Someone has looked at the temperatures under the Pacific and found a terrible forecast for next year

On September 1, 1513, on the verge of despair, Vasco Núñez de Balboa left Santa María de la Antigua in search of “a new sea rich in gold”. It took weeks and he lost dozens of men, but on the 29th of that same month he was the first known European to reach the shores of the South Sea. We still called him that. Seven years later, Magellan (emerging from that enormous and labyrinthine hell of canals, hurricane winds and storms that we call Tierra del Fuego) He called it Pacific and the name stuck. But there is nothing peaceful about it. That huge chunk of water concentrates most of the planet’s seismic and volcanic activity, generates the most violent typhoons, and is home to some of the most severe extratropical storms that exist. And I haven’t talked about El Niño yet. What about El Niño? We have been talking about the 2027 ENSO event for the past few days. We have always done it with quite a worrying tone and the truth is that, the more we know, the less exaggerated it seems to me: there are meteorologists who already describe the subsurface heat of the equatorial Pacific as “possibly the blob of warm anomalies ever recorded since we know how to measure these things“. And, as I say, it is not an informative “outburst”: the heat that is moving eastward beneath the tropical Pacific is (in volume and intensity) comparable to or greater than that which preceded the great Children of 1997-98 and 2015-16. What’s more, that heat is moving across a planet that is already 1.4 degrees above the pre-industrial level. Why are we getting nervous? This, I think, is the central question. First of all because what is invisible matters more than what we can see. In fact, “what we can see” (what we can measure on the surface of the ocean) is simply a trailer for what we are going to see in the coming months. It is true that the mechanisms that allow coupling between the ocean and the atmosphere are always mysterious and the uncertainty is great. However, as we move out of spring (the time that most “confuses” the models) the quality of our data increases. The problem is that, these new data, They only corroborate (little by little) our first intuitions. Of course, caution is necessary. Both ECMWF and NOAA they ask for caution and yes, it is important to be cautious. In one month, the scenario of having a Child before summer has suddenly become very likely and this growth in probabilities has left us all out of the loop. The public conversation, as a consequence, is getting out of control. But in reality, we are in completely uncharted territory. The problem with being unprecedented is that we grope in the dark. If we move forward. Today, there is only one clear idea: as in the 19th century, what happens will depend on the decisions we make. Image | Alex Boreham In Xataka | There are more and more extreme weather events. In return, they are leaving fewer victims than ever

The most beautiful, exciting and hopeful thing about November has come out of England and it is a weather forecast

The most beautiful, interesting and hopeful thing about November has come out of a cold building in the British city of Reading and it is a weather forecast. In its latest seasonal reading, the European Weather Forecast Center has sounded the alarm: Your data points to a negative NAO. And that, as you may have guessed, is magnificent news for Spain. But let’s go in parts and explain what we’re talking about.. The ‘NAO’ is the ‘North Atlantic Oscillation‘: the ‘dance’ between the Azores anticyclone and the Icelandic low, the two major atmospheric phenomena that govern the meteorology of the North Atlantic. When the index we use to “measure who is winning” is negative, the Azores anticyclone is weaker than normal and, for this reason, it cannot block deep Atlantic storms. The direct consequence is that they circulate further south than normal: right at our latitude. That is, precisely, what the ECMWF has planned from its headquarters in Reading, England. Kristian Strommen et al. (2021) It is not an isolated prediction. On the contrary, experts they have been warning weeks of a 2025-26 winter conditioned by La Niña and a potentially weaker polar vortex; that is, with greater probability of cold bursts in southwestern Europe. This is the double confirmation we needed for a seasonal prediction that (seasonal as it is) remains too generic and uncertain. But how positive it is. Why is it important? As I say, for Spain this is, in aggregate termsgood news. By increasing the frequency with which cyclones deviate south (favoring the Atlantic storms that reach us), the direct positive impact is noticeable on the level of reservoirs and the price of energy. How much can we trust a prediction of this type? Moderately. There is no doubt that meteorologists have greatly improved their ability to capture trends, but let’s not fool ourselves: it is already difficult for us to predict 15 days ahead, the seasons and months are another matter. However, it is not a random prediction. We simply have to understand it as a risk or a probable scenario and not as a deterministic and closed forecast. Because, in the end, in the enormous set of possible scenarios, this begins to be the most probable. And, if confirmed, our reservoirs will thank us. Image | WeatherModels In Xataka | Ski resorts without snow at the end of the century: the most pessimistic models show what could happen in our high mountains

