Spain lives a brutal birth crisis. And that is causing mothers above 40 years to grow more than ever

In Spain they are born every time Less children. And increasingly. The balance That the INE has just published with the first global photography of birth and mortality in Spain throughout 2024 leaves some surprises but above all confirm the trends that have been marking the demography of the country for years. And one of the clearest is the gradual delay of motherhood: more and more women have children turned 40 or even with 50. And there is a fact that clearly reflects it: 10.4%. A (small) joy. They are still provisional data, so the photo that leaves The last report of the INE could vary over the coming months. However, waiting for the definitive balance, Spain seems to have closed 2024 with a (small) demographic joy. His birthday has rebounded. In a shy and that has not served to compensate for the number of deaths and thus avoid a vegetative balance in Red numbersbut at least allows you to cut the negative trend of the last decade. A percentage: 0.4%. That is the birth increase registered by the INE in 2024: 0.4%which translates into 1,378 births rather than in 2023. Throughout the last year they came to the world in Spain 322,034 babies, almost 1,400 more than during the previous 12 months. The data leaves a positive reading and another that is not so much, depending on how much we amounts to the temporal focus when analyzing it. The first is that it represents the first birth rise since 2014, when the balance touched the 427,600 babies. However, despite that climb, the Spanish demographic engine does not have today Nothing to do With the years of the Baby Boomthere for 50, 60 and mid -70s, when they were born in the country between 650,000 and 660,000 babies a year. The INE reflects for example that in 1975 they were noted almost 669,400so since then the collapse has been 52%. And a figure: 33,570. The balance of the INE helps to understand another of the key factors of Spanish demography: maternity. And when analyzing one of Trends clearer is its progressive delay. More and more Spanish have children with 40 or more years, to the point that in 2024 that profile was behind 33,570 births. What does that mean? That one out of ten Babies born in Spain (10.4%) already do it from women who exceed thirty. In 2014 that percentage was significantly lower, of 7.2%. Year Births of women 40 or more years Middle Ages to Maternity 2000 10,163 30.72 2004 15.017 30.87 2008 22,026 30.83 2012 28,289 31.56 2016 34,452 32.0 2020 34,858 32.3 2024 33,570 32.6 (data of 2023) Looking back. In 2014 the INE scored 30,946 births of women of 40 or more years, so that the increase has been 8.5% in a decade. During the same period the number of babies born of mothers under 25 years fell 21.9% and the births of women between 25 and 39, the one with the greatest weight, retreated 27.9%. If you look further back the trend is even clearer. In 2000 the INE counted in Spain 397,632 birthsof which 10,163 were related to women who had already arrived or exceeded quarantine. That is, at that time its weight was only 2.5% of the total and the number of lighting has shot 230% since then. In 2004, women of 40 or more years starred 15,017 birthswith what your number has doubled. The other indicator: Middle Ages. There is another clue that helps to understand how they are quickly changing motherhood in Spain: its Middle Agesan indicator that has practically not stopped growing over the last decades. If in 1976 it was located in 28.51in 2000 it was already 30.72, in 2010 it climbed at 31.2 and in 2023 it was 32.6 years. That is, the average has increased more than four years since the 70s. In the EU, a gradual increase of the age at which women have their first offspring. What are the causes? The big question. The increase in what the INE calls “Middle Ages to Maternity” And the number of women who give birth to the 40 years coincides with other phenomena that directly affect women, as the Professor of Human Geography Rafael Puyol recently pointed out in An article dedicated to the Spanish demographic crisis. The expert specified in particular the educational revolution and the incorporation and women into the labor market, in addition to cultural changes and the family model. Images | Jessica Pankratz (Flickr) and INE In Xataka | Spain has turned paternity into a poverty risk factor: raising a child costs 758 euros per month

Young programmers no longer know how to program. AI is now causing the same as the calculator caused half a century ago

