Spain will go from -14ºC to warmer temperatures in days

It’s not just a feeling when you go out this morning: Winter has decided to enter through the front door at the beginning of this year 2026. After a few years of warmer patterns, the current atmospheric configuration has opened a direct corridor from the Arctic to the peninsula that has undoubtedly left many of us frozen. The temperatures. Throughout all of Spain we have been able to see really low temperaturessuch as Madrid, which woke up today at -2 °C, but the capital is almost a thermal oasis compared to the rest of the country. In Burgos, the wind has plummeted the thermal sensations down to -13 °C, and in the “proverbial” cold area of ​​Molina de Aragón (Guadalajara), the thermometer has reached -14 °C. We are facing an episode of extreme cold that has put half of Spain on yellow, orange or even red alert. What is happening. What we are experiencing is not an isolated event, but the result of a meteorological coincidence. The key is in an anticyclonic block located in northern Europe, which is a wall of high pressure that has forced air masses to circulate along its southern flank, channeling polar and continental air directly towards our latitudes. to this The storm Francis has joined itwhich has left significant rainfall and snowfall throughout Spain. Its position has acted as a suction pump, facilitating the entry of this mass of arctic air and causing not only the collapse of thermometers, but also snowfall at unusually low levels. A thermal ‘scooper’. The AEMET had to activate the red notice in the Parameras de Molina, a landmark that is not seen every winter. Some of the most notable temperatures that we have detected, for example, are the following: Molina de Aragón (Guadalajara): -14 °C. Burgos: wind chill of -13 °C due to the combination of frost and wind. Madrid (Retiro/Barajas): -2 °C, with minimums in the periphery, such as in Alcalá de Henares, dropping to -6.7 °C. Sierra Nevada: extreme minimums of up to -17 °C. How long is it going to last? The truth is that the intense cold will continue throughout the day, as it did during the early hours of January 7th. This makes the red notices in Guadalajara and orange in the northern interior They will remain active until mid-morning. But starting January 8, the Arctic air mass will begin to withdraw from the peninsula, making the weekend much milder than the previous one. In fact, forecasts indicate that by the weekend we could go from one extreme to the other, with temperatures 1 to 3 °C above average for this time of year. This will take us from ice to ‘almost hot’ in a matter of days with maximums of around 16 °C on Tuesday, January 13. A new storm. Beyond the temperatures, we must keep in mind that between January 8 and 9, Storm Goretti will form, and that it will also experience explosive cyclogenesis, as the AEMET points out. Its impact will be mainly in the central European countries and in Spain its impact will be less, although it will temporarily generate maritime wind or rain in the north. Images | AEMET In Xataka | The “tropicalization” of the atmosphere is going to change Spain and not exactly for the better

“Maximum extraordinarily high temperatures for this time”

After one of the hottest summers that are rememberedthe arrival of Dynamics of meteorological autumn It was literally a “fresh air breath.” Therefore, many have begun to ask ourselves if we could take the summer dead, start getting the bedspreads and keeping the controls of the air conditioners. And for our tranquility, Aemet He has just responded To our questions: or by chance. As? To be precise, what Aemet tells us is that “the temperatures planned at about 1500 m altitude will become higher in the next few days than any record of the 1991-2020 reference period for these dates.” That is, everything seems to indicate that “the mass of air on Spain will be extraordinarily warm.” Since approximately, on September 10, temperatures have been rising throughout Spain. As they pointed out at the time“We will talk about a clearly summery environment, with August temperatures.” And, although the worst forecasts were not fulfilled, “of the 30 degrees They will not go down in a few days. ” We can’t say it’s a surprise … Although it has been A rare year at the weather level (As already We have discovered in the worst possible way) There is something that we have learned over the last years and that we should not forget: heat every time comes before (“Between three and four weeks In almost the whole country “) and leaves later. With the only exception of the city of Alicante, summer It has lengthened in each and every of the provincial capitals of the country. In some more than a month. And that, of course, has its most direct correlation in medium temperatures well above of what was normal in the previous decades. However, it is a surprise. If the forecasts are fulfilled, in many areas of the country the days They will be surprisingly warm For these dates of the year. And not, We are not talking about the “Veranillo de San Miguel”. Unless we are willing to recognize that what we have been calling for years is nothing more than a way to normalize that is getting hotter. What can we expect? In principle, from Monday to Friday We can expect A “full summer environment with extraordinarily high temperatures for this time.” The only exception will be the Peninsular Northeast, which will contain the climb thanks to some more than probable showers during Monday and Tuesday. The good news is that the arrival of the weekend It will bring one “Notable temperature drops” (and some rains) throughout the peninsular north. That will be noted in the rest of the country. What will happen later? It is not very clear, but The spring of 2025 insisted in being different from the others, for now nothing suggests that autumn Go to follow that same path. Image | Aemet In Xataka | Aemet has been registering the hottest days in history since 1950. I had never detected as many as this August

