Spain counted on immigration to reverse its demographic drama. Now immigrants are also stopping having children

I had never lived so many people in Spain. Not at least since there are official records. A few days ago the INE revealed that at the end of the first quarter of 2026 the country had around 49.7 million residents, “the maximum value in the historical series.” In reality there is little surprising about it. The INE takes time using that tagline in its statements on population, in which it also insists on another idea: if Spain is moving in record numbers it is basically thanks to the increase in people of foreign origin. The balance between births and deaths in the country is far away to be good. The problem is that this demographic salvation table shows symptoms that it will not work indefinitely. What has happened? What Funcas just published a studysigned by Héctor Cebolla and María Miyar, which basically analyzes whether Spain can rely indefinitely on migration to save it from the demographic winter. In fact, the report of think tank seek (literally) explore “the limits” of immigration for “demographic adjustment.” It is an important topic for two reasons. First, because the arrival of foreigners has become the great engine of population growth in Spain. Second, because despite the increase in the registry and the fact that the INE has been registering for some time record numbers of residentsthe truth is that the Spanish demographic engine is not exactly oiled. In 2025, the INE counted 446,982 deaths and 321,164 births, which leaves red numbers vegetative growth. And what is your conclusion? That although the migratory flow is acting as a demographic lifeline, we cannot trust that its effects will continue forever. “Immigration has made it possible to sustain population growth and cushion aging, but it has done so through a mechanism that requires continuous and increasing flows, loses effectiveness over time and does not correct the underlying trends of demographic imbalance,” comment María Miyar Busto, director of Social Studies at Funcas. It is not about denying the positive effects of immigration, but about “recognizing the limits of the model” and placing it “in its rightful place in the analysis of public policies.” Above all, thinking about the future in the medium and long term. “The short-termism that dominates the debate on the benefits of immigration has not allowed the analysis of the long-term consequences and has favored the absence of an explicit demographic strategy,” duck Onion. Why this warning? Because after analyzing data on migratory flows and tables of age ranges, birth rates and population growth, Funcas researchers have reached several worrying conclusions. For example, they have proven that although Spain manages to attract a significant number of immigrants, it is not as effective when it comes to retaining them. They have also confirmed that the population of foreign origin shows signs of a progressive aging and that over time their demographic patterns (such as birth rates) end up being similar to those of Spanish families. What does the data say? To begin with, Spain has a problem when it comes to determining the migrant population. The country is attractive enough to attract foreigners, but only a portion ends up putting down roots here, contributing to the demographics and economy. And to show you a button: although between 2002 and 2024 they entered Spain almost 15 million of people, the population only increased by seven million. That leaves our country in a peculiar situation. Spain is the main recipient of immigration in Europe in relative terms and between 2013 and 2023 it absorbed 16% of the immigration that arrived on the continent, however for years its retention rate has been one of the lowest in the region: 51%. That, remember Funcasforces Spain to maintain “high inflows to sustain a population that is constantly renewed.” Why is that a problem? Because for the model to continue supporting Spanish demographics, it requires “growing and uninterrupted” migration, something complicated every time that population arrives from countries (especially in America) who are also aging. Is it the only warning sign? No. The study de Funcas also questions whether immigration will serve to rejuvenate the registry. Researchers calculate that the foreign population that has already turned 55 years old shot up by 42% between 2021 and 2025. This is almost 20 percentage points more than the growth recorded by the immigrant population between 20 and 54 years old, which increased by 25%. What’s more, the think tank It is estimated that around a quarter (22%) of immigrants have already blown out the 55 candles. How young are the immigrants? “The population born abroad is no longer a young population, but rather less aged than the native population,” they respond from Funcas, which also warns that this “gap” between residents born in Spain and abroad will reduce as the immigrants who moved to Spain at the beginning of the century, between 2000 and 2008, before the great brick crisis, approach retirement age. To underline this idea, the research center provides a revealing calculation. “In absolute terms, the increase in the immigrant population aged 55 or over between 2021 and 2025 (42%) means that more than 615,000 people of that age were added to the Spanish population, a figure equivalent to the population of Malaga, a dynamic that anticipates greater pressure on the health and dependency systems,” slide. The phenomenon is especially clear in Spain, one of the EU countries where the most adult immigrants arrive. If you look at 2024, only 13% of new residents were under 15 years old. At the opposite pole, 18% were over 55. Do they behave differently? That is another of the keys that Funcas focuses on. If we Spaniards ourselves resist having large families or move to rural areas…Why should immigrants, people who often face a more complex economic starting point and lack a family support network, act differently? Onion and Miyar even talk about a “Spanishization” of reproductive behavior. Despite the significant increase in the number of women of childbearing age, the total number … Read more

