the strike has barely moved

We have been hearing for years that artificial intelligence is going to destroy millions of qualified jobs. Dario Amodei himself, CEO of Anthropic, said last year that AI could affect half of administrative jobs entry level in the coming years. Mustafa Suleyman, head of AI at Microsoft, was more aggressive in your estimatesensuring that most professional work would be replaced within twelve to eighteen months. Now the same Anthropic publish a study which, without denying that the risk exists, forces these predictions to be greatly qualified. What the study measures. The research, signed by economists Maxim Massenkoff and Peter McCrory, introduces a new metric called “observed exposure.” The idea is that instead of asking what tasks AI could do in theory, the authors analyze what it is actually doing now in professional settings, using usage data from Claude in work contexts. The gap between theoretical capacity and actual use. Taking the computer science and mathematics sector as an example, language models would be capable, in theory, of executing 94% of the tasks associated with these professions. In practice, Claude covers 33%, according to the study. In office automation and administrative positions, the theoretical capacity is close to 90%; actual use is far below. The authors themselves illustrate their metric with an example: authorizing the refilling of medical prescriptions to pharmacies is a task that a language model could easily automate, but the study’s researchers have not observed that Claude was currently doing it. And the barriers to AI not automating these types of tasks include legal restrictions, the need for human verification, barriers with software integration, and more. That is to say, the researchers show that all of these tasks could already be done theoretically by AI, but they are not yet being done due to these restrictions that the human being himself imposes. Who are the most exposed. According to the studythe jobs with the highest observed exposure are computer programmers (74.5%), customer service positions (70.1%) and those who operate by entering data (67.1%). At the opposite extreme, 30% of workers have zero exposure: cooks, mechanics, lifeguards, or waiters. They are jobs that require physical presence and that, according to the study, no language model can replicate. For this we would still have to give robotics a lot of time. The demographic profile of the most exposed group also breaks with the usual imagination. According to the study, these workers are 16% more likely to be women, earn on average 47% more, and have significantly higher levels of education. Anthropic reveals in the study that it is not the warehouse worker who is in the spotlight, but the financial analyst, lawyer or software developer. Unemployment. This is the most striking fact of the investigation, because since the arrival of ChatGPT at the end of 2022 until today, the study says that there is no statistical evidence of a systematic increase in unemployment among workers most exposed to AI. The effect, according to the authors themselves, is “indistinguishable from zero.” The Bureau of Labor Statistics yes it projects that the most exposed jobs will grow less between now and 2034. We will have to wait a few years to study how the metrics progress. The youngest, the most affected. The researchers do detect a worrying sign among workers aged 22 to 25: the rate of entry into jobs in high-exposure sectors has fallen by approximately 14% in the post-ChatGPT era compared to 2022. The authors attribute this phenomenon more to a slowdown in hiring than to layoffs. But they warn that the signal is “barely statistically significant” and that the causes could be several: from young people who simply stay longer in their current jobs, to those who opt for other sectors or going back to school. What limitations does the study have? From Forbes, some analysts have pointed out that the research measures the use of Claude, not the use of AI in the economy as a whole. Companies also use ChatGPT, Microsoft Copilot, Gemini or own models, and those interactions do not appear in the data. The authors are aware of this and acknowledge it in the text. The conclusion that “AI is far from reaching its theoretical capacity” depends in part on the limits of what they can measure, and not just the actual limits of adoption. So should we relax? The authors themselves advise against it. The proposed analysis is said to be designed precisely for scenarios in which the impact arrives gradually and is difficult to detect until it is too late. They point out that the effects of AI on employment could be more like those of the internet or trade with China than those of COVID: slow, diffuse, complicated to isolate from other economic factors. They also warn that if the gap between theoretical capacity and actual use closes, as they expect to happen as models improve and adoption spreads, the most vulnerable groups will be precisely those who today have better salaries and more training. Cover image | Unsplash (charlesdeluvio, Emiliano Vittoriosi) In Xataka | NVIDIA has lost hope in China, which is why it has started manufacturing its own next-generation GPUs for AI

There was a time when the Lottery Jackpot “took you away from work.” Today it barely takes away a part of the mortgage