We had been waiting for temperatures down weeks. Once again a price has come: hail

The forecasts indicated that the worst Effects of the Paso de la Vaguada They would make themselves feel between yesterday afternoon and today. Forecasts that seem to be fulfilled, with abundant rainfall and located floods. However, if something has stood out on social networks of the first hours of the arrival of the storms, it has been the large hail that has been collected in some areas. Barcelona, in the center of the storm. The province of Barcelona has been the area where the passage of the trough that since yesterday sweeps the Mediterranean basin has been noticed, leaving in its path important stormy episodes with rain, hail and wind. Yesterday, the State Meteorology Agency (AEMET) He issued a notice Red for extreme risk in the area of central depression of Barcelona. The Aemet data Today show the effects of these stormy episodes in the province: as the 50 mm of rainfall collected yesterday in Prats de Lluçanès, or the 49.6 mm of Caldes de Montbui. At 11:00 today had already been collected 42.2 mm in the town of Vilafranca del Penedès. Hails. However, it has not been the amount of water that has caught the attention of the areas through which the storms have passed, but the hail. Its size, to be more concrete: they have gathered Pedriscos up to five centimeters. Cold trough, hot Mediterranean. The passage of the trough, an anomally deep trough for this time of year, has been the trigger for this situation, but to get here they have had to coaligate different factors. Factors such as Levante’s wind, loaded with moisture, which intermingle with the cold air of the trough, or as the surface temperature of the Mediterranean Sea, still high after several weeks several degrees above what would correspond. This situation has given rise to the appearance of the convective systems responsible for storms and rainfall seen in recent hours. Also of those we will see in the next. Still active warnings. The red notice activated yesterday inside Barcelona is no longer active, but Aemet keeps active A series of notices, including orange notices due to important risk, associated with rains and storms. Active notices affect much of the southeast quadrant of the Peninsula, in addition to the Balearic Islands and areas of the Catalan Pyrenees. The orange notices They concentrate today in the west of Castilla-La Mancha and the interior of the Region of Murcia. Active notices for tomorrow also include orange warnings due to rains and storms that will affect the Region of Murcia. They will be accompanied by yellow notices in a broader region in the southeast of the Peninsula, Catalonia, also the Balearic Islands. Attentive to evolution. The situation will improve only progressively. Some notices Aemet meteorlogics will still be kept active during Saturday in Catalonia, where rainfall is expected to reach 20 mm in an hour. Temperatures however will go up during the day, especially in the opposite area of the Iberian Peninsula: The forecasts The agency advances temperatures above 36º degrees in low areas of the southwest peninsular. In Xataka | The hydrological bonanza could not be eternal: drought is a real threat after an extremely warm, and also dry June Image | ECMWF / Grace Murry