US House approves immigration detention law that could be the first that Trump enacts

The US House of Representatives on Wednesday gave final approval to a bill that requires the detention of migrants who are in the country without permission and who have been accused of theft and violent crimes, the first measure that President Donald Trump can enact it, after Congress—with some bipartisan support—moved quickly in line with the president’s plans to toughen measures against illegal immigration. The passage of the Laken Riley Act, named after a Georgia nursing student who was murdered last year by a Venezuelan, shows how dramatically the political debate over immigration has shifted to the right following Trump’s election victory. . Immigration policy has often been one of the most entrenched issues in Congress, but a crucial group of 46 politically vulnerable Democrats joined Republicans to pass the strict proposal by a vote count of 263 in favor and 156 against. . “For decades, it has been nearly impossible for our government to agree on solutions to problems at our border and within our country,” said Republican Senator Katie Britt. He noted that it is likely to be the “most significant immigration bill” that Congress has passed in nearly three decades. However, the bill will require a massive increase in the capabilities of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), but does not include any new funding. Meanwhile, the new president has issued a series of executive orders aimed at sealing the border with Mexico to immigration and ultimately deporting millions of migrants who lack permanent legal status in the United States. On Wednesday, Trump also canceled refugee resettlement and his administration has said it intends to prosecute local law enforcement officials who do not comply with his new immigration policies. Republican congressional leaders have made clear that they intend to follow the same path, although their biggest challenge will be finding a way to approve funding to actually implement Trump’s strict plans. “What he’s doing is starting what will ultimately be our legislative agenda,” said House Speaker Mike Johnson. House Republicans initially passed the legislation last year with the support of 37 Democrats in a move intended as a political rebuke to then-President Joe Biden’s handling of the southern border. He then languished in the Democratic-controlled Senate. This year, Republicans, now in control of both houses of Congress, have made this their top priority. When it came before the Senate, 12 Democrats voted in favor of the measure, and when the House voted on a version of the bill earlier this month, 48 Democrats supported it. A majority of adults in the United States favor deporting immigrants convicted of violent crimes, according to a recent poll by the NORC Center for Public Affairs Research and The Associated Press. However, only about 37% of U.S. adults favor deporting migrants in the country illegally who have not been convicted of a crime. “While the bill is not perfect, it sends a clear message that we think criminals should be deported,” said Rep. Tom Suozzi, a New York Democrat who has urged his party to support stricter enforcement of the law. immigration law. Under the bill, federal authorities would be required to detain any migrant arrested or charged with crimes such as shoplifting. The scope of the proposal was expanded in the Senate to also include those accused of assaulting a police officer or crimes that injure or cause the death of someone. The bill also gives state attorneys general standing to sue the federal government for damages caused by federal immigration decisions. This gives states new power in immigration policy when they have already been trying to counter presidential decisions under the Trump and Biden administrations. Democrats unsuccessfully tried to have that provision removed from the bill in the Senate, saying it would inject even more uncertainty and partisanship into immigration policy. Ultimately, even the Trump administration will likely struggle to implement the new requirements unless Congress follows up later this year with funding. Republicans are currently planning how to push their priorities through Congress through a party-line process known as budget reconciliation. They have estimated the cost of funding Trump’s border and deportation priorities at approximately $100 billion. Trump has “established the largest domestic logistics undertaking of our lifetimes, which is the deportation of the majority of aliens who are in the United States illegally,” said Ken Cuccinelli, who led U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services during the Trump’s first term, to a Senate panel recently. Cuccinelli noted that it would require an increase in immigration judges, prosecutors and other staff, but Trump has also paved the way for using military assets, bases and other resources to carry out mass deportations. The Department of Homeland Security has estimated that the Laken Riley Act would cost $26.9 billion in the first year to implement, including an increase of 110,000 ICE detention beds. Most Democrats criticized the lack of funding in the bill as evidence that it is a piecemeal approach that would do little to fix problems in the immigration system but would burden federal authorities with new requirements. “The authors of the bill stated that it would result in the arrest and detention of dangerous criminals, but it will not because it is a completely unfunded mandate,” said Democratic Senator Chris Murphy. Others expressed concerns that the bill would deprive migrants, including minors or beneficiaries of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program, of due process rights. Senator Alex Padilla said federal authorities would now be forced to prioritize detaining migrants arrested for minor crimes such as shoplifting, rather than those who commit serious crimes. Overall, there is no evidence that migrants are more likely to commit violent crimes. Several studies have found that immigrants commit crimes at lower rates than those born in the United States. Groups that advocate for restrictive immigration policies dispute or dismiss those findings. But Republicans pointed to the bill’s namesake, Laken Riley, and how she was murdered by a Venezuelan migrant who had previously been arrested by local authorities but released while his … Read more