Someone who already has gray hair still remembers that, thirty years ago, May you get the Christmas Fat Man It was practically the key to financial freedom. With the full prize of one tenth (about 30 million pesetas in the 90s) you could buy several houses, pay mortgages and even ensure the well-being of your family with that stroke of luck. Today, with a prize of 400,000 euros (328,000 euros after taxes), that story sounds very different. One of the main conditions is that, in the mid-nineties, the real estate market in Spain I played in another league. Buy an apartment…or several In cities like Madrid, a home of about 90 square meters could be found for less than 14 or 15 million pesetas, according to official statistics. That meant that Fatty Christmas allowed to buy two apartments medium-sized in a big city, or buy one, pay off the mortgage and a good pinch to maintain a good margin of liquidity. In those years, the award was not just help: it was a complete break from financial worries. As was often heard at the doors of lottery administrations while the winners uncorked bottles of champagne, it was a prize that “kept you off work.” Thirty years later, the prize is still striking in terms of numbers, but its real purchasing power has changed. El Gordo has been frozen at 400,000 euros per tenth for more than a decade, while the price of housing has followed an almost constant upward trajectory. In Madrid, the average house price It ranges between 5,500 and 5,758 euros per square meter, which implies that with the 328,000 euros net of the prize, you can barely purchase 60 or 70 square meters at an average price. In practice, this means that Gordo no longer even guarantees a standard floor in many neighborhoods of the capital. Barcelona offers a similar image. With average prices located at 3,084 euros per square meter, the Gordo de Navidad allows buy a modest home or a medium-sized apartment in peripheral areas, but it is far from the purchasing capacity it had in the nineties. The comparison leaves no room for doubt: where before the prize opened the door to buying an apartment in the city and a house on the beachtoday it is barely enough for one, and not necessarily in the best conditions. The contrast is softened slightly if the market is viewed from more affordable cities. In capitals like Zamora or Lugo, where average prices are between 980 and 1,300 euros per square meter, El Gordo continues to allow you to buy spacious homes or even more than a small property. However, even in these more affordable markets, the premium no longer equivalent to that massive asset leap that it represented three decades ago. The difference is not so much in the amount of the prize as in the uneven evolution of prices. This purchasing capacity is also explained by the general price context. He housing cost It was much more aligned with the average income of the population and access to property was not subject to the housing and demand pressure that characterizes the current market. El Gordo, in that scenario, functioned as a real wealth multiplier. A Gordo with more salary, but less power make a salary comparison helps to better understand this change of scale. In the 90s, the average annual salary in Spain was around 2 million pesetas (about 12,000 euros). In that context, the Gordo of 30 million pesetas was equivalent to approximately 15 times the annual salary of a worker medium, which reinforced its perception as an immediate economic transformation: decades of income concentrated in a single stroke of chance. Today, according to the latest data from the National Statistics Institute, the median salary annually in Spain is around 23,300 euros. With this reference, the current Gordo’s 328,000 euros is equivalent to just over 14 times the median annual salary. The proportion, curiously, is not that different from that of the nineties. The big difference appears when that salary multiple faces the price of housing (and all goods in general), which has grown much faster than income. That’s the key to change. Although the premium maintains a similar relationship with salaries, your ability to buy a home has deteriorated drastically. The real estate market has become decoupled from wage growth, and El Gordo, by remaining fixed, has been trapped in the middle of that gap. What was previously enough to buy two apartments today barely covers one, and in many cases forces them to continue getting into debt, although to a lesser extent. The social meaning of Gordo has changed. In the nineties it was synonymous with total economic independence. In 2025, it is still an extraordinary stroke of luck, but its role has shifted, no longer guaranteeing financial freedom, but financial relief. In Xataka | There is something even more difficult than winning the Lottery Jackpot: not making mistakes with the Treasury when collecting it Image | Flickr (srgpicker)

It barely costs 2 euros per month

We are very accustomed to buying online. It is really comfortable: we can “visit” dozens of stores without leaving home. The problem is that, taking into account that Cyber ​​attacks are increasingly commonthere is a possibility that Our data ends in the hands of criminals around the world. Even in regards to our bank information. Can this be fought in some way? The reality is that yes, being also very simple if we use a VPN. There are free options that can get us out of trouble at some point, but better bet on a payment that is quality. There enters surfshark: A VPN that barely costs 1.99 euros a month. Surfshark Starter Subscription – Monthly * Some price may have changed from the last review Buy on the Internet safely with a VPN Free VPN, as we have said above, are very useful. The problem is that, at the time of truth, they work slowing down our Internet traffic. If we take into account how cheap we get a VPN as surfshark, the truth is that it is very worth the investment. It is a small price that, in return, gives us A very useful and simple VPN to useboth on PC and mobile devices. In fact, speaking of devices, we will not have any problem. With a single subscription to this VPN we have the possibility of install it in an unlimited number of devices. In this way, we can protect our Internet traffic wherever we are, it doesn’t matter if it is at home or in an unknown Wi -Fi network, such as a hotel. This tool is included in the Starter Plan, which is what the subscription is called. In addition to the VPN, the plan includes an additional tool that is called ALTERNATIVE ID. It is very useful: it serves to create a series of fictional data that we can use to register on websites where we do not want to give our real information. As we say, having a quality VPN barely costs 1.99 euros a month. In this way, having this starter plan for two whole years has a total price of 47.76 euros, a fairly attractive price if we take into account all the time we will have it with us. Although well, that time in practice is even greater, Since surfshark offers three extra monthsso it will really be 27 months. Some of the links of this article are affiliated and can report a benefit to Xataka. In case of non -availability, offers may vary. Images | Sumup in Unspash In Xataka | Why it is dangerous to connect to public wifis and what you should do to protect yourself In Xataka | Antivirus in Windows 11: What are, differences between free and payment and the best for your PC