Aemet emits the first orange warnings by extreme temperatures

A few days ago, meteorologists They foresee that the worst of the warm episode that affects the Iberian Peninsula would come from Wednesday. Well, we are on Thursday and the forecasts become facts: the “Iberian oven” has activated and with it preventive measures. Orange warnings. Heat has led to the State Meteorology Agency to issue A series of yellow and orange notices by maximum temperatures. Today’s notices will affect seven autonomous communities, tomorrow Friday to nine. The Sevillian countryside will be the most affected area, where notices will be oranges due to maximum temperatures of 40º Celsius. Oven ignition. The obvious question is what is happening for the sudden arrival of more typical temperatures of summer than at the end of May. The answer can be found in the phenomenon known as “Iberian oven” As details Marta Almarcha in eltiempo.esthe phenomenon begins with the appearance of a dorsal in middle and high layers, that is, in the prolongation of a high -pressure center. This implies atmospheric stability and air -descendant movements that compress and heat the air mass over our own heads. More than an anticyclone. Anticyclonic and stable time also contributes to a High insolation which in turn also implies heat. As if this were not enough, Aemet warned a few days ago of the irruption of a Dana located between the Canary Islands and the Gulf of Cádiz that since yesterday pushes warm, dry and with dust in suspension to the peninsular south. Heat, very heat. The result, the one that is well palpating: heat. According to them Aemet forecaststoday maximum “high temperatures are expected for the time in most of the Peninsula”, with areas of the South exceeding the 34º-36º and with the possibility of exceeding 38º-40º in the Guadalquivir and Guadiana Extremadura. The story will be similar tomorrow Friday, with high maxims, possibility of exceeding 34º-36º degrees in the southern Atlantic aspect and the 38º-40º in the Guadalquivir, but without ruling out that the thermometers also reach this temperature at points of the Guadiana and depressions of the northeast. On Saturday a similar situation will be repeated as far as the maxims are concerned. Tropical nights. In addition to the maximum, the minimum temperatures also concern many. The fact that night temperatures They are not going to get off the 20th In some areas the dream of many will make it difficult. This is the phenomenon known as “tropical nights.” Spring activation. It is not the first time that we see this “Iberian oven” be activated in the middle of spring. In 2023 without going any further We were talking of its possible activation at the end of April. In Xataka | The reservoirs are almost 22% above the average of the last decade. There is an “but” important before celebrating Image | ECMWF

The temperatures of the equatorial Pacific have collapsed in two weeks. The mystery is if the girl is behind

In the last two weeks, sea surface temperatures in the Eastern Tropical Pacific They have dropped abruptly Up to 10 degrees. As Ryan Maue saysIt is a fantastic example of how much the situation can change in a very short time. But is it something else …? … is the girl back? That is the great question that meteorologists, agencies and states of half the world are asked. And the first thing is to be clear that it does not have to mean Nothing crucial: “The layer near the surface is very susceptible to the changes caused by the wind due to its fine thickness.” This is important because, since March 2025, Enso conditions are neutral and (at least, In the last NOAA report on April 10) It was expected to continue until after summer. For October, the chances of remains the net scenario are 50%. The boy, the girl and everything in the middle. It is worth remembering that what we know as The southern child -scilation (or Enso, for its acronym in English) is a cyclic climate phenomenon (although somewhat irregular) that has great effects on the world climate. If we discount the stations, it is the largest source of annual climatic variations on the planet. The oscillation is A climate pattern in which two phases alternate: The boy and the girl. This phenomenon is manifested in a strip of the Equatorial Pacific, in the central and eastern areas. In this area, the oceanic surface temperature presents this oscillatory pattern between the warm phase (the boy) and the cold phase (the girl). How does it affect us? The ocean temperature in this region is associated with unique weather patterns that especially affect South America. In the southeast of the American continent temperatures become warmer than normal. In the same way, they become colder in the northeast. In Ecuador and Peru, less rainfall is expected than normal and the northeastern Brazil, torrential rains But teleconexions affect meteorological patterns around the world. And in Spain it is usually synonymous with less rains. But what worries meteorological ones is something else. We must not forget that the girl at the end of 2024 and early 2025 was A surprisingly very soft and short phenomenon. Although this phenomenon is “the great refrigerator of the world” (and thus has worked on other occasions), January was the warmest January of the registry. Its effect was noticed very little. And if we take into account that the 2023-2024 child was The fifth strongest Since we have records, it seemed to insinuate that Enso could be moving towards a structure much warmer What we are accustomed to. But … what does this mean? It is true that the models showed that there are almost twice the chances of the girl returningbut at this point in the cycle nobody knows what can lead to the long term. Anyway, most likely the neutral scenario endures more time. However, we must start thinking that the girl is just around the corner. Image | NOAA In Xataka | The boy has not yet left and meteorologists are already preparing for the girl: thus influences our climate

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