests, the “Meteotsunami” differs from a tsunami in his Meteorological origin and not seismic. According to Aemetthese phenomena are produced by “small although sudden changes in atmospheric pressure (1-3 hectopascal) derived from the passage of fronts, gravitational waves, turbonada lines and in general phenomena associated with convection.” First red notice of Aemet. The forecasts speak of significant impacts beyond the risks on the coast. Aemet’s forecasts They alert today “showers and storms with a probability of being strong, even locally very strong”, which will affect large areas of Catalonia, Pyrenees, northern zone of the Valencian Community and east of the Iberian system. Tomorrow these showers and storms are expected to affect both the Mediterranean coast of the peninsula and the Balearic Islands themselves. Thus, the agency has issued notices of different categories distributed throughout the center and northern Mediterranean slope and the Balearic Islands. Today’s notices include a red notice (extreme risk) due to rains in the central depression of Barcelona. In that area, up to 60 mm of rainfall could be accumulated in one hour and up to 120 mm in a matter of three or four hours. Waiting for a change. In addition to the red notice due to extreme risk, the agency maintains various orange notices (for important risk) during today’s and tomorrow, both for rains and storms. The situation is expected Start to appease on Fridayalthough some episodes torments are expected to continue during that day. In Xataka | The heat of the last weeks has been so extreme that we have already exceeded tropical nights: the equatorial nights are here Image | Menorchin / Aemet

We have been dreaming of a temperature drop for days this week. Aemet believes that we still have the worst

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The arrival of storms to the north third of the Peninsula has monopolized part of weather care During this week. However, for a good part of Spain, heat remains intense and in some areas this implies risks to the well -being of people who reside or work there. A red notice, by heat. The State Meteorology Agency (AEMET) has activated A red notice (Extreme risk) due to high temperatures in the east, south and west zone of Gran Canaria. It is one of the various notices that the agency will keep activated over the next few days as a result of high temperatures. According to the agency’s notices, the maximum is expected reach 40º In the Tirajana basin, a temperature that can be normal these days in some areas of the southern peninsular but has led experts to give the alarm. The notice also indicates the persistence of heat, with minimal temperatures above the 25º barrier, but which could reach 30º. That is, the “Equatorial nights”They will be the norm in this area. The eye put in the humidity. The good news is that the forecasts indicate a low relative humidity in the area. Wet heat It can increase The thermal sensation, but can also increase the risk derived from high temperatures by preventing our body from dissipating the heat it generates. The situation in the Canary Islands will also improve from tomorrow, although yellow warnings will still be activated due to high temperatures in the south of the island of Gran Canaria. Thermal relief, partly. The situation is partly extrapolated to the center and south of the Iberian Peninsula. Temperatures today They will be high in much of the country and Aemet has activated numerous notices by high high temperatures, among which the temperature notices of up to 42º in some areas of the interior of Andalusia. With the arrival of the trough, the storms will reach the peninsular but the thermal relief can be noticed in more extensive areas. It is expected that on Friday there are not only notices in the center and the west peninsular, and on Saturday the notices are expected to be limited to areas of the Mediterranean basin. Waiting. For now we do not know what will hold us next week. Medium -term forecasts They predict a second half of the month of July warmer and dry than normal in most of the territory, so a heat return would not be entirely strange. For now we will have to wait to approach the passage of the storms and at the end of this warm episode before knowing what will hold us the last weeks of the month. In Xataka | The hydrological bonanza could not be eternal: drought is a real threat after an extremely warm, and also dry June Image | ECMWF / Aemet