While France and Switzerland turn off reactors by heat, Spain continues to generate electricity. The difference is in the forecast

Europe is living Your worst heat wave with temperatures that have exceeded 40 ° C in several countries. The most unheard of, if one can see the situation, is that some European plants have had to close temporarily. An unusual fact. The heat not only feels in the streets: it is also affecting the heart of the European energy system. According to Euronews, This week three nuclear reactors have been disconnected in France and Switzerland for the temperature rise in the rivers they use to cool. In Girfch, to the south of France, one of the reactors stopped as the Garona River approached at 28 ° C. In Switzerland, the Beznau Central did the same: one of the reactors was out of service and the second was operating in half capacity by heat in the Aare River. Preventive measures. The reason behind this temporal closures responds to an environmental regulation that forces to reduce production when river water is excessively heated, since it could affect the ecosystem by being returned even longer, such as have detailed in Euronews. In addition, restrictions or power reductions have been applied in French centrals such as Buity, Blayais and Cruas. The origin of the problem. Water is key in any nuclear power plant. Without it, there is no way to keep the reactor temperature under control. But with increasingly hot rivers, especially during heat wavesthat function begins to fail. The worst thing is that many of these plants were built between 60 and 80, when climate change was not a factor to take into account. Now the consequences are clear: According to The New York TimesFrance could end up losing up to four times more electricity in summer if this type of closures becomes usual. A problem that aggravates. During the heat waves, more electricity is needed to light the air conditioners or fans, so the demand increases at the same time as the generation capacity falls. This has generated a domino effect on the European electricity market. According to the economistthe megavatio hour has come to double in a matter of days in France, affecting countries such as Germany, the Netherlands and Belgium that depend on gala electricity. And in Spain? Despite registering equal or even higher temperatures, Spain has not had to close any heat power plant. As He explained The economist, the key is in infrastructure and design. Unlike France, where many plants depend directly on rivers such as Garona or Rhone, in Spain solutions such as cooling towers have been adopted, which cool the water before returning it to the natural environment. A paradigmatic example is the Trillo plant, whose ability to operate during heat waves is due to this type of system. Also, like We have detailed in this mediumSpanish nuclear power plants are designed with a triple cooling system: a closed primary circuit that contains the fuel bars, a secondary circuit that generates the steam to move the turbines, and a third external circuit that introduces cold water – teacher of rivers, reservoirs or towers – to condense the steam. In addition, after Fukushima, all centrals incorporated portable and self -employment systems, capable of maintaining cooling functions even to climatic emergencies or electrical cuts. More interconnection? The situation that France and Switzerland are going through is not an isolated event, but a symptom of an still fragmented energy Europe. While in southern France reactors by heat go out, Spain keeps its centrals operational and could even contribute more electricity to the continent if there are better interconnections. These situations show the bottleneck that limits the electrical export capacity of the Iberian Peninsula. Spain has a nuclear park adapted to heat and a growing renewable base – specially solar and wind – that could serve as an energy lung for a Europe increasingly affected by extreme events. The energy future of the continent not only goes to adapt to heat, but also by connecting better. Image | Pixabay Xataka | Israel has been bombing the nuclear facilities that build other countries around its surroundings. This is the real risk of collapse

Against forecast, Mayan languages ​​are seeing a resurgence. The most surprising is where: USA