Myron Aub was a boiler man from the egg head, but all that did not matter. I had discovered how to do something that humanity had forgotten: I knew how to multiply without the help of a computer. After demonstrating it, the members of the new Pentagon were amazed: someone was able to multiply with a paper and a ball! All that imagined Isaac Asimov in his short novel ‘The feeling of power‘, originally published in February 1958. History, in just 3,700 words, is simply prodigious – I encourage you to read it – and raise a future in which human beings do not know how to perform mathematical operations and depend on computers for computers all. When AUB performs reverse engineering of this calculation process, it creates an extraordinary situation. One that leads to an equally surprising conclusion … and sadly predictable. I read that story about 30 years ago and then I found it fascinating – I am an absolute fan of the ‘Foundation’ saga of Asimov, but I hated the Apple TV+ series for betraying that legacy. The prolific author transmitted a clear message: perhaps it is not so good idea to depend too much on the machines. Or maybe yes? The programmers who did not know how to program It is what is certainly happening in the world of programming, which is undoubtedly the segment most affected by the arrival of artificial intelligence. The AI ​​models have proven to be valuable attendees when programming, and just six months after the chatgpt launch nine out of ten professionals used AI to program. The de facto models have become increasingly capable in this type of task, and the popularity of Tools as cursor has shown that The conquest of “effortless programming” Tab-Tab-Tab is increasingly clear. Even those who did not know how to program or knew, but not in certain programming languages, they are now capable of creating surprising applications. AI is not perfect, of coursebut one thing is clear: it is getting better. That, of course, raises a risk: let’s forget how to program. It is just what a developer named Namanyay Goel denounces, which In his blog he explained How “New Junior developers are not able to program.” The AI ​​allows developers to deliver more code than ever, but these young programmers do not know why that code works or if there would be another way to do things. According to their experience, the new generation of programmers use chatgpt or co -pilot or Claude at all hours. That, he says, allows them to deliver more code than ever, but according to this developer, These young programmers do not know why that code works or if there would be another way better to do it. “We are sacrificing deep understanding (of the code) by fast patches, and although that makes us feel good now, we will pay later.” Goel highlighted how not much places like Stack Overflow were a much better source of information for programmers. They asked things, but when they got answers they used to learn why those answers were valid. That knowledge was there for free, and also in many cases veteran developers and experienced people became involuntary teachers for new generations. “The AI ​​gives you answers, but the knowledge you acquire is superficial. With Stackoverflow, you had to read multiple expert discussions to get a complete vision. It was slower, but you ended up understanding not only what worked, but why it worked.” Of course, not everyone thinks the same and a commentator in Slashdot He pointed out How “Stackoverflow has been a source of terrible programming tips and an overdependence of copying and hitting for much longer.” However, Essste developer believes that not yet everything is lost. AI can help you, without a doubt, but you can also continue learning with it. “When you give you an answer,” he advised, “Ask him for her. Ask why (he has given that solution). “He also recommends debating that code with your team of developers to discuss and be able to get new ideas, or perhaps do so with developers who go to platforms such as Reddit, Discord or Mastodon. The calculator teaches us the future The reflection of that developer is undoubtedly striking, but for many it is a useless debate. In Slashdot a user named Zak3056 He affirmed Take two decades interviewing Júnior developers. “A surprising percentage of them did not understand basic concepts (…). AI has nothing to do with this. It is the state in which education is, many schools are creating graduates that simply do not understand the field they have chosen “ Other comments coincided with him, and the situation reminds other industrial and technological revolutions in which a profession or discipline have ended up being completely conquered by machines. We continue learning to perform mathematical operations, but after school there are not many people who do operations at hand: It is much faster to use the calculator. The calculators may cause some workers who performed that task to be displaced at the beginning, but their impact in the long run has been greatly positive. The calculators may cause some workers who performed that task to be displaced at the beginning, but their impact in the long run has been greatly positive To begin with, there are still mathematicians, but they are dedicated to much more complex problems than the machines are not yet able to solve – of the moment either – and the calculators made them even more valuable: they could focus on those problems, and Not in the calculations that could also be wrong because we assume it, the margin of human error is there. In addition, the calculators productivity and efficiency improved significantlysaving all kinds of professionals those most repetitive tasks to focus on others that other non -substitutable capacities (at least, for the moment) by the machines. Will something like this happen with AI and programming? It is very likely. AI has … Read more

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