US House approves immigration detention law that could be the first that Trump enacts

WASHINGTON— The US House of Representatives on Wednesday gave final approval to a bill that requires the detention of migrants who are in the country without permission and who have been accused of theft and violent crimes, the first measure that President Donald Trump can enact it, after Congress—with some bipartisan support—moved quickly in line with the president’s plans to toughen measures against illegal immigration. The passage of the Laken Riley Act, named after a Georgia nursing student who was murdered last year by a Venezuelan, shows how dramatically the political debate over immigration has shifted to the right following Trump’s election victory. . Immigration policy has often been one of the most entrenched issues in Congress, but a crucial group of 46 politically vulnerable Democrats joined Republicans to pass the strict proposal by a vote count of 263 in favor and 156 against. . “For decades, it has been nearly impossible for our government to agree on solutions to problems at our border and within our country,” said Republican Senator Katie Britt. He noted that it is likely to be the “most significant immigration bill” that Congress has passed in nearly three decades. However, the bill will require a massive increase in the capabilities of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), but does not include any new funding. Meanwhile, the new president has issued a series of executive orders aimed at sealing the border with Mexico to immigration and ultimately deporting millions of migrants who lack permanent legal status in the United States. On Wednesday, Trump also canceled refugee resettlement and his administration has said it intends to prosecute local law enforcement officials who do not comply with his new immigration policies. Republican congressional leaders have made clear that they intend to follow the same path, although their biggest challenge will be finding a way to approve funding to actually implement Trump’s strict plans. “What he’s doing is starting what will ultimately be our legislative agenda,” said House Speaker Mike Johnson. House Republicans initially passed the legislation last year with the support of 37 Democrats in a move intended as a political rebuke to then-President Joe Biden’s handling of the southern border. He then languished in the Democratic-controlled Senate. This year, Republicans, now in control of both houses of Congress, have made this their top priority. When it came before the Senate, 12 Democrats voted in favor of the measure, and when the House voted on a version of the bill earlier this month, 48 Democrats supported it. A majority of adults in the United States favor deporting immigrants convicted of violent crimes, according to a recent poll by the NORC Center for Public Affairs Research and The Associated Press. However, only about 37% of U.S. adults favor deporting migrants in the country illegally who have not been convicted of a crime. “While the bill is not perfect, it sends a clear message that we think criminals should be deported,” said Rep. Tom Suozzi, a New York Democrat who has urged his party to support stricter enforcement of the law. immigration law. Under the bill, federal authorities would be required to detain any migrant arrested or charged with crimes such as shoplifting. The scope of the proposal was expanded in the Senate to also include those accused of assaulting a police officer or crimes that injure or cause the death of someone. The bill also gives state attorneys general standing to sue the federal government for damages caused by federal immigration decisions. This gives states new power in immigration policy when they have already been trying to counter presidential decisions under the Trump and Biden administrations. Democrats unsuccessfully tried to have that provision removed from the bill in the Senate, saying it would inject even more uncertainty and partisanship into immigration policy. Ultimately, even the Trump administration will likely struggle to implement the new requirements unless Congress follows up later this year with funding. Republicans are currently planning how to push their priorities through Congress through a party-line process known as budget reconciliation. They have estimated the cost of funding Trump’s border and deportation priorities at approximately $100 billion. Trump has “established the largest domestic logistics undertaking of our lifetimes, which is the deportation of the majority of aliens who are in the United States illegally,” said Ken Cuccinelli, who led U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services during the Trump’s first term, to a Senate panel recently. Cuccinelli noted that it would require an increase in immigration judges, prosecutors and other staff, but Trump has also paved the way for using military assets, bases and other resources to carry out mass deportations. The Department of Homeland Security has estimated that the Laken Riley Act would cost $26.9 billion in the first year to implement, including an increase of 110,000 ICE detention beds. Most Democrats criticized the lack of funding in the bill as evidence that it is a piecemeal approach that would do little to fix problems in the immigration system but would burden federal authorities with new requirements. “The authors of the bill stated that it would result in the arrest and detention of dangerous criminals, but it will not because it is a completely unfunded mandate,” said Democratic Senator Chris Murphy. Others expressed concerns that the bill would deprive migrants, including minors or beneficiaries of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program, of due process rights. Senator Alex Padilla said federal authorities would now be forced to prioritize detaining migrants arrested for minor crimes such as shoplifting, rather than those who commit serious crimes. Overall, there is no evidence that migrants are more likely to commit violent crimes. Several studies have found that immigrants commit crimes at lower rates than those born in the United States. Groups that advocate for restrictive immigration policies dispute or dismiss those findings. But Republicans pointed to the bill’s namesake, Laken Riley, and how she was murdered by a Venezuelan migrant who had previously been arrested by local authorities but released while … Read more

