It is raining so much in the province of Jaén that the olive oil harvest has had a problem: there is too much water

The “liquid gold” market expected a great recovery after years of drought, but the data you have given the Food Information and Control Agency At the end of December 2025, they have had a significant impact. Especially in the epicenter of oil production in our countrysuch as Jaén, where it has been registered a 45% drop in its accumulated production. Although it is something that hides an important economic paradox: it is selling more than ever. The figures. As detailed by the Ministry of Agriculture itselfthe reality of the current campaign is radically different from the previous one. While in 2024 Jaén accumulated almost 300,000 tons at the end of the year, this 2025 it has remained at half speed with 164,841 tons, which represents a variation of 45.3%. Something that has also been noticed at the national level. What has happened? Although everyone might think that we are talking about the drought that has caused there to be fewer olives, the reality is that excess rain has been the problem. The intense rainfall of November and December 2025, although beneficial for the tree in the long termhave been an obstacle to the harvest. Logically, with the mud it is difficult to enter with the machines to be able to pick the olives or work by hand. This has caused the harvest to be delayed and has affected the yield of the fruit. Other factors. Beyond the excess of rain at the end of this year, we must also highlight the high temperatures that were recorded in the month of June 2025, which damaged the weight of the fruit after spring fruit set that promised a lot, but fell short. Besides, according to COAG Jaénthe delay in taking the olive to the olive mill due to the weather has caused part of the fruit to suffer damage, reducing the final yield. Less oil, but more sales. Even though the silos fill more slowly, the market is extremely active. UPA Andalusia has highlighted that, despite the decrease in production, sales have increased by 10% in the last quarter, with a month of November where oil output reached 129,727 tons. This means that the consumer continues to demand olive oil despite the instability of recent years. Exports are also doing well, with a substantial increase of 44% in Andalusia, which puts pressure on current stocks, which are 13% lower than last year. The price. Without a doubt it is the most important point for the consumer, especially when in the past we have already seen really high prices for olive oil due to a bad harvest. Logic dictates that if supply falls and demand increases, prices should increase, but experts call for considerable caution. Right now, the price of Extra Virgin oil at origin moves between 4.20 and 4.29 euros per liter, and what is expected is that it will remain at a stable price during the year 2026, without major drops to maintain the stability of the sector that needs to cover costs. Images | Kostas Morfiris Nazar Hrabovyi In Xataka | Half of Spain has gone crazy with the question of whether olives make you fat or not. But your biggest problem is not calories.

Farmers expect one of the worst harvest of what is going on the century

Pessimism is making its way in the grape sector. As the vintage season progresses in the different wine regions of our environment, the problems do not stop growing. The first was the price, with the farmers on a war for some prices that consider “ruinous”now, to this is added pessimism regarding the volume of the harvest. 34 million hectoliters. The 2025 harvest It is on its way to becoming In one of the worst views in recent years as the union of small farmers and livestock (UPA) recently stressed. Your concern is based on Estimates of the agro-food cooperative sector organization of Spain that indicate that this year’s wine production will be about 34 million hectoliters. As a contrast, The UPA points outan average season the wine production would be around 40-43 million hectoliters. From optimism to pessimism. The new estimate implies a remarkable cut with respect to the initial calculations, which trusted them to produce this year about 37.5 million hectoliters of wine and must. This fall is a reflection of an important change in the perception of what this harvest would be: of a optimism marked by the end of drought We have moved to a context in which pessimism predominates. Meteorology not so favorable. Meteorology has played an important role. The arrival of the rains seemed to bring new hopes to an agricultural sector punished by drought. However, hail storms, numerous this year, have taken its toll. He has also left his imprint in the harvest an extremely warm and drier summer than usual: the high temperatures of last month (in which we saw an intense heat wave) and the lack of rainfall have made a dent in the harvest, according to the UPA. More perhaps than meteorology, the sector also worries the climate: the UPA He also stood out The vulnerability of the sector to climate change, whose negative impact estimated at about 439,788 hectoliters, 1.4% of the harvest. The impact of the Mildiu. Another factor mentioned by the sector is that of Mildiu. This plants’ disease is a disease caused by fungi that infect plants and causes problems that end up being reflected in the productivity of the field. This Andalusia year, La Rioja, and Castilla y León have been the most affected communities according to the organization. A cGlobal RISIS. The volume of the harvest is just one of the problems that concern farmers. In its statement, the UPA also speaks of the uncertainty posed by the new US tariff policy, as well as the controversial reform of the common agricultural policy, the PAC. Although perhaps this year the great source of controversies has been economical. There have been several occasions in which farmers have protested because they consider that the prices offered by the wineries are not fair and that they focus on the crisis to their sector. To this we must add a structural problem in the sector, and that is that changes in consumption patterns have significantly punished the consumption of wine and many other alcoholic beverages. In Xataka | The Canary Islands banana is dead and does not know: Spain is an agricultural giant with mud feet Image | Mali Maeder

