We have been dreaming of a temperature drop for days this week. Aemet believes that we still have the worst

The arrival of storms to the north third of the Peninsula has monopolized part of weather care During this week. However, for a good part of Spain, heat remains intense and in some areas this implies risks to the well -being of people who reside or work there. A red notice, by heat. The State Meteorology Agency (AEMET) has activated A red notice (Extreme risk) due to high temperatures in the east, south and west zone of Gran Canaria. It is one of the various notices that the agency will keep activated over the next few days as a result of high temperatures. According to the agency’s notices, the maximum is expected reach 40º In the Tirajana basin, a temperature that can be normal these days in some areas of the southern peninsular but has led experts to give the alarm. The notice also indicates the persistence of heat, with minimal temperatures above the 25º barrier, but which could reach 30º. That is, the “Equatorial nights”They will be the norm in this area. The eye put in the humidity. The good news is that the forecasts indicate a low relative humidity in the area. Wet heat It can increase The thermal sensation, but can also increase the risk derived from high temperatures by preventing our body from dissipating the heat it generates. The situation in the Canary Islands will also improve from tomorrow, although yellow warnings will still be activated due to high temperatures in the south of the island of Gran Canaria. Thermal relief, partly. The situation is partly extrapolated to the center and south of the Iberian Peninsula. Temperatures today They will be high in much of the country and Aemet has activated numerous notices by high high temperatures, among which the temperature notices of up to 42º in some areas of the interior of Andalusia. With the arrival of the trough, the storms will reach the peninsular but the thermal relief can be noticed in more extensive areas. It is expected that on Friday there are not only notices in the center and the west peninsular, and on Saturday the notices are expected to be limited to areas of the Mediterranean basin. Waiting. For now we do not know what will hold us next week. Medium -term forecasts They predict a second half of the month of July warmer and dry than normal in most of the territory, so a heat return would not be entirely strange. For now we will have to wait to approach the passage of the storms and at the end of this warm episode before knowing what will hold us the last weeks of the month. In Xataka | The hydrological bonanza could not be eternal: drought is a real threat after an extremely warm, and also dry June Image | ECMWF / Aemet

Aemet warns of the arrival of a new Dana, and is expected

Just a couple of days ago, weather models They began to glimpse The possible formation of a new isolated depression in height, a Dana, on the waters of the Atlantic. The observations are confirming the expected and now the experts warn of the arrival of a phenomenon that is expected intense. Special notice. The State Meteorology Agency (Aemet) has issued a special notice for storms and intense rainfall associated with the newly formed Dana. The situation will affect the northern half and third this peninsular between tomorrow 11 and Saturday, July 12. What’s happening. At the beginning of this week, meteorologists proved that the Peninsula had been divided between two air masses, one to the north, under the influence of vaguades and a mass of cold air, and another to the south with anticyclonic time in which heat resisted leaving. The days have passed and but the apparent return of stability and heat has been just a mirage, at least for part of the country. The reason is the decoration of a Dana, an area of ​​low height pressures that is separating from the cold circulation of the north. This Dana is being formed to the west of the Iberian Peninsula and will soon arrive by the atmospheric circulation itself. What we can expect. Aemet’s special notice speaks From the arrival of “high adversity storms in the northern and third half of our territory, accompanied locally of large hail, very strong wind and very strong showers.” Tomorrow, Friday 11, they await us according to the agency storms that would gain intensity from the afternoon both in the Cantabrian mountain range and in the Iberian system, and that they would go little by little by moving north or northeast. These storms could lead to hail of size greater than 2 cm in diameter and showers that would accumulate up to 30-40 mm in an hour, in addition to “very strong” wind gusts. On Saturday 12, Aemet sees “likely” that the Dana is moving to the east, which would take instability to the west peninsular and, especially, to the northeast quadrant. Uncertainty. The forecasts They point out the probable arrival of this extreme but Aemet event warns of a certain degree of uncertainty. As they explain, the probability that the arrival of the Dana has storms and intense rainfall is “very high”, greater than 70%, but not total. As they detail, “the described scenario is quite likely, the uncertainty inherent to this type of disturbances makes it difficult to specify the areas where a greater impact will occur.” Uncertainty increases the more we move away in time, but the agency estimates that the Dana’s passage does not have major impacts from Sunday, day 13. In Xataka | “Clouds of fire”, the phenomenon that makes escape from sixth generation fires can make it impossible Image | ECMWF

