Germany has spent three nights copying Taiwan. If Russia decides to invade it, it has had an idea: surprise them underground

Last July, the Taiwan subway experienced an unusual day: Instead of passengers loaded with purses and suitcases, soldiers, soldiers and more soldiers armed with anti-tank missiles began to arrive at Taipei stations. The reason was twofold: to send a message inside and outside (China) of the country. That idea seduced Germany, and now that it has begun its rearmament it has launched in Berlin. A disturbing return. The exercise Bollwerk Bärlin III Last week, he returned to the German capital a scene that seemed banished to the memories of the 20th century: soldiers descending U-Bahn stairsjumping onto the tracks and advancing through smoke, simulated gunshots and cars taken over by “saboteurs.” For three nights, between 1 and 4 in the morning, about 250 members of the Wachbataillon (a unit known for its ceremonial role but with infantry functions) transformed stations like Jungfernheide into a real underground battlefield to practice assaults, close combat, evacuation of civilians and protection of critical infrastructure in a realistic environment in which nothing is altered or mocked up: the narrowness of the tunnels, limited visibility and changes in light are the same as they would find in a real war scenario. In the background: Russia. They remembered the TWZ analysts that this return to urban warfare in tunnels and stations, without embellishments or theatrical simulations, symbolizes a profound change in Germany’s strategic priorities and revealed the extent to which the shadow of a possible conflict with Russia has penetrated into the very heart of Germany. his military planning. The metamorphosis. The battalion in charge of displaying honors on state visits had been conceived for decades as a symbol of institutional stability, not as a combat force. However, its real operational mission (protecting the federal government and its facilities in the event of a crisis) today takes on an urgency that has not been seen for a long time. Hence the direct tone of his commanderlieutenant colonel Maik Teichgräber: Berlin is your area of ​​operations and they must prepare for “the worst case scenario,” which means training where you would really fight. The use of stations closed to the public allows practice quick entriesassaults on trains, neutralization of enemies and immediate removal of wounded, integrating snipers, perimeter security and coordination between units in a densely urbanized environment. The presence of additional scenarios (such as the former Rüdersdorf chemical plant or the Ruhleben police complex) underlines the desire to turn the capital’s defense into a multidimensional exercisecapable of absorbing everything from internal sabotage to coordinated incursions that seek to paralyze the political center of Germany. Global dimension of the trend. Which happens in Berlin It is also reflected in other regions of the world. How we countTaiwan uses its subway as a defensive artery during the Han Kuang exercises, aware that, in the event of a Chinese invasion, underground infrastructure they would be vital to move troops and supplies while the surface becomes a continuous target. In parallel, the United States has raised the underground war a priority for its special forces, responding to the proliferation of fortified tunnels, dense urban areas and the expansion of drone swarms that force troops to seek refuge underground. The growing autonomy of unmanned systems, already present in Ukraine, accelerates this trend: in a future where aerial surveillance will be almost constant, defending in depth will mean dominating not only streets and buildings, but subways, tunnels, pipelines and interconnected bunkers. The war of the future, according to these emerging doctrines, will be fought both upwards (against drones, sensors and loitering munitions) and downwards, in an underground network that takes on strategic value. Echoes of the Cold War. He training on the U-Bahn inevitably refers to a divided Berlinwhen the city was a western enclave surrounded by Warsaw Pact forces. At that time, the United States, the United Kingdom and France were rehearsing urban operations aimed at slowing down an invasion to gain political time, aware that holding the city indefinitely was unrealistic. Units like the (secret) Detachment A They practiced sabotage and unconventional warfare techniques from the shadows. Even stations, such as Pankstraße or Siemensdamm, were designed like nuclear shelters for more than 3,000 people for weeks, with armored doors and air filtering. The reunified Germany had left behind that architecture of fear, and today, faced with a panorama of uncertainty, it returns to study how to reactivate these civil protection capabilities. The contrast is evident: what in 1994 seemed unnecessary is once again considered a strategic necessity. Historical rearmament. we have been counting. The exercise is also part of a context transformation unprecedented german military apparatus. By 2029, Berlin plans spend 153,000 million euros per year in defense (around 3.5% of GDP), an enormous jump from the levels that for decades were a source of friction with Washington. It is a rearmament designed not only for modernize capabilitiesbut to adapt the country to threats that They are no longer theoretical: What happens 900 kilometers away, in Ukraine, conditions the entire strategy. This budget increase has led NATO to consider a symbolic turn that would have been unthinkable during the Cold War: that Germany would command the allied forces in Europe. Although that moment has not arrivedthe expectation underscores the pressure on Berlin to demonstrate that it can take on top responsibilities and is willing to prepare its military for complex scenariosfrom urban sabotage to large-scale conventional warfare. Strategic warning. Teichgräber put it clearly: Nobody can guarantee that the war that is currently devastating Ukraine will not one day reach German territory. That phrase sums up the background of Bollwerk Bärlin III. The Bundeswehr trains in the subway tunnels because it understands that contemporary conflicts do not respect borders or capitals. The hybrid warcoordinated attacks on critical infrastructure and the massive use of drones They make the interior of cities as vulnerable as their borders. If you like, what is at stake is not only the defense of Berlin, but Germany’s capacity to react facing a moment in which the strategic … Read more

