They came to believe that the horoscope predicted true love. It was actually a bug in the 2001 British census.

When searching a new lovethere are many people who are looking for the best possible compatibility, but not only in terms of tastes or hobbies, but also to the zodiac sign that corresponds to each of the people. Nowadays there are dating applications that allow you to filter by zodiac sign, since it is not uncommon to see or hear that being a Leo or Scorpio sign is something catastrophic. But science has something to say here. Demonstrating it. When asked if the zodiac sign affects the compatibility that exists in a couple, researcher David Voas wanted to give him an answer to see if it is a definitive tool or not. And to do so, he analyzed a sample of 20 million people from the census of England and Wales, which is equivalent to 10 million couples. This way, if there is any relationship in such a large sample, it has to be seen somehow. And here we didn’t want to see if the fire signs get along with each other, but rather something more basic: is there any combination of signs that occurs more or less frequently than pure chance dictates? The first results. At first glance at the different couples analyzed, it seemed that the astrologers were right and that people were grouped according to the affinity of their zodiac signs. But the truth is that the researcher did not stop at this and continued digging into the data in order to see if there was something more. The real results. Upon further investigation, he discovered that this “astrological sign” did not come from the cosmos, but from imputation errors and biases in the collection of census data. Here he observed that in records where the exact day of birth was missing, officials used to assume that it was the 1st day of the month by default, which generated artificial accumulations of people in certain signs and created patterns that were not real. With all this, it was seen that many apparently compatible couples were simply sharing registration errors or rounded birth dates, which is something quite common within the administration. And once these statistical artifacts were corrected and matches by birth month were separated from matches that actually crossed the boundary between zodiac signs, the effect disappeared completely. In short, there was no trace of a “force” that united the signs. It’s always the same. This new research sits in a long tradition of scientific attempts to validate astrology in some way, and the truth is that it always comes to the same conclusion: there is no relationship. As Carlos Orsi explains in his work published by Columbia University Press, the problem with couple astrology is that not even astrologers themselves agree, since there is no homogeneous theory about which combinations are “good.” And given this lack of consensus, the Voas test is the fairest possible: look for any deviation from chance. And chance won by a landslide. Images | lookstudio in Magnific freepik In Xataka | Esperanza Gracia had been explaining the horoscope to the Spanish for three decades. Its closure illustrates a deeper change

how the hell to census 1.4 billion people

It doesn’t matter what you do, what sector you work in or the number of people you are in charge of. Your tasks will hardly be as complicated as the one the Government of India has just faced: censusing 1.4 billion people, more than triple of the population of the European Union. The mission is so titanic that it will require more than three million of technicians, a whole legion of censors who will visit around 640,000 villages and almost 10,000 towns and cities. The task is difficult, but it is key if New Delhi wants an updated ‘photo’ of the country that allows it to make decisions adapted to its economy and population. One census to rule them all. India is not just any country. In 2023 the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) estimated which had become the most populous nation on the planet, surpassing China. According to their calculations, that same year the (new) Asian giant far exceeded the 1.4 billion of inhabitants, almost three million more than the country led by Xi Jinping. Now New Delhi has proposed to go further and know in detail how that population is distributed. multiply by 3.1 the EU-wide registry. As? Creating him who, according to some analystswill be the most ambitious census of its kind. One figure: three million. Census of 1.4 billion people is imposing, but that is only one of the many figures that give an idea of ​​how enormous the task will be. There are others just as impressive. For example, a few days ago The New York Times needed that shaping the census will require an investment of around 1.2 billion dollars and mobilizing more than three million technicians. The vast majority will be civil servants and teachers. Such a legion of censors will have to travel from top to bottom of the most populous country in the world. To be more precise, it will be dedicated to covering 36 states and territories, 7,000 subdistricts, more than 9,700 cities and 640,000 villages And how will they do it? The million dollar question. Or rather, the 1.4 billion. It is known that from the outset the Government wants to divide the work into two phases. The first one started this month and will last until September, six months during which the technicians will dedicate themselves to preparing a complete list of homes and inhabitants. Its mission will be to record the size and characteristics of the households and whether, for example, they have access to services such as internet or sanitation. The second phase will start in 2027 and will focus on individuals. It will then be when the censors collect data from each person, documenting names, sexes, ages, marital status or educational and salary level, religion or other characteristics, such as whether they have migrated or have some degree of disability. The work is enormous, but the officials will have a new tool: an app that will make their work doubly easier. Not only will it save them from handling printed paper forms. Citizens themselves will be able to use it to provide their data. Then the censors will only have to check them. Is it something new? No. This is not (far from it) the first census carried out by the Indian authorities. The country has updated its records every 10 years since 1881, when it was still under British rule. I had previously done a try with a questionnaire that would allow you to collect basic indicators. Since then the census has been varying, adding and losing items depending on the concerns of each moment. For example, in 1901 the technicians added a section that sought to clarify what English proficiency existed in the country. A pending task. That tradition sustained since 1881 broke in 2021when COVID prevented updating the 2011 registry. Since then the task has been postponed for different reasons until reaching April 2026. Just because technicians have already started collecting data does not mean that we will know their conclusions soon. CNN precise that the final count will not be made public until next year. Only in the first phase, people who participate in the census must answer just over 30 questions. Why is it important? That the Indian Government is willing to deploy resources, hours of work and millions of dollars to improve its census is no coincidence. The State needs an updated ‘photo’ for such basic issues as designing policies and offering specific services and programs aimed at employment or rural areas. Right now the most detailed image you have is from 15 years agowhich has forced the authorities to use sampling. “This census is crucial: it is the definitive snapshot of India, capturing everything from caste and religion to jobs, education and services. It offers the most complete picture of how people live,” explains to the BBC Ashwini Deshpande, from Ashoka University. His comment slips a couple of keys: the census will not only update the rural, urban and peri-urban map, it will also help decide what parliamentary representation each territory should have and will give an idea of ​​the caste system, one of the points most controversial of the study. Image | Neelakshi Singh (Unsplash) In Xataka | China knows that its population is going to collapse but it already has a long-term plan to solve it. Of course, thanks to AI

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