Aemet at last at the end of the extreme heat tunnel in Spain. The only problem is what comes in place

During the last weeks, the successive hot episodes (including the heat wave at the end of June and early July) have alternated with the arrival of vaguades that offered a certain thermal relief. A relief loaded with storms and hail, but relief after all. However, the dynamics of recent weeks seem to have broken. Postbile Dana. Meteorological models foresee the possible formation of a DANA, an isolated depression at high levels. This phenomenon, Experts of Meteoredthis phenomenon would bring more hailstorms in addition to winds of consideration. Two masses of air. The arrival of the Dana would also occur in a context also different from what we had seen in a June where the heat was extended by almost the entire peninsula. The first days of this are mana are characterized however by A two -speed Spain: With a mass of cold air installed in the peninsular north and a warm air dominating the center and the south. The long -awaited thermal relief is therefore produced at two veliocities, more quickly in the north (where temperatures have already moderated) and more slowly in the south, where the thermometers will move away from the 40º mark but with a slower stabilization. Uncertain weekend. That would be the context in which Dana could make an appearance. There is still uncertainty about how the “Descolgue” of this area of ​​low pressures will be and its entry into the Peninsula, but the simulations indicate that the arrival of this phenomenon will occur between Friday 11 and Sunday 13. More storms, more hail. This leaves us a panorama of uncertainty for the end of this week: if this arrival of the DANA occurs the instability could be high and that means that we could see a new rough storms with rainfall and strong winds. According to the modelsSaturday will be the day when it is noticed in our environment. According to these same models, the most affected areas will be the north third, the northeast peninsular and part of the Mediterranean coast. A summer of uncertainties. The question now is to know what will happen after this week of relief. While the warm episodes of the last month and a half had been interspersed for days of storms and temperature reduction, these stops in the thermal escalation had been rather brief. This week however the arrival of several troughs, including an associated with the possible Dana could involve a somewhat more marked reduction in temperatures. For now it is soon to know what will happen. The Monthly prediction From the State Meteorology Agency (AEMET) points out that we still have hotter weeks than usual for these dates, between 3rd and 5th warmer than the average. The quarterly forecasts Aemet also indicates that we have several warm months ahead: 70% probability that it is. In Xataka | “Clouds of fire”, the phenomenon that makes escape from sixth generation fires can make it impossible Image | ECMWF

Aemet indicates that we will touch the 43rd to orange notices for storms

In Sunday afternoon, locations such as Morón de la Frontera (Sevilla) or Montoro (Córdoba) saw their thermometers to place On the edge of the 43rd Celsius. Although high temperatures are not going to disappear so quickly, the phenomenon that experts are now worried is A week of change. Meteorologists foresee A new change Meteorological this week, one that will not only bring us a drop in temperatures: the models warn of the arrival of storms that could be intense. As if that were not enough, hail could also make an appearance. What is happening? Since the end of last month, the meteorological sway was marked by the succession of several dorsal and a trough. The former brought us atmospheric stability and high temperatures, the last one brought us rainfall and a brief relief of heat. However, the fresco is not going to bring a new trough, Experts warn: It will be an isolated depression at high levels, a Dana. Although it is expected that as of today the storms begin to demonstrate in the north, the effects of this Dana will be especially notorious in Galicia from the day of Tuesday. From heat to storms. According to The forecasts From the State Meteorology Agency (Aemet), the storms will have the probability of being strong and arriving accompanied by both hail and “very strong” gusts in some areas of the plateau, Eastern Betic System and in the Iberian South. The agency has activated various notices For storms in these areas, oranges in the case of the province of Teruel for “very strong hail probability and very strong wind gusts.” On Wednesday, “strong” storms are also expected in the northern half, with probable showers in western Galicia, Cantabrian environment, Alto Ebro, the Iberian and the Pyrenees. Aemet storm notices will be activated in most of the Peninsular Northern area, with orange notices in areas of the Basque Country and Catalonia. Not far from 40º. Despite the decrease in temperatures, storms will coexist with heat. So much so that weather notices for rains and storms will coexist these days with notices due to extreme temperatures above 37º. Aemet has also activated An orange alert on Tuesday on the Ebro banks in Zaragoza due to maximum temperatures of up to 39º. In Xataka | The time of truth of the Spanish reservoirs: how are they going to endure the heat after rains that has left them overflowing Image | ECMWF

