As we look to the Middle East, the Arctic has become the hiding place for Russia’s biggest challenge to NATO: Borei and Yasen

One of the greatest fears of Western navies was not a direct attack, but something much more disturbing: not knowing where the opponent was. That feeling became especially evident when, in the middle of the Cold War, a Soviet submarine managed follow a naval group American for days without being detected, demonstrating that in certain scenarios the true power is not in striking first, but in remaining invisible long enough.

It is not seen, but it does not stop. They had an extensive report in Bloomberg that, hundreds of meters under a mountain in northern Norway, NATO relentlessly monitors a dashboard that does not appear in the daily headlines, but has never stopped being active.

While global attention focuses and rightly so most visible conflictsin the depths of the North Atlantic there is a constant competition to detect, follow and keep track of the adversary’s most sensitive assets. It is, if you will, a silent, technical and permanent surveillance, one where the margin of error is minimal and where the absence of news does not mean, by any means, absence of activity.

The Arctic as a strategic epicenter. As we said, although the political and media focus has irremediably shifted to the Middle Eastthe real pulse between Russia and NATO is moving further and further towards the arcticthousands of meters under the sea in an environment that combines isolation, depth and extreme conditions that make any monitoring difficult.

This region, which for years was seen as peripheral, has regained its centrality for the opening of new routes, resources and, above all, for its military value as a transit and concealment space. In this scenario, ice and geography, more than obstacles, are natural allies for those who know how to take advantage of them. AND Moscow has the advantage.

Borei and Yasen: the Russian challenge. The heart of this strategy is the new generation submarines deployed by Vladimir Putin, especially the classes Borei and Yasendesigned to operate for long periods without being detected and capable of carrying strategic weapons.

While they don’t always match their Western counterparts in stealth, they remembered in Bloomberg They compensate with tactics adapted to the Arctic environment, such as operating under the ice sheet or protected by other units, which greatly complicates their location. Perhaps for this reason, for NATO the greatest risk is not their presence, but rather the moment in which they are no longer under control.

A constant chase. It we have counted before. For decades, the key point to detect these submarines was the well-known GIUK runnerbetween Greenland, Iceland and the United Kingdom, but technological and operational advances have pushed this hunting species towards higher latitudes.

Now, the objective is to intercept them before they abandon the relatively shallow waters of the Barents Sea and enter areas where they can disappear more easily. This evolution has forced to strengthen cooperation between allies now deploy surveillance systems increasingly sophisticated.

Europe in the shadows. It happens that, in the face of uncertainty Regarding the long-term commitment of the United States, European countries are increasing their involvement in this surveillance, with Norway as a centerpiece and partners such as the United Kingdom, Germany or Canada, strengthening capacities and coordination.

The result of this has been translated in new acquisitionsjoint exercises and advanced deployments, all movements that reflect a transition in which Europe tries to assume more responsibility for its own defense, especially in an environment as critical as the Arctic.

A new Cold War under the ice. Yes, because the result brings us closer to a scenario that increasingly reminds us of the (il)logic of the Cold War, but this time with the difference that now there are much more advanced tools and a geopolitical context. completely different.

The russian northern fleetmodernized and prioritized within its military structure, represents one of the Kremlin’s main deterrence capabilities, especially as its conventional forces show weaknesses on other fronts. And in that unstable balance, the Arctic seems to consolidate itself as a lucky “perfect hiding place”a place where Russia’s greatest challenge to NATO is not announced, it is simply happening under the cold sheet of ice.

Image | NDUP, Mil.ru

In Xataka | A nuclear giant designed to make way in the Arctic: this is the most modern icebreaker in the Russian fleet

In Xataka | Russia and China already had an advantage over the US in the Arctic. After Greenland, it has multiplied