Artificial platforms to invade an island

It is not necessary to go very far to find clues about the challenges that China has with Taiwan. In December, the island found an army of 53 airplanes and 90 Chinese ships In an unpublished exhibition. Days before, filtered documents showed that the nation has a plan with up to six options To invade the island through the beach and its ports. All this does nothing but confirm with the latest images. If things twist, everything is almost ready. Images and video. In the last 24 hours it has leaked A video and several images through of the Navalnews medium that have revealed the presence and deployment of new Chinese lifting barges (called in English Jack-Up Barges), used to build temporary docks that can extend in the sea and facilitate amphibious operations. No doubt, development is seen as part of China’s preparations for a Possible Taiwan invasionas well as a strategy to expand the use of maritime assets of civil appearance in support of the Navy of the Popular Liberation Army (PLAN). In fact, The video It shows three of these barges deployed in tandem on an unidentified beach, confirming China’s intention to integrate them into their military infrastructure. What we see. As we said, satellite snapshots From Guangzhou Shipyard International (GSI) On Longxue Island they have confirmed the departure of three of these barges, previously under construction, while three other remain in development. Analyst Tom Shugart, from the American Security Center (CNAS), identified this movement And he pointed out in his X account that vessels did not use the Automatic identification system (AIS), which suggests that China seeks to avoid its tracking or that, in effect, they are active plan. As we will see below, this behavior is similar to that of other double -use ships that have participated in Chinese military exercises and other nations. Aerial view of one of the artificial ports called Mulberry, built by the allies against Arromanches, Normandía (September 1944) Mulberry ports. The most striking of the design of these barges is their ability to join to form a single structure extended in the sea. They counted in media Like The War Zone that initially it was thought that they would work independently, but the new evidence shows that they are designed to operate together, creating a kind of floating dock of approximately 850 meters longallowing the transfer of loads from larger vessels in deeper waters. The truth is that this floating infrastructure model It is not new in military historysince he remembers and much The Mulberry ports used For the allies in it Normandy landing During World War II. With a notable difference, yes: the Chinese version It incorporates hydraulic supports that raise barge on water, providing stability even in adverse climatic conditions, which could guarantee a constant flow of loading, vehicles and troops without depending on traditional ports. Comparison with other infrastructure. The idea of ​​using floating docks with military purposes It is not exclusive from China. Recently, the United States Army implemented a similar system To expedite the delivery of humanitarian aid in Gaza (although a storm seriously damaged it), which demonstrated the vulnerability of this type of infrastructure in extreme climatic conditions. In contrast, the design of Chinese barges, with their elevators, offers greater resistance to the inclement weather and could be key to establishing a continuous logistics supply in an operation. However, these structures also have disadvantages. Being large and stationary once deployed, they become easy and high strategic value objectives, which suggests that its main use would be possibly after the initial assault, facilitating the arrival of reinforcements and supplies once the area has been insured. The role of the civil naval industry. The use of civil infrastructure for military purposes is a key tactic in China’s strategy. It is known, in fact, because It has been documented in the annual Pentagon report on Chinese military development. Although the plan has not invested in the amount of landing vessels that analysts believe necessary for a large -scale invasion of Taiwan, yes has reinforced its abilities with civil ships turned into military assistants, such as The so-called Roll-on/Roll-Off (Ro/ro) and other logistics platforms. More than one purpose. This commercial asset militarization trend is not only designed for a possible invasion of Taiwan, but also could be applied in Other strategic scenarios inside the Indo-Pacific. Of course, these resources could also be used in disaster response operations and humanitarian assistance as the United States already did, which allows China to project power under a “benevolent” appearance. Perspectives and geopolitics. It is the last of the legs to be treated after knowing some images that leave so few doubts. The development of these lifting barges and their potential use in An invasion of Taiwan They have generated concern among military analysts in the United States and their allies. In fact, previous reports indicated that Beijing could be in a position to launch a military operation against Taiwan By 2027although other more recent estimates have softened such prediction. Be that as it may, the general consensus seems to be the same: China remains committed to the reunification of Taiwan of a U other way, and if things get in the worst stage, they already have lists Some of the capacities necessary for the logistics of a large -scale “amphibious” invasion. Image | 笑脸男人, Imperial War Museums. In Xataka | China has a plan with six options if things “twist” with Taiwan. World War II advocates all In Xataka | Taiwan lives an unprecedented situation in three decades: there is an army of 53 planes and 90 Chinese ships in front of the island

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