Aemet emits the first orange warnings by extreme temperatures

A few days ago, meteorologists They foresee that the worst of the warm episode that affects the Iberian Peninsula would come from Wednesday. Well, we are on Thursday and the forecasts become facts: the “Iberian oven” has activated and with it preventive measures. Orange warnings. Heat has led to the State Meteorology Agency to issue A series of yellow and orange notices by maximum temperatures. Today’s notices will affect seven autonomous communities, tomorrow Friday to nine. The Sevillian countryside will be the most affected area, where notices will be oranges due to maximum temperatures of 40º Celsius. Oven ignition. The obvious question is what is happening for the sudden arrival of more typical temperatures of summer than at the end of May. The answer can be found in the phenomenon known as “Iberian oven” As details Marta Almarcha in eltiempo.esthe phenomenon begins with the appearance of a dorsal in middle and high layers, that is, in the prolongation of a high -pressure center. This implies atmospheric stability and air -descendant movements that compress and heat the air mass over our own heads. More than an anticyclone. Anticyclonic and stable time also contributes to a High insolation which in turn also implies heat. As if this were not enough, Aemet warned a few days ago of the irruption of a Dana located between the Canary Islands and the Gulf of Cádiz that since yesterday pushes warm, dry and with dust in suspension to the peninsular south. Heat, very heat. The result, the one that is well palpating: heat. According to them Aemet forecaststoday maximum “high temperatures are expected for the time in most of the Peninsula”, with areas of the South exceeding the 34º-36º and with the possibility of exceeding 38º-40º in the Guadalquivir and Guadiana Extremadura. The story will be similar tomorrow Friday, with high maxims, possibility of exceeding 34º-36º degrees in the southern Atlantic aspect and the 38º-40º in the Guadalquivir, but without ruling out that the thermometers also reach this temperature at points of the Guadiana and depressions of the northeast. On Saturday a similar situation will be repeated as far as the maxims are concerned. Tropical nights. In addition to the maximum, the minimum temperatures also concern many. The fact that night temperatures They are not going to get off the 20th In some areas the dream of many will make it difficult. This is the phenomenon known as “tropical nights.” Spring activation. It is not the first time that we see this “Iberian oven” be activated in the middle of spring. In 2023 without going any further We were talking of its possible activation at the end of April. In Xataka | The reservoirs are almost 22% above the average of the last decade. There is an “but” important before celebrating Image | ECMWF

The problem of heat arrival is not just the 40º planned by Aemet: also the “tropical nights”

Heat has come and with him a more annoying phenomenon than the high daytime temperatures: the so -called “tropical nights.” Bad news for those who have problems reconciling with heat. Tropical nights. The warm episode that this week is manifested on a good part of Spain threatens to bring maximum thermometers above 35º in various areas, even above 40º in areas such as the Guadalquivir Valley. However, beyond the maximum, There is another fact to pay attention: minimum temperatures. We talk about “Tropical nights“When the minimum night temperatures do not fall from the 20th Celsius. That will be precisely what happens in areas of the southern peninsula and in the Canary Islands throughout the week, according to the forecasts of the State Meteorology Agency (Aemet). According to Aemet In an informative note Dedicated to the warm episode, the minimum temperatures will rise throughout the week, more slowly and intense than the maximum, yes. The minimums above 20º will affect areas of the southwest quadrant and the Mediterranean coast, also extending to the Ebro Valley during Saturday. On the edge of the “equatorial night.” In fact, Aemet’s forecasts They anticipate minimums that could remain around 24th towards the end of the week in areas of Malaga or Cádiz. This implies that some areas are on the edge of the call “Equatorial Night”, Term that refers to the nights on which the minimums do not fall from the 25th. A anticyclone, and a Dana? But what is happening so that spring has ended so abruptly? Much of the fault has an anticyclone inside located on the waters of the Atlantic, around the Azores. The influence of high pressures will leave us a great atmospheric stability, explains Aemet, with “practically clear skies and high insolation.” But there is even more: from Wednesday, the appearance of a Dana between the Canary Islands and the Gulf From Cádiz I could drag with it a mass of warm, dry and with suspension dust, first to the south and then towards the peninsular center. The result of this would be the additional increase in the temperatures that we will see throughout the second half of the week. Notices for extreme temperatures. Thus, the agency has issued several notices for extreme temperatures for tomorrow Wednesday and for Thursday by maximum temperatures between 37º and 39º. Is there an end in view? The big question now is when this will end. And the truth is that it is still early to venture since uncertainty predominates towards the end of the week, says Aemet. According to Explain the agencyit is “likely that as of Saturday 31 the Dana will dissipate” and that instability in the peninsular northern increases, in turn giving clouds to reduce the failure of these days. In any case, we will have to wait to see if these predictions are confirmed. In Xataka | The reservoirs are almost 22% above the average of the last decade. There is an “but” important before celebrating Image | ECMWF