Destiny sometimes has the most unexpected surprises. The arrival of Donald Trump to the United States presidency has put in Diana to immigration as one of the problems Washington administration priorities. At the same time, in a turn of events very difficult to anticipate, Mayan languages ​​are making their way and extending … in the United States. From the highlands to Oakland. I told it in an extensive BBC report last week. Aroldo, a young man from San Juan AtitánGuatemala, undertook a trip of more than four months to arrive in California after the death of his father, carrying little more than his mother tongue: THE MAM. This language, with roots in the Mayan civilization that flourished thousands of years ago, is today one of the many that are finding A new home in the United States through indigenous migration from Mexico and Central America. Yes, far from disappearing, Mayan languages ​​such as Mam and K’iche ‘ They have gained strength On the other side of the border: not only are they heard in streets, Radios and local media of places like San Francisco Baybut they have become some of the languages more common in court United States migratories. Invisibilized community. The story has many readings. One of them: the rise of these languages ​​shows a cultural complexity that has been ignored for decades. The American immigration system Classify as “Hispanics” To all immigrants from Spanish -speaking countries, overlooking that many (such as Aroldo and thousands more) They do not have Spanish as a mother tongue, and even some simply They don’t speak it. This classification erases the social, cultural and linguistic differences that exist within Latin American migrant communities and, very important, complicates the provision of basic services. In this regard, The BBC counted that researchers such as Tessa Scott linguistspecialized in Mam language at the University of California, Berkeley, denounce that grouping all Guatemalans under the label of “Hispanics” generates errors of interpretation, lack of adequate performers, legal difficulties and rising before traumas or structural discrimination, often origin of the exodus itself. Of ancestral languages ​​to today’s rights. There is much more, since the expansion of Mayan languages ​​is not only a consequence of physical displacement, but also cultural resilience. At present, it is estimated that more than six million people speak one of the More than thirty languages existing Maya, with mam, k’iche ‘, Yucateco and q’eqchi’ as the most spoken. These languages, which come of the proto-demand spoken before the year 2000 AC, they are so different from each other that a Mam speaker cannot understand THE K’ICHE ‘and vice versa. Many survived centuries of colonizationto extermination of the hieroglyphs during the Spanish evangelization and to subsequent institutional oblivion. However, its vitality (and use) continues thanks to the orality and use of the Latin alphabet, imposed in colonial times, which allowed them to keep them alive in civil records, testaments and community acts still preserved in files. Mayan codices The Mayan heritage. The British media counted in his report that some of these languages They have left their mark In global languages ​​without many knowing it. He term “cigar”for example, derives from the Maya Siyar, and “cocoa” (chocolate base) also has Mayan origin, being introduced In Europe By Fray Bartolomé de las Casas. Although the hieroglyphic writing was eradicated by being considered pagan, its modern rediscovery, driven from the second half of the twentieth century by American linguists, Russians and more recently by native speakers, has allowed recover your complexity and beauty. Today, groups Like ch’okwoj either Chíikulal uuchben ts’íib They organize workshops, manufacture t -shirts and print cups with old glyphs to bring new generations to their written legacy. A growing diaspora. It is another of the legs that reflect this Language expansion. Mayan migration to the United States has left a mark both in countries of origin and in receiving communities. In places Like San Juan Atitánthe economic model has gone from subsistence agriculture to remittance dependence (sending money from abroad). “Migrating is what our people argue,” affirmed to the BBC Silvia Lucrecia Carrillo Godínez, Mam teacher. Migration has not only transformed its economy, but also its aspirations: learn to add, subtract some Spanish and leave for the United States has become A common strategy of social mobility. Transforming cities. In the Bay of San Francisco, the Mayan communities initially They settled in the Mission Districtbut by increasing the costs of life, many moved to the East Bay, especially Oakland and Richmond. In fact, so much so that they said that in San Juan it was enough to say “I come from Oakland” so that the inhabitants understand the migratory context. There, in the midst of Californian fogs, Aroldo and as many as he has found a community united by language and traditions. Participate in festivities, they receive Mam messages by WhatsApp And they dream of once again built a house in their homeland. Language as shelter. If you want also, in a world where migrations often imply loss, the persistence of Mayan languages ​​represents a form of cultural resistance. In it case exposed in the BBC Through Aroldo, the MAM is not just a means of communication: it is a link with childhood, family and history. In the house where he lives with his cousins, he insists that his nephew (who is already going to an English -speaking school) speaks first Mam, then Spanish, and finally English. As He indicates“The language makes the earth less surprise.” Thus, far from being a vestige of the past, the Mam de los Maya travels with him as a compass and testimony of a living civilization that reinvents himself in an unpublished and surprising way: in the United States now. Image | Деяненко юиана лександровна, Pikpick, Dave Cooksey In Xataka | The Maya played football. And now we know that under the courts they buried a hallucinogenic surprise In Xataka | The languages ​​of the world are disappearing faster. We have a suspect: climate change

