is that its creators do not know how it acquires emerging capabilities

A surprising idea is circulating among engineers who are dedicated to artificial intelligence (IA), and that sounds almost like a confession. It was raised by Dario Amodei, the CEO of Anthropic, in a essay published in April 2025 in which he acknowledged that not even his team fully understands how your AI models work. It is not an occurrence, although it may seem pure marketing. Deep down he is the CEO of one of the AI ​​companies most valuable in the world admitting in writing that his team doesn’t have the inner workings of their own product down pat. Most tellingly, Amodei is not alone. Geoffrey Hinton, award Nobel Prize in Physics in 2024 and one of the figures who has made deep learning possible as we know it, He said essentially the same thing. In other words: he only provided the learning algorithm; What happens next inside the machine is understood by no one, not even its creator. And Chris Olah, co-founder of Anthropic and head of its interpretability team, has been describing neural networks like a scaffolding on which the circuits grow on their own, without anyone having designed them directly. It is important that we keep in mind that we are dealing with three radically different profiles: a CEO with obvious commercial interests, an academic retired from industry, and a researcher who literally lives inside this problem. Even so, all three converge on the same idea, which also has a technical name: emergent capabilities, which are nothing more than abilities that the model did not have on a smaller scale and that appear suddenly when the size increases, without anyone having programmed them or seeing them coming. Scientific warning or sales pitch? This suspicion is reasonable and we are interested in stating it bluntly. Anthropic has built much of its brand identity around security and interpretability, versus competition, such as OpenAI or Google DeepMind, that prioritize rapid deployment. That its CEO publishes an alarmist essay about how little we understand about AI, when this company has been selling us for years the promise of being very careful with its models, fits perfectly with a commercial story: the more mysterious and powerful the creature seems, the more valuable the company that claims to be taming it is. Geoffrey Hinton left Google in 2023 precisely so he could speak without the ties of a corporate salary However, this reading begins to break down as soon as it is applied to Hinton. This scientist left Google in 2023 precisely to be able to speak without the ties of a corporate salary, he does not earn money from any generative AI company and his public discourse is systematically more pessimistic than any executive in the sector. You don’t have any products you need to sell or any funding rounds you need to justify. If this were only marketingit would be a marketing that does not benefit anyone specifically, least of all him. On the other hand, we should not overlook the work of Chris Olah, whose contribution does not consist of making statements: it consists of publishing scientific articles. The induction loops, the learning leaps that suddenly appear during training, the millions of monosemantic features extracted from Claude 3 Sonnet: This is all technical evidence accumulated over years, not a loose phrase in an interview. When Olah describes the inside of a model as arrays of billions of numbers from which we don’t fully understand how cognitive tasks emerge, he’s not selling anything. He is describing, with obvious frustration, the real state of a field that he co-founded. For this reason, the most plausible explanation is not the conspiratorial one, but the more uncomfortable of the two: it is probably true. The people who are building the most powerful AI models in the world appear to have no precise map of how and why those systems acquire capabilities for which no one explicitly designed them. This simply means that the convergence of an executive with incentives to exaggerate the alarm, an academic without any commercial incentives, and a researcher who has spent a decade documenting it empirically points less to an orchestrated campaign and more to an uncomfortable consensus within the field itself. The question that remains in the air, then, is not whether they are selling us smoke. It’s what happens when we continue to scale systems whose interior we still cannot fully explain, while the entire industry admits, almost in unison, that run faster than you understand. Image | TechCrunch | Arthur Petron (processed with ChatGPT) In Xataka | The two invisible settings that decide whether your AI is right or wrong In Xataka | “We are already at the AI ​​singularity”: Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI

China is producing fighter jets beyond its capabilities

Washington is facing two dilemmas right now. The first: during the Cold War it produced hundreds of planes of combat per year, with factories capable of maintaining industrial rhythms typical of a war economy. Today, those production levels are the exception rather than the norm. The second dilemma It’s called China. A structural problem. The United States faces a growing challenge in its combat aviation. The reason: its fighter fleet has been reduced more than 60% since the end of the Cold War and many of its aircraft have decades of accumulated service. There is no doubt, although it remains a dominant air power, the combination of aging, operational wear and global demand is leaving to the system to the limitin the red and with a force that no longer has enough margin to respond to multiple simultaneous conflicts. China and another scale. But the real problem is not only internal, but comparative: because Beijing is producing fighters at a rhythm that clearly exceeds current American capability. With massive industrial expansion and projections of up to 300 planes a year Before the decade is out, Beijing is not only closing the gap, it is threatening with overcoming it both in volume and modernization, altering the global balance of air power for the first time in decades. The F-35, insufficient pillar. The F-35 is the centerpiece of American air strategy, and not only as a fighter, but also as an information node capable of coordinating complex operations in real time. However, its importance also exposes the core problem: there are too much dependency of a platform that is not being produced in sufficient quantities, which limits its strategic impact despite its technological superiority. He can’t keep up. Under this scenario, while China doesn’t stop acceleratingthe United States maintains a rather irregular and insufficientwell below the minimum necessary to maintain the size of its fleet. Annual purchases do not compensate for retirements of older aircraft, which progressively reduces operational capacity and generates gaps in key strategic areas, showing that the problem is not technological, but industrial and budgetary. Modern warfare requires more than technology. Recent conflicts have demonstrated that air superiority does not depend solely on having better aircraft, but on have enough. The ability to sustain operations, cover multiple theaters and absorb losses is as important as the quality of the system, and in this area the United States is beginning to fall behind a rival that is betting by the scale. The strategic decision for 10 years. In short, the global air balance is entering a different and critical phase in which the historical advantage of the United States is no longer guaranteed. In fact, if production is not accelerated, the industry stabilized and the fleet reinforced with more F-35s and other systems on the way, the country risks losing its deterrence capacity. against China. In other words, the question is no longer whether the F-35 is sufficient as a platform, but whether there will be enough F-35s to sustain that superiority. Image | US Air Force, LG Images In Xataka | The US has just achieved the “holy grail” of air combat: an F-35 not only detects the enemy, but also gets rid of it on its own. In Xataka | Europe has asked its military experts how to become independent from the US for the next war. The answer is déjà vu: the F-35

