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A few days ago the news in Taiwan was not around the island, it was somewhat further. A series of images next to a video showed that, in an unidentified coast, China had displayed artificial platforms that they remembered too much to Mulberry ports with those who the allies invaded Normandy. The island has been found in the last 24 hours with a Chinese military army in the surroundings, and this time they have decided to replicate.
A phrase as a trigger. China held on Monday The greatest military exercise On a large scale so far this year, and he faced Taiwan mobilizing 59 aircraft and drones, along with nine vessels, in a clear sample of force in response to the recent comments of President Taiwanés, Lai Ching-Te, who He described Beijing as a “foreign hostile force” and promised to strengthen national security against its infiltration attempts.
The unusual in this case is that Taiwan has responded To the exhibition deploying aerial and maritime patrols, in addition to defensive missile systems, while its Minister of Defense, Wellington Koo, accused China of being the “disturbing of peace and stability” in the region.
Increase tension. Last Thursday, Lai hardened his speech After a national security meeting, accusing China of seeking Taiwan’s annexation through influence tactics. In response, he announced stricter measures to regulate trade, travel and residence of Chinese citizens on the island. Beijing, who considers Lai and his party, the DPP, as separatists, reacted with virulence: the spokesman of the Taiwan Affairs Office of China, Chen Binhua, He described it of “destroyer of peace in the Strait” and accused him of pushing the island “towards a scenario of war and conflict.”
Since the inauguration of Lai last May, China has intensified its military pressure. We have been counting it: in December, it deployed more than 90 ships from the Navy and the Coast Guard in an operation that Taiwan described as Its greatest maritime mobilization In recent history. The growing military activity China reinforces that fear that Beijing is preparing a direct confrontation scenario. The Described bridges A few days ago it is a “spicy” more to tension.
The “Gray Zone”. The truth is that all these military activities of the Popular Liberation Army (EPL) of China around Taiwan is what experts describe as a “Gray Zone” strategythat is, coercion tactics that do not reach the direct armed conflict but that wears out the defensive capacity of the adversary.
So that? This campaign would seek to increase the Psychological pressure On Taiwan, force their Armed Forces to operate in a constant state of alert and weaken the perception of security on the island.
The United States position. Irremediably, the situation leads to Washington. Donald Trump’s return to the US presidency has added A layer of uncertainty To the equation. In the middle of the commercial war with China, Trump seeks increase your investment In defense. In addition, its administration has expressed discomfort for the impact of the island on the American semiconductor industry, threatening new tariffs to strengthen local production.
No doubt, contradictory signals from Washington have generated restlessness in Taiwan. While the island’s government has expressed Your willingness to collaborate With Trump in the construction of a “democratic supply chain”, key companies such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) have promised investments up to 100,000 million of dollars in the United States to relieve tensions.
Attempts of calm (and commitment). Amid all this uncertainty, the director of the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT), Raymond Greene, tried to reassure Taipei. In a statement Posted on FacebookHe said that the Secretary of State of the United States, Marco Rubio, has reiterated his commitment to Taiwan, ensuring that Trump seeks world peace and strengthening deterrence in the Indo-Pacific to avoid conflicts.
Greene emphasized that Washington cannot guarantee security of the region alone and needs allies like Taiwan to reinforce its defensive capacity. He also stressed that a conflict in the Taiwan Strait would have devastating economic consequences, with an impact greater than 10% of global GDP, “more serious than World War II,” he said.
Be that as it may, the current increase in Chinese military activity and the surprise Taiwanese response mark a new critical point in the already tense relationship between both parties. With a most unpredictable Trump, the future of American support to the island is still uncertain. Meanwhile, Beijing continues to press with demonstrations of strength and rhetorical threats, in a context where any calculation error could serve as a fuse to trigger a conflict of unpredictable proportions.
Image | 總統府
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