Houston weather forecast for this Tuesday, January 28

The climate in Houston, Texasfor this Tuesday, January 28 will arrive With the skies totally covered. According to the meteorological part provided by Accuweather, the temperature will rise to 61 degrees Fahrenheit (16ºC) of maximum during the day, while for the night it will fall to 57 degrees Fahrenheit (14ºC) of minimal. The probability of rain for these stripes of the day will be between 40 and 25 percent. On the other hand, the thermal sensation, that is, “real temperature” will be around 59ºF (15ºC) of maximum and 59ºF (15ºC) of minimal. At this time of the year in Houston, dawn occurs at 07:14 h, while twilight can be observed at 5:56 p.m. Wind bursts will reach 8.08 mph of maximum in the day and 6.84 mph at night. Do not forget to review the latest climate news in www.laopinion.com/clima What is the climate in Houston? If something is clear, is that Houston’s climate, Texas, is unique and unique. The summers of the city are warm and the soft winters, the sun reigns almost throughout the year, so the climate of the city is usually pleasant. However, it is a city at risk of suffering natural catastrophes, particularly in the hurricane era. The average Houston temperature ranges between 49 ° F (9 ° C) in winter and 90 ° F (32 ° C) in summer. The warmest months we commented are June, July and August and the coldest December, January and February. Houston usually has rainfall that reaches 39 inches per year. Houston moisture and quality The influence of the Gulf of Mexico in a good way the humidity of Houston, which has to be high. Specifically, The relative humidity in Houston varies between 50 and 90%which conditions our temperature perception, feeling it higher than it really is. Houston’s air quality is usually good, but perhaps it can be affected by the contamination of the city’s refinery factories and industries. Unfortunately, the city also experiences high levels of ozone during the summer months, which can be harmful to people with respiratory diseases. Natural catastrophes in Houston As we mentioned, Houston is prone to suffering natural catastrophes, such as hurricanes and floods. Hurricanes are a great threat to the city and to occur can cause important damage and losses of human lives. Likewise, the city also has a risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Gulf of Mexico and its low areas. Finally, Houston also runs the risk of tornadoes, although less frequently than hurricanes or floods. Tornados can cause important damage and even cause injuries. It is important to be prepared for any natural catastrophe that may affect the city for which action plans were designed if necessary. Do not miss the novelties of the climate in Houston in https://laopinion.com/tema/clima-en-houston/. (Tagstotranslate) Climate in Houston

Houston weather forecast for Monday, January 27

The climate in Houston, Texasfor this Monday, January 27, it will take place Fully cloudy. According to the latest information from the meteorological part provided by Accuweather, the temperature will increase to a total of 61 degrees Fahrenheit (16ºC) of maximum during the day, while at night the lowest temperature will be recorded, with 54 degrees Fahrenheit (12ºC) minimum The probability of rain for these stripes of the day will be between 40 and 13 percent. Along with this, the thermal sensation, that is, “real temperature” will be around 59ºF (15ºC) of maximum and 59ºF (15ºC) of minimal. At this time of the year in Houston, dawn will occur at 07:14 h, while sunset can be observed at 5:55 p.m. The wind bursts will reach 9.32 mph of maximum in the day and 6.84 mph at night. Do not forget to review the latest climate news in www.laopinion.com/clima What is the climate in Houston? Houston’s climate, Texas, is unique and is something to appreciate and enjoy. With hot summers and soft winters and sun almost all year, so the climate of the city is usually comfortable. Of course, it is also a city at risk of natural catastrophes, mostly during the hurricane period. The Houston temperature moves between 49 ° F (9 ° C) in winter and 90 ° F (32 ° C) in summer. The warmest months we mention are June, July and August and the coldest December, January and February. Houston usually receives about 39 inches of rain a year. Houston moisture and quality Due to the proximity to the Gulf of Mexico, Houston humidity is usually considerably high. Specifically, The relative humidity in Houston varies between 50 and 90%which makes the temperature perceive as higher than it really is. Houston’s air quality is usually good, although it could often be affected by the contamination of the numerous factories and refineries of the city. Unfortunately, the city also presents high ozone values ​​during the summer months, which is not beneficial for people with respiratory diseases. Natural catastrophes in Houston Despite its favorable climate, Houston is prone to live natural catastrophes, such as hurricanes and floods. Hurricanes are a great threat to the city and and they can cause important damage and losses of human lives. The city is also prone to floods due to its proximity to the Gulf of Mexico and its low areas. Finally, Houston can also suffer from tornadoes, although with less probability than hurricanes or floods. Tornados can cause important material losses and even cause fatalities. It is important to be prepared for any natural catastrophe that may affect the city for which there are already protocols that are activated in case of emergency. Do not miss the novelties of the climate in Houston in https://laopinion.com/tema/clima-en-houston/. (Tagstotranslate) Climate in Houston

