the challenge of finding 500 billion dollars for the largest AI project

He Project Stargate announcement This week was surprising for many things, but above all it was surprising for one: the 500,000 million dollars that will theoretically be invested in the next four years to achieve its objectives. The figure, absolutely colossalhas generated many suspicions. And rightly so. 100,000 million to start. Of that total figure, the announcement made it clear that the companies that provided the capital would invest “100 billion dollars immediately,” but even that does not seem easily achievable. SoftBank and OpenAI, those who will invest the most. In The Information reveal that SoftBank and OpenAI will contribute $19 billion each for the Stargate project. Bloomberg duck that both will also be the ones that will have the most participation in the final company: each will have a 40% participation. Musk attacks, Altman defends himself. The announcement of the project provoked a quick reaction from Elon Musk, who stated in X that “Actually they (the companies involved) do not have the money). He later added that “SoftBank has less than $10 billion guaranteed. I have good sources.” Sam Altman responded to those allegations hours later indicating that the data that Musk provided was “Incorrect, as you probably know.” Musk and xAI compete with OpeenAI and maintain a long rivalry, but here Altman surprised further telling Musk that “I truly respect what you have accomplished and believe you are the most inspiring entrepreneur of our era.” SoftBank under review. Analyst MG Siegler indicates in your newsletter that SoftBank has about $30 billion in cash. It seems to have room for that initial investment, but there are other data that work against it. As indicated user David Manheim on X, SoftBank’s investment fund has had notable failures in the past. On Wikipedia you can see how SoftBank Vision Fund lost $27.4 billion in 2022 due to several failed investments led by Masayoshi Son, the CEO of SoftBank. Among them is the investment of 100 million dollars in FTX, which then collapsed. OpenAI burning money. There are also questions about OpenAI’s ability to invest that amount. It is true that it has raised significant sums in the latest investment rounds, but the company is a money burning machine. Arab money and debt as exits. As the aforementioned Siegler article reveals, an important part of that investment may come from the United Arab Emirates through MGX, the investment fund. Another option is to resort to debt, which has already been very common in SoftBank’s investments (they have 150,000 million invested with that formula). Meanwhile, OpenAI looks for other girlfriends (Oracle). The project is also revealing other parallel movements. In The Wall Street Journal They highlight how OpenAI is beginning to look for options for its alliance with Microsoft, something that both have admitted. At OpenAI they complain that Microsoft does not give them the computing power they need, and they seem to be testing alternatives like Google. Perhaps Oracle is also among the candidates, especially now that it will be one of the participants (along with NVIDIA) in the creation of the large data center in Texas. It seems clear that OpenAI wants to not depend so much on Microsoft (or anyone) and Stargate may be a vehicle to achieve this. Image | TechCrunch In Xataka | The money invested in Stargate has a basic problem: there is no clear or agreed plan to reach the AGI

Google invests another $1 billion in Anthropic, according to FT. Having a plan B was never a bad idea

In 2021, several former OpenAI employees decided to set it up on their own. Among them were siblings Daniela and Dario Amodei, who led the founding of Anthropic. Since then, their work at Claude in particular and in artificial intelligence has made them leaders in the sector. So much so that even Google, which has its own AI project, opted for them. And now they have done it again. First investments. In April 2023, with the