an amphibious assault ship to revolutionize its naval capabilities

On September 3, Beijing was transformed into a catwalk. Not focused on fashion, but on weapons. In one of the most impressive military parades in memory, the Asian giant celebrated the 80th anniversary of Japan’s defeat in the Second World War with an unprecedented deployment of weapons. Was some things that were savedand that’s where it comes into play his naval strategy. Because he famous Fujian It is not the only new generation ship from China. They have another known as the Type 076 which is already doing tests. And it represents an unprecedented technological leap in the Chinese naval industry. Type 076 Sichuan. If ‘Type 076’ is the class, ‘Sichuan’ is the name they have given to the country’s 51st hull. It is the first ship of this class that, on November 16, completed his first tests of sea after setting sail from the Shanghai shipyard. We have told it on several occasions: the Type 076 impresses with its scale. It is a ship that displaces about 40,000 tons, has a length of about 260 meters, a beam of between 45 and 52 meters and has a deck of about 13,500 square meters, just over two football fields. Those dimensions are considerably larger than those of its predecessor and comparable to the Charles de Gaullethe nuclear aircraft carrier that is the pride of France. Versatility. What stands out most is not its size so that it is not an aircraft carrier: what really stands out is that China has developed a ship that can carry out any type of mission. We are talking about an amphibious assault platform, which implies that it combines traditional landing capabilities with the possibility of performing tasks typical of a light aircraft carrier. That is why its deck is so large: it is designed to house helicopters and fixed-wing aircraft and, in addition, it has a deck prepared to house and deploy both landing craft and amphibious vehicles. Its human capacity is 1,000 marines. Electromagnetic catapult. For years, China depended on old Soviet heritage ships, but if Fujian marked a milestone Being the first aircraft carrier developed in-house, the Type 076 also marks a before and after by having the latest technology that the army has developed. To start, it has a electromagnetic catapult system like the one The United States has developed for your latest generation aircraft carrier and like the one Fujian has. It is a technology that will become the new standard for this type of boat, and the comparison with the Fujian is relevant because the catapult of the Type 076 It is the same length as its older brother: about 100-130 meters. This allows the Type 076 to launch conventional fixed-wing aircraft. Other amphibious assault ships can accommodate aircraft, but these must have systems V/STOL vertical or short takeoff. The new Chinese ship does not have this limitation. and electrification. But the catapult is not the only new thing: the propulsion system is fully electric. This is the first for the People’s Liberation Army Navy and the system combines two 21 MW gas turbines with six 6 MW diesel generators. Altogether, it provides about 78 MW of total power. The electrical system is responsible for powering the motors and propulsion, with a rapid delivery of energy, but it is also responsible for the high-power “pulses” such as those needed by the electromagnetic catapult. The use of this gas turbine system offers considerable advantages compared to traditional diesel, such as faster starting, the aforementioned power delivery, a reduction in vibrations, more flexibility and a lower underwater acoustic signature. Fujian deck Armament. Regardless of their transport capacity, assault ships have integrated defenses. It is not so much about carrying out attacks, but rather preventing it from being sunk, for which it has: Three surface-to-air missile launchers short range to intercept aircraft. Three Type 1130 systems with 11 30 mm cannons which provide defense against missiles and low-altitude aircraft. Four decoy launchers which consist of 24 tubes capable of deploying flares and other elements to confuse radars. Sensors similar to those installed in Fujian. These are, as we say, defensive elements, so the Sichuan will continue to depend on auxiliary ships for long-range attacks. But as we are seeing, and at an accelerated pace, it is not a problem for today’s China. Add and continue. During their three-day mission, operators tested the ship’s propulsion system, electrical systems and other key aspects that, according to reportsmet the expected standards. As we say, it is a milestone in Chinese naval modernization by merging traditional amphibious transport and aircraft carrier capabilities. It is like a category in itself and one more example that China is very serious about its maritime conquest. They are giving leaps and bounds in modernizing and expanding its fleetwith three aircraft carriers under its belt and a fourth that is estimated to have nuclear propulsion, as well as ships of other categories that fulfill two missions. On the one hand, that of national protection, but on the other, it is one more message in a territorial dispute scenario in it South and East China Sea that not only has Taiwan in its sights: also islands of Japan that China considers its property. And, of course, Japan is also responding accordingly in what has become an escalation of tension that the other giant of the seas does not want to miss: the United States. Image | 中国新闻社CHINESE MINISTRY OF NATIONAL DEFENSE In Xataka | The plan of one hundred million dead: this is how Japan intended to resist in World War II

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