Dallas, Texas weather forecast for this Sunday, January 26

This Sunday, January 26, the temperature in Dallas, Texasrise to a maximum of 50 degrees Fahrenheit (10ºC). The chance of rain will be 63% and the sky will be overcast. Additionally, predictions estimate wind gusts of up to 8.08 miles per hour. Overnight, the temperature will be 34 degrees Fahrenheit (1ºC), with a 10% chance of precipitation. Wind gusts will remain around 8.08 miles per hour. On the other hand, the thermal sensation, that is, “real temperature” estimated for this day will be around 46ºF (8ºC) maximum and 46ºF (8ºC) minimum. As for sunrise and sunset, the sun will rise in Dallas at 7:26 a.m. and leave at 5:54 p.m., which means a total of 10 hours of light. Dallas forecast for tomorrow As for the weather in Dallas tomorrow, the forecast indicates that we will have more clouds than clear. Temperatures will vary between 45 and 54 degrees Fahrenheit (7 and 12 degrees Celsius). According to the United States National Weather Service and AccuWeather, the chance of precipitation in Dallas will be 1% in the morning, 2% in the afternoon and 1% at night. Weather in Dallas for the next 7 days If you don’t want any more surprises and know what to expect from the weather in Dallas in the next 7 days, here we give you an estimate of the weather as of today. Remember that weather conditions in Texas change depending on the day, so we advise you to check our site every day. Average Temperature in Dallas The warm season lasts 3.4 months, from June 4 to September 18, and the average daily high temperature is 87°F. The warmest month of the year in Dallas is August, with an average high temperature of 95°F and low temperature of 77°F. On the other hand, the cool season lasts another three months, from November to February, and the average daily maximum temperature is minus 64°F. The month with the lowest temperatures in Dallas is January, with an average minimum temperature of 39°F and maximum of 57°F. Finally, regarding the amount of rain in Dallas, Texas, data from the United States National Weather Service indicates that the rainiest season is from April to October, with a probability of more than 26% that the day will have some time of rain. May is the month in this period with the most rain, with an average of 11 days with at least 1 millimeter of precipitation. The driest season lasts 5.5 months, from October 23 to April 9. The month with the fewest rainy days in Dallas is January. Don’t miss the weather news in Dallas on https://laopinion.com/tema/clima-en-dallas/.

Weather forecast in San Antonio, Texas for this Sunday, January 26

If you live in San Antonio or are traveling to this city in the south of Texasit is important to know what the weather will be like this Sunday, January 26. From hot summers to occasional flooding, it’s vital to know what to expect and how to prepare for today in the city. For most of the day in San Antonio there will be overcast skies. A maximum temperature of 64 degrees Fahrenheit (18ºC) is expected in the central hours of the day and a minimum temperature of 48 degrees Fahrenheit (9ºC) late at night. A northeast wind is also expected, reaching 9.32 mph on the day. The percentage of cloudiness will be 26%. The average atmospheric pressure will be 1018.3 hPa, a measurement that will decrease. Sunrise will be at 07:27 and twilight will be at 18:07, which means a total of 11 hours of light. When does it rain in San Antonio? According to the information provided by AccuWeather, the chances of precipitation in San Antonio, Texas are 80%. The rainy season in San Antonio normally occurs from May to October, with September being the month with the highest volume of rain. Weather in San Antonio, Texas tomorrow The weather forecast in San Antonio, Texas, for tomorrow indicates that cloudy skies with some drizzle are expected. Temperatures will vary between 52 and 55 degrees Fahrenheit (11 and 13ºC). Weather forecast for San Antonio for the next 7 days Check an estimate of the weather in San Antonio, Texas, for next week with the main indicators: temperature, probability of rain, winds and atmospheric pressure. Climate in San Antonio, Texas San Antonio, Texas, is a metropolis popular for its warm climate, with temperatures exceeding 90º F in summer. The Alamo City has a humid subtropical climate, which means mild winters and hot summers. The average annual temperature in San Antonio is 70° F. However, depending on the period these vary greatly. In summer, thermometers can exceed 100° F, so it is important to drink plenty of fluids and stay under cover during the hottest parts of the day. In contrast, winter temperatures in San Antonio are much milder, averaging around 50° F. Don’t miss the weather news in San Antonio on https://laopinion.com/tema/clima-en-san-antonio/.