Aemet warns of the arrival of a new Dana, and is expected

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Just a couple of days ago, weather models They began to glimpse The possible formation of a new isolated depression in height, a Dana, on the waters of the Atlantic. The observations are confirming the expected and now the experts warn of the arrival of a phenomenon that is expected intense. Special notice. The State Meteorology Agency (Aemet) has issued a special notice for storms and intense rainfall associated with the newly formed Dana. The situation will affect the northern half and third this peninsular between tomorrow 11 and Saturday, July 12. What’s happening. At the beginning of this week, meteorologists proved that the Peninsula had been divided between two air masses, one to the north, under the influence of vaguades and a mass of cold air, and another to the south with anticyclonic time in which heat resisted leaving. The days have passed and but the apparent return of stability and heat has been just a mirage, at least for part of the country. The reason is the decoration of a Dana, an area of ​​low height pressures that is separating from the cold circulation of the north. This Dana is being formed to the west of the Iberian Peninsula and will soon arrive by the atmospheric circulation itself. What we can expect. Aemet’s special notice speaks From the arrival of “high adversity storms in the northern and third half of our territory, accompanied locally of large hail, very strong wind and very strong showers.” Tomorrow, Friday 11, they await us according to the agency storms that would gain intensity from the afternoon both in the Cantabrian mountain range and in the Iberian system, and that they would go little by little by moving north or northeast. These storms could lead to hail of size greater than 2 cm in diameter and showers that would accumulate up to 30-40 mm in an hour, in addition to “very strong” wind gusts. On Saturday 12, Aemet sees “likely” that the Dana is moving to the east, which would take instability to the west peninsular and, especially, to the northeast quadrant. Uncertainty. The forecasts They point out the probable arrival of this extreme but Aemet event warns of a certain degree of uncertainty. As they explain, the probability that the arrival of the Dana has storms and intense rainfall is “very high”, greater than 70%, but not total. As they detail, “the described scenario is quite likely, the uncertainty inherent to this type of disturbances makes it difficult to specify the areas where a greater impact will occur.” Uncertainty increases the more we move away in time, but the agency estimates that the Dana’s passage does not have major impacts from Sunday, day 13. In Xataka | “Clouds of fire”, the phenomenon that makes escape from sixth generation fires can make it impossible Image | ECMWF

Aemet at last at the end of the extreme heat tunnel in Spain. The only problem is what comes in place

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During the last weeks, the successive hot episodes (including the heat wave at the end of June and early July) have alternated with the arrival of vaguades that offered a certain thermal relief. A relief loaded with storms and hail, but relief after all. However, the dynamics of recent weeks seem to have broken. Postbile Dana. Meteorological models foresee the possible formation of a DANA, an isolated depression at high levels. This phenomenon, Experts of Meteoredthis phenomenon would bring more hailstorms in addition to winds of consideration. Two masses of air. The arrival of the Dana would also occur in a context also different from what we had seen in a June where the heat was extended by almost the entire peninsula. The first days of this are mana are characterized however by A two -speed Spain: With a mass of cold air installed in the peninsular north and a warm air dominating the center and the south. The long -awaited thermal relief is therefore produced at two veliocities, more quickly in the north (where temperatures have already moderated) and more slowly in the south, where the thermometers will move away from the 40º mark but with a slower stabilization. Uncertain weekend. That would be the context in which Dana could make an appearance. There is still uncertainty about how the “Descolgue” of this area of ​​low pressures will be and its entry into the Peninsula, but the simulations indicate that the arrival of this phenomenon will occur between Friday 11 and Sunday 13. More storms, more hail. This leaves us a panorama of uncertainty for the end of this week: if this arrival of the DANA occurs the instability could be high and that means that we could see a new rough storms with rainfall and strong winds. According to the modelsSaturday will be the day when it is noticed in our environment. According to these same models, the most affected areas will be the north third, the northeast peninsular and part of the Mediterranean coast. A summer of uncertainties. The question now is to know what will happen after this week of relief. While the warm episodes of the last month and a half had been interspersed for days of storms and temperature reduction, these stops in the thermal escalation had been rather brief. This week however the arrival of several troughs, including an associated with the possible Dana could involve a somewhat more marked reduction in temperatures. For now it is soon to know what will happen. The Monthly prediction From the State Meteorology Agency (AEMET) points out that we still have hotter weeks than usual for these dates, between 3rd and 5th warmer than the average. The quarterly forecasts Aemet also indicates that we have several warm months ahead: 70% probability that it is. In Xataka | “Clouds of fire”, the phenomenon that makes escape from sixth generation fires can make it impossible Image | ECMWF

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