We have been wondering for two months when the heat arrives in Spain. Aemet finally has an answer: already

2025 has been a year anomally wetat least for the Iberian Peninsula. The month of April the rainfall was 11% higher To the usual in peninsular Spain, and in recent weeks we have also seen many days marked by rainfall. But perhaps what will mark the end of spring are temperatures. Summer arrives. Meteorologists glimpse on the horizon an increase in temperatures from next week. A change of trend that, according to Trend predictions In the medium term of the State Meteorology Agency (Aemet) could leave us an end of May and a first half of June and warm than usual. The 36º appear. Meteorologists expect that atmospheric stability will be taken over the skies throughout the weekend. This will be translated, they explain from Eltiempo.esin an increase in temperatures. According to these forecasts, temperatures are expected above the 27th Celsius in capitals such as Valladolid or Zaragoza, while cities such as Madrid and Badajoz would exceed 30º. However, maximum temperatures will be seen in the southwest, where the thermometers could be between 35º and 36º. Three warm and dry weeks ahead. If we add to this the Aemet predictionswe can intuit that we are in the advanced transition between spring and summer. The agency hopes that the remaining week of May will be marked by higher temperatures and lower rainfall than these dates would be expected. The thermal anomaly is expected to be between the degree and the three degrees above the average in much of the country, with the interior of the southern half reaching an anomaly between three and five degrees. The situation will be similar during the first half of the month of June, with almost all of the Peninsula watching thermal anomalies above the three degrees on average. Regarding rainfall, Aemet predictions for next week draw a scenario where dry anomaly is the standard, with up to 10 mm less than usual in practically the entire Iberian Peninsula and with dry anomalies of up to 30 mm in localized areas of the northern half. The first half of June will be similar, although uncertainty gains ground. What is happening? The main culprit of this is a phenomenon closely associated with summer: the Azores anticyclone. According to Explain the meteorologist Mario Picazothe trough of cold air that during this Week will continue to lead An unstable time and storms, especially on the Mediterranean coast, will be retiring at the same time that the anticyclone appears in the west. In Xataka | Japanese scientists have taken the lightning rod to the next level: with a drone that hunting lightning Image | ECMWF

Aemet is clear that the end of May will not be “normal.” And the question is whether summer will arrive at some point

We were going to suffer the first summer bars and, although the calima has punctured expectations a bitthe truth is that heat and dryness They have been the great protagonists of the meteorology of most of the country. And I say most because in the northwest the storms are already being noticed: the next few hours, a new Dana will cross the peninsula leaving showers, storms and heavy rains throughout the country. It’s just the beginning. Things are going to change and we have been listening to it weeks; But the truth is that, for now, The situation remains the same. A meteorological combo. Because yes, the first thing will be a Dana that will sweep us from the Peninsular North and will leave Tuesday night towards France; But, then (between Thursday and Friday) a trough will affect the Mediterranean area. And, as I say, Everything seems to point to that it takes and daca It is not the end of spring During the next few days, days full of strong storms with more stable days will be happening. What is clear is that, we want or not, It will not be the normal situation For the last half of May. The best example will be the weekend. Because once the trough, stability will take over the country. The question asked everyone (meteorologists included) is whether it is the definitive one. Luckily, medium/long -term trends are here. And, for the first time in a long time, they begin to Draw a “return to normal”. European models point out that, although most of the Peninsula will receive average rainfall (and the north, a little more than normal), the southeast of the country must prepare to forget what has happened during this spring: the driest climate is here again. In fact, that is the second half of May. If we look at the first half of June, that climate “slightly dry than normal” will be present throughout the southern half, the Mediterranean coast, the Balearic Islands and the Canary Islands. The northwest quadrant will have a rainfall regime “within normal.” Something similar We will see with temperatures: During these two weeks, the fresco will endure in some zoans of the interior, but progressively all of Spain will slide towards a warmer situation than normal. Not too much, it is true: but enough to break the very long streak of strange patterns that began in March this year. Will summer start? It is a great question. The problem is that we do not know. Image | ECMWF | Ryoji Iwata In Xataka | The problem for Aemet is not to get a retrograde Dana. The problem is that we have been really strange for months