They barely have trees to hide

There are still contactless tribes on the planet that defend their territory with nails and teeth. Possibly, the more extreme case is that of the trench they have mounted In North Sentinelbut they are not the only ones. In general, the few tribes of this type that remain have managed to escape the “exterior” showing themselves faithful to their way of life. The problem, As we point out Recently, they are receiving a series of visits Very dangerous. And in other cases, they are directly taking away their “hiding place.” The last resistance. They told it in two extensive reports The Guardian and O Globe. Twenty -five years ago, the anthropologist Beatriz Huertas He followed the traces of an invisible town in the heart of the Peruvian Amazon. The Mashco Pirothe largest indigenous group not contacted on the planet, appeared on the banks of the rivers, took bananas and faded in the jungle. Since then, its history has been that of a silent resistance to threats every time most lethal: Legal and illegal felling, drug trafficking, diseases brought by outsiders and climate change that alters the vital cycles of the jungle. Although Peru protected a portion Of their territory, the wood concessions granted right next and within their traffic areas have caused forced and violent coexistence. The expansion of Protected Areaapproved Almost a decade To avoid these clashes, it was never implemented. The result is a jungle where the Mashco Piro live In constant alert And where even the indigenous guards such as Romel Ponciano confirm that only men and adolescents are seen: the rest is hidden, fearing new fatal meetings. A diffuse border. Despite international treaties already a national law of protection of villages in isolation, the real measures to safeguard the Mashco Piro have been fragmented, slow and insufficient. While the Ministry of Culture reduces budgets and surveillance positions operate with just two people, wood concessions with international certification as FSC (supposedly synonym for sustainability) overlap vital territories for isolated. Companies like Tahuamanu Canales Madera They have been involved in mortal confrontations, and others as wood They manage concessions within the area whose protection remains stagnant Since 2016. In parallel, officials of the Ministry of Agriculture and local authorities such as the mayor of Tahuamanu They promote studies “Verifiers” that seek to question the need for the territory for isolated, prioritizing the commercial value of wood over the right to exist without contact. What do the authorities say. He Official speech oscillates between denying the very existence of isolated peoples (as the former President Alan García) and justify its displacement on behalf of the “order” against drug trafficking. All this under a developmental development that makes indigenous obstacles and not holders of fundamental rights. Paper battles. Indigenous organizations have achieved legal victories, such as the Cancellation of 72 concessions In Loreto, but they fear that these triumphs evaporate if the idea of ​​”shared areas” between isolated villages is institutionalized. In fact, the proposal to exclude non -contacted communities from the consultation processes required by the FSC certification It has been indicated as a serious omission. Impunity. Activists like Carla Cárdenas have presented motions To prohibit any certification in territories with indications of peoples in isolation, but the vote is in the hands of the sector’s own companies. While, The Guardian remembered that each delay in summoning the committee that must decide on the expansion of the Mother of God Reserve prolongs the impunity of operations in Mashco Piro territory and paralyzes other strategic reserves Like Yavarí-Mirimin the north of the country. Plus: all this happens in a region already crossed by the Interoceanic roadwhich brought illegal gold, secondary routes of logging, and a Deep fragmentation of the Amazon ecosystem. Even areas with “more responsible” companies have become conflict points. Two countries and a threat. On the Brazilian side, the situation It is not better. Although the Lula government has taken some steps such as the proposal of the indigenous territory of the Chandless River, indigenous organizations denounce that the commitments are more rhetorical than real. The projected path between Santa Rosa do Purus and Manoel Urbano worries the defenders of the ACRE, as it could become a new entrance door for timber and traffickers. Binational cooperation with Peru, essential to protect a people whose mobility does not know political borders, expired in 2016… and was never renewed. In absence of agreements Government, indigenous organizations themselves have proposed two large territorial corridors that would add 25 million hectares protected From the ground, Manchineru volunteers monitor the movements of their “distrustful relatives” to avoid fatal encounters and preserve their autonomy. But the recent dynamism of the Mashco Piro (their appearance out of season, its downstream) suggests that external pressure is forcing them to alter your patterns traditional Warning from the jungle. Thus, in the core of this silent tragedy the report highlighted a truth that the Mashco Piro repeats when they are shouted from the other shore: They don’t want contact. It is not ignorance or a whim: It is memory. That of generations that have seen diseases, weapons, chainsaws and roads such as Death omens. For the Mashco Piro, the trees They are monuments. Asking them if they want to approach, The answer It is the same: “No, because you are bad.” They do not distinguish between good and bad, but between a worldview that respects the jungle and another that destroys it. If you do not act soon, and if your will is not respected and your territory is protected effectively, that warning could become an epitaph. Without trees and their wood has nowhere to hide. Image | Survival International In Xataka | In the Peruvian Amazon, the latest tribes never contacted will receive a visit: that of oil companies In Xataka | Those who have approached less than 5 km from this island have not returned. An American managed to enter … and has lasted five minutes