Trump sends 1,500 troops to the border to stop immigration

The president’s government Donald Trump is sending 1,500 soldiers to the southern borderas part of his immigration plan and security in the region. “This is something that President Trump advocated for in his campaign. “The American people have been waiting for a moment like this, for our Department of Defense to really take national security seriously,” said press secretary Karoline Leavitt. The Pentagon will soon begin the deployment of troopsas part of the national emergency at the border, according to the executive order signed by Trump on Monday. These active-duty forces join about 2,500 National Guard troops already operating on the border. The action is part of the executive order “Securing Our Borders,” which orders the Department of Defense to coordinate efforts with the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). “The Secretary of Defense and the Secretary of Homeland Security will take all appropriate and lawful measures to deploy sufficient personnel along the southern border of the United States to ensure complete operational control,” the order says. There are other parts of Trump’s decision that have not been implemented, but could be detailed later or with the deployment of troops. “(All appropriate measures will be taken to deploy and construct temporary and permanent physical barriers to ensure complete operational control of the southern border of the United States,” says the document signed at the White House. Trump has signed several executive orders related to immigration, from which actions by DHS and its agencies have been derived, such as the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) office, which announced operations even in ‘sensitive areas’, as well as processes of accelerated deportation. A CBS News report indicates that the Trump Administration seeks to have up to 10,000 military personnel guarding the border. Keep reading:· With Democratic support, Laken Riley Law against immigrants advances· Tom Homan on mass deportation: “ICE agents from all over the country will be on the streets from the beginning”· Ted Cruz focuses deportations on criminals when speaking at Hispanic gala: “Take your bags and go”

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