It has rained so much in Spain during 2025 that we are going to have the worst citrus harvest of the last 16 years

The Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food has just published the capacity of citrus of this year. At first glance, the data are devastating: it is estimated that Spanish farmers They will produce 5.44 million tons of citrus fruits. That is 10.7% less than last campaign and 14.2% less than the last five campaigns. We talk about the worst campaign in 16 years. The only positive thing about this data is that they are better that those who were giving the producers themselves. A world giant … in back. Do not forget that, for the Spanish economy, citrus fruits are not one more product. Not only is the sixth citrus producer of the world; It is that almost 25% of global exports leave here and, in fact, more than half of national production is used for sale in foreign markets. Every year, the country sells the equivalent of 3.6 billion euros throughout the country. With this in mind, the fall in production could be seen as a lousy news and, nevertheless, the Spanish field is at a point where (without despising its pernicious effects) it can be the best that has happened to it. As? As it sounds. The best example is lemon, according to ministry estimates, lemon production would fall to about 866,657 tons. That is, 14.7% less than the previous year: 149,400 tons less. It seems a lot, but we take into account that, According to COAGlast year they were discarded around 400,000 tons. The figure does not seem so big. In the end, in just eight years, Spain has gone from having 36,000 hectares dedicated to the cultivation of lemon to 53,000. The lemon went from being “the chicken of the golden eggs” from the Spanish field to a trap that has forced many producers to start tear out trees. However, that is not the reason for the fall. According to the mapthe main factors behind this setback are the excessive spring rain (which coincided with flowering and contributed to their rot), high temperatures during citrus development and a series of hail episodes in producing areas. Where does Spanish agriculture go? Be that as it may, this adjustment of oranges and lemons can help to clean up a sector that has a long time. The question, however, is what damage will cause that sanitation and which parts of the sector will take ahead. As with other agricultural products (such as The Canary Islands banana or the traditional olive grove) the succession of bad years has led the producers to the edge of the abyss and all the alternatives are bad. Image | Jesus Ginter | Noele Cooper Image | From the fever to the crisis of lemon: why in Spain there are 400 million kilos of fruit that nobody wants to collect

We thought we were facing a “historical” oil harvest. Farmers now foresee a reality bath