Elon Musk has revealed the formula of his team’s success. The problem is that they barely have time to sleep and eat

Facing The experiments and tests around the world that seek to establish a four -day workdaythe richest man on the planet proposes a hardly justifiable leap against. Elon Musk recently revealed which is the “formula of success” of the efficiency office it manages in the United States government. The keys: work So many hours that sleep deprivation threatens the health of the workers themselves. The culture of the extreme. He did it a few weeks ago through Your X account. Elon Musk revealed then that he and his department of government efficiety (Doge) work work nothing less than 120 hours per weeka figure that triples the standard day 40 hours. Musk argued that this titanic effort is what allows them to overcome their “bureaucratic opponents,” who operate with conventional schedules. What does science say to all this? Divide the day. Making the accounts more or less standard, and since a week has 168 hours, working 120 hours is to leave alone 48 hours for any other activityincluding in the eating equation, bathing, moving to work/return home and, of course, sleeping. In the best case, if an employee allocated those 48 hours only to sleep, he would get a maximum of 6.8 hours per night, well below The 8 recommended hours by health experts. However, it is still a utopia considering the time of displacement and any other of the basic needs, so it is likely that real rest is much lower. Science. In Fortune They collected several studies that warn about the serious consequences of working in excess. Mayo Clinic points out that sleep less than 7 hours At night it can contribute to obesity, diabetes, hypertension, heart disease, stroke and depression. WHO data already indicated in 2016 that 745,000 people died by cardiovascular diseases associated with working days of 55 hours or more. Microsueños. Since the 1950s, scientists Like William Dement They have documented The effects of sleep In the brain, identifying the IMPORTANCE OF REM DREAM and discovering the phenomenon of The so -called “microsueños”episodes of momentary unconsciousness that can cause fatal errors at work. More recently, studies have shown that lack of sleep reduces activity in The prefrontal cortex (responsible for decision making) and in The hippocampus (key in memory). The impact is not just neurological. The study of the World Health Organization indicated that working more than 55 hours per week increases by 35% the risk of stroke and in 17% the risk of heart disease. In terms of productivity, an investigation from Stanford University concluded that it falls dramatically After 50 hours a weekand that working 70 hours per week generates almost The same production as 56 hourswhich suggests decreasing yields beyond a certain point. Musk’s obsession. The truth is that it was already known that Musk was a recognized WORLKAHOLIC. In A 2022 interview With investor Ron Baron, he confessed to having lived three years within his factories in Tesla and Spacex, sleeping in sofastents on the roofs and even under his desk, surrounded by metallic dust and the most uncomfortable conditions. No doubt, his labor philosophy of “more hours is equal to more efficiency” has been widely criticizedsince scientific evidence suggests that imposing extreme days does not guarantee better results and, instead, It affects health and the well -being of workers. Govern without sleep. They counted in a VOX medium report that the extreme work rhythm in Doge has already generated serious mistakes In public administration. From multimillionaire mathematical failures to the accidental dissemination of classified information, fatigue seems to be affecting the capacity of the Musk team to make key decisions. The recent dismissal and Hurrying reaction of essential personnel in areas such as nuclear safety and Avian flu response It is a sign that the policy of exhaustion could be having real and dangerous consequences. Plus: Trump administration is implementing Mass dismissals in the IRS In full tax season, which could generate an administrative collapse. In short, these types of measures, promoted by an apparently exhausted team, arouse concerns about the efficacy and stability of the government Under this new hyperproductivity model. The failures of “hacking” the dream. Paradoxically, Musk and other technological leaders have recognized that The dream cannot be replaced. Companies like Eight Sleepthat sold rest capsules From no less than 4,600 dollars to Musk and his team, they reinforce the idea that, although the culture of extreme work remains promoted, they are also looking for more efficient ways to achieve that eight -hour standard. Even figures such as Mark Zuckerberg and Jeff Bezos have defended the Importance of rest In productivity. On the other sidewalk, while Musk insists on that exhausting routine, he himself has admitted that his ancient habits caused “brain pain”, in fact, his Erratic behavior in networks Social raises doubts about whether you are really improving your rest. Sleep more, no less. Despite the alleged glamor that some try to grant sleep deprivation, scientific evidence is overwhelming: The rest is indispensable For the optimal functioning of brain and body. Instead of glorifying days of 120 hours per week, the real challenge should be to find ways to maximize productivity without compromising health. One thing seems clearly clear: at the end of the day, not even the brightest and most innovative minds can escape human biology. Musk either. Image | Gage Skidmore In Xataka | In his eagerness to attack the public sector, Elon Musk has crossed a line: distorting the story of Hitler and Stalin In Xataka | In his efforts to cut and fire workers in the US, Elon Musk has gone one step further: Italy

Perfectionors, modulable and barely noticeable on the skin

Look pretty skin begins taking care of it through formulas as they adapt to their needs and Even at the season of the year. Starting from this base is the first trick that those who can always boast of the complexion share practically daily; The second is to choose a makeup background with which to finish unifying the tone, enhancing the luminosity or counteracting excess shine, hiding any sign of tiredness and prepare a perfect canvas on which to build the rest of the make up. Although in this field the rules are to break them and experimentation is more than allowed, the reality is that The vast majority of makeup artists choose light and practically imperceptible bases that apply little by little and in the fair amount. © Spotlight Launchmetics The look that these makeup bases get is that of a Naturally beautiful skin, without notable and healthy -looking imperfections. All this thanks to modulable coverage formulas that allow from the average or light that many prefer for their day to day until the full glam. An expert trick? Start applying little product in the center of the face and blur out; If necessary, little by little in areas that require some more saturation are added. The result, of a subtle uniformity, also hard intact much more time and is less prone to highlight wrinkles or expression lines. To check for yourself why experts prefer these formulas, we present you four of the most beloved and usedthose that are never missing in their professional briefcases for the same reason: they always get the perfect look. Luminous Silk makeup base by Giorgio Armani It is a real favorite between models, Celebrities and also among the brides for their ability to reveal an perfected, bright and natural -looking skin. Its light and silky texture linked to an average to modulable coverage makes it an ally of those who seek a radiant finish that extol their features, correcting imperfections and unifying the complexion instantly. All this thanks to its high -impact pigments, oil -free formula, technology Micro-Fil of low intensity and a wide range of 29 tones. Price: 60 euros. Reveal Skin Refillable Optimising Foundation, from Prada A soft matt finish and the possibility of increasing its average coverage by adding more product where necessary. Its long duration has also made it one of the most desired formulas, also driven by technology Micro-Filter ™a molecule that is microcristalizes on the complexion to provide blurred luminosity; vitamin E to improve tone; 100 % active niacinamide that enhances hydration levels; and the lactobacillus extract complex that perfects the texture. Price: 60 euros. Teint Idôle Ultra Wear, from Lancôme A long -term makeup base and light texture that resists everything from water to sweat, with a natural matt finish that works in dry, sensitive, mixed, fat, acneicas … contains hyaluronic acid of great moisturizing power ; 81% of Skincare Serum based on antioxidant vitamin E or anti -folding moringa oil, which protects against dark spots and the appearance of imperfections; In addition to SPF 35 as protection against external aggressions and sun damage. Finally, their tones are designed with green oxide and blue oxide pigments, building a range that offers response to skles from lighter to darker. Price: 54 euros. All Hours Foundation, by Yves Saint Laurent A bright matte finish base, without brightness, and with a modulable coverage that creates a “second skin effect” capable of enduring up to 24 hours. Its ultrasensorial light texture falls in love with those who have fatty skin and their new improved formula controls and absorb excess sebum, guaranteeing an impeccable finish throughout the day. Among its main ingredients is the jasmine extract that protects the skin, while hyaluronic acid keeps the skin hydrated. Finally, technology SKIN-FUSING™ Simulates the skin composition, so that makeup is much more water resistant, spots and sweat, enduring intact for a longer time. Price: 60 euros. (Tagstotranslate) Beauty

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