Austin: weather forecast for this Sunday, January 26

For most of the day in Austin, Texaswe will have overcast skies. A maximum temperature of 54 degrees Fahrenheit (12ºC) is expected in the central hours of the day and a minimum temperature of 43 degrees Fahrenheit (6ºC) late at night. A northerly wind is also expected, reaching 8.08 mph on the day. The percentage of cloudiness will be 26%. Is it raining in Austin today? According to information provided by AccuWeather, the chances of rain are 40% for this day. The average atmospheric pressure will be 1021.0 hPa, a measurement that will be constant throughout the day. The Sun will appear for the first time in the day at 07:25 and twilight will be at 18:03, which means a total of 11 hours of light. Weather in Austin, Texas tomorrow As for the weather in Austin tomorrow, the forecast calls for cloudy skies. Temperatures will range between 48 and 54 degrees Fahrenheit (9 and 12 degrees Celsius). Weather in Austin for the next 7 days If you want to be one step ahead and know what is expected of the Weather in Austin, Texas for the next 7 dayshere we provide you with an estimate of the weather as of today. Remember that weather conditions in Texas change day by day and by area (north or south), so we advise you to check our site daily. Don’t miss the news about the weather in Austin on https://laopinion.com/tema/clima-en-austin/.

Houston: Time forecast for this Friday, January 24

The climate in Houston, Texasfor this Friday, January 24 will arrive With cloudless skies. According to the latest information from the Accuweather meteorological part, the temperature will rise to 55 degrees Fahrenheit (13ºC) of maximum during the day, while at night the lowest temperature will be recorded, with 39 degrees Fahrenheit (4ºC) of minimal. On the other hand, the thermal sensation, that is, “real temperature” will be 61ºF (16ºC) of maximum and 61ºF (16ºC) of minimal. At this time of the year in Houston, dawn will be at 07:15 h, while twilight can be observed at 5:52 p.m. The wind bursts will reach 4.35 mph of maximum in the day and 5.59 mph at night. Do not forget to review the latest climate news in www.laopinion.com/clima What is the climate in Houston? Houston’s climate, Texas, is unique and is something to appreciate and enjoy. Your summers? Warm, your winters? They are compensated being soft. The sun shines almost all year, so the climate of the city is usually pleasant. However, it is a city at risk of natural catastrophes, mostly during the hurricane period. The average temperature in Houston is between 49 ° F (9 ° C) in winter and 90 ° F (32 ° C) in summer. The hottest months we commented are June, July and August and the coldest December, January and February. In addition, the city usually has rainfall that reaches 39 inches per year. Houston moisture and quality Houston humidity is usually quite high due to its location near the Gulf of Mexico. To be concrete, Its relative humidity ranges between 50 and 90%which conditions our temperature perception, feeling it higher than it really is. Houston’s air quality tends to be good, but it can often be affected by the contamination of the city’s refinery factories and industries. Unfortunately, the city also experiences high levels of ozone during the summer months, which can be harmful to people with respiratory problems. Natural catastrophes in Houston Despite its favorable climate, Houston is prone to experience natural catastrophes, such as hurricanes and floods. Hurricanes are a great threat to the city and to occur can cause important damage and losses of human lives. Likewise, the city is also prone to floods due to its proximity to the Gulf of Mexico and its low areas. Finally, Houston is also at risk of turning, although with less probability than hurricanes or floods. Tornados can cause important material losses and even cause fatalities. It is important to be prepared for any natural catastrophe that may affect the city for which there are already protocols that are activated in case of emergency. Do not miss the novelties of the climate in Houston in https://laopinion.com/tema/clima-en-houston/. (Tagstotranslate) Climate in Houston

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