Olive oil is going through convulsive times. The drought lived some crops back put many crops against the strings and fired the prices of this cornerstone of our kitchen. Last year the arrival of the rains allowed some normalization, without moving from some modest results. And now, uncertainty does not disappear. Like the last, “in the best case.” The Olivar sector has issued a statement to lower expectations Regarding the following oil harvest. They did it after a meeting of members of the union of small farmers and ranchers (UPA) in which representatives of the olive grove of all the autonomous communities were able to discuss the situation of this harvest. Farmers estimate that oil production will give us between 1.2 and 1.4 million tons of the product. According to Indicates the UPAthese figures would imply a harvest similar to the last “at best.” According to Data from the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Foodlast year there were 855,577 tons of olive oil, which would have to add 112,973 tons of olive pomace oil and 407,400 tons of table olive. According to The most recent estimates From the Ministry for this year, the expected production for this year would be at 1,415 million tons of pomace oil, plus 126,000 tons of olive pomace oil and 533.012 tons of table olive. Different communities, different impacts. In the eye of this hurricane are the Andalusian producers. “The current situation in the main autonomous producer community, Andalusia, leads us to think that the euphoria that reigned among the great market operators about a historical harvest is collapsing,” They point in a press release From the UPA. According to the estimates of the organization, the Andalusian harvest could give between 950,000 and 1,150,000 tons, while the Castilian-Manchega would be around 125,000 tons and in Extremadura the production would be about 80,000 tons. The rest of CC.AA. would contribute around 12,000 tons to this year’s harvest. Heat, pests and productive capacity. The data seem to validate the fears that A few weeks ago He highlighted the sector. As indicated then, there were several factors that invited to reduce optimism regarding the coming harvest. The first of them, the meteorology: the premature arrival of heat at the end of May implied a problem for the olive grove in full flowering. Meteorological conditions have affected different olive groves differently, but intense and advanced summer could be a determining factor in this year’s harvest. To the meteorology we must add the appearance of certain pests, such as prays (Prays Oleae), also the so -called olive moth; or that of milkweed (Euphyllura Olivina). To this must be added the olive grove, the fact that the plant tends to not be able to produce in full performance for two consecutive years. Waiting for September. It is still soon to know reliably the evolution of the harvest since There is still one of the key points that the olive groves throughout the year. The first of these stages occurs in spring and is the flowering of the olive tree, which usually occurs between April and May; The second, which we still have ahead, is the maturation of the fruit. To know how the olive grove this stage, we still have to wait until September. For now we do not know what the meteorology will hold for a month seen, although The predictions Aemet does not invite optimism. Medium-term predictions indicate a warmer and more dry August than normal, while quarterly forecasts also indicate a trimester August-October by pulling warm and dry. There will be so much to wait to see the evolution of the crop. In Xataka | More and more giants get into the Andalusian field and in the olive oil industry. The last: Pepsico Image | Royber99

Follow in free fall despite a last “average” harvest

A few months ago the headlines talked about the palpable escalation in the prices of olive oil but now the story is very different: prices fall loudly. So much that the olive sector has already requested measures to the government. The price, in free fall. The Latest consumer price index data (CPI) has served the olive sector to give the alarm: the price of olive oil is in free fall. The drop is 45.7% year -on -year for olive oil, while the category of “other edible oils” and the dedicated to butter showed rebounds of 18.7% and 6.7% respectively. Together, the category of “oils and fats” has shown A fall in 37.1% prices, which contrasts with the 2.8% rise in non -alcoholic foods and drinks and one 2.3% increase in the general index. Again attending to the annual variation of the month. In the latest IPC data, it is also indicated that oils and fats are the main bearish taxpayer of the monthly index. Never to everyone’s taste. Price drop has harmful clearings: farmers. The associations of olive producers, such as the union of small farmers and ranchers of Jaén, Upa Jaén, They recently claimed Urgent market measures to the Ministry of Agriculture to prevent this collapse in prices. “Untenable”. “What worries us most right now, especially in the traditional olive grove, is to at least the costs. Jesus Cózar Pérez saidgeneral secretary of UPA Jaén and Andalucía. Cózar Pérez, who described the situation as “unsustainable, artificially forced to leave the traditional olive grove,” asked the Ministry of Agriculture to implement “the market mechanisms necessary to achieve rise in prices at origin.” Future prices. According to the agrarian sector itself, the fall in prices It does not respond Both to the present dynamics of adjustments between supply and demand but to the futures market: after two years with pyrrhic crops, this year we are faced with a standard, not especially productive. The expectation of a future “great campaign” makes prices adjusting due to fall in demand, and with it also prices. The problem, they point out from the sector, is that nothing guarantees that the harvest that comes is excellent, much less: pests and abnormal temperatures can have an impact on a harvest that must still go through one of its critical points. An unequal inflation in food. If oil is one of the food whose fall has impact on the rate General of the CPI, we find the opposite case in fruits and meat. In the latter case, in large part because of the promotion in the prices of beefs (14.5% year -on -year) or sheep (12.2%). On the other hand, foods with less weight in the basket but with rapid ascent prices are eggs (18% year -on -year care); and coffee, and cocoa and chocolate powder (increases of 19.8% and 13.1% respectively). In Xataka | ‘Atomic Garden’: the “atomic” orchards to create the best tomatoes and cucumbers Image | Antgarprats

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