Where we had heat waves before, Aemet only expects rain and cold

Although there are many areas that have not noticed, the first weekend has been starring large storms in much of the country. And, according to weather models, The thing is not going to stay there. Throughout this week, a new anticyclonic block in the British islands will be consolidated. It is not clear if this is going to open, again, the doors of the Atlantic (some models draw a ‘bridge’ between the Azores and Ireland), but right now the probability that vaguada or cold strokes will begin to get off the cold or storms is very high. So much so that Monday we already have rains. Catalonia, the north of the Valencian Community, the Balearic Islands and the interior of the plateau will have rains, hailstorms and strong winds throughout Monday. During Tuesday the storms will be primarily paid in the northwest third of the country. On Wednesday, According to Samuel Bienerthe storms will be reinforced in “The East Castilla-La Mancha, Sierras de Granada, Jaén and Almería, interior of the region of Murcia, Teruel and the Valencian Community.” But, as I say, that’s just the appetizer. Because if the models get right We will have a Dana (or a cold storm, it is not yet clear) near the peninsula at the end of the week. Be that as it may, this assures us a very unstable first Miad: unstable skies, water and Reasonable temperatures – Well below normal ,. A rare spring. If we lift the view and look at a couple more weeks, the forecasts are quite clear: everything seems to indicate that a long storm period awaits us. As they explain in CazatorentasIt is a direct consequence of the blockade. That draws a spring very different from the previous ones. Different? Not so much because of the temperatures that, with nuances, are within normal in most of the country. The nuances are that, on the coasts, they will be “slightly warmer than normal” and that, at the southwest end, they will be “slightly colder than normal.” This, already, gives us a good track of the expected rains. Except the Canary Islands and the Northwest Third, The models wait that rainfall in May is more intense than normal. Everything seems to indicate that summer can more and the tap will end up closing, but all this planets interesting things. The most important is what will happen now. Change of trend or simply an extremely weird year? Image | ECMWF In Xataka | May is putting a March face: Aemet’s great question is if 2025 will definitely end the drought

Aemet has just published its prognosis

The “May bridge” looks at us from the end of the week and, while Media Spain compulsively update the AEMET applicationthe models begin to clear the uncertainties of recent days. Although, unfortunately, this is not to say too much. All eyes looking at a single storm. One that “moves slowly west of the peninsula reinforced by cold air in the highest layers of the atmosphere.” And that is the problem: that is moving exasperatingly slowbut at any time you can paste an acceleration. In fact, even if it does not, it is very likely to leave rains at least in the west of the peninsula. The question at this point of the week is where it will rain exactly. What we don’t know. Part of the problem is that everything seems to indicate that most of these rainfall They can be stormy. The bad news is that this makes its prediction even more complex; The good is that we are not talking about continuous rains, but of something (rather) of a timely nature. What we do know. Luckily, Amet He has just taken his weekly prediction. We know that Borrasca will approach the Peninsula on Wednesday and the first rains make an appearance in Galicia and Portugal. For Friday, we hope that different rainfall bands begin to admit for the northwest. With them the rays, lightning, wind and hail will come. And if I struck her follow your planned behavioron Saturday the rains will be more widespread (selling from the northern end of the peninsula). So will it rain or not? As I say, the answer is complicated: As Martín León explainsBorrasca will bring “unstable time both for the west (we are) and sunny and stable time the more the east (we are).” It rains or does not rain. What we can expect are spring temperatures throughout the week. All this will bring South wind and the thermometers could shoot up to 27 degrees in places like Bilbao. In the south, the 30 can give them for discount. So we expect a very typical of the spring: pleasant temperatures and much uncertainty. Let’s enjoy it, just summer. Image | ECMWF In Xataka | “One of the most extreme phenomena in history”: meteorologists are dismayed before the heat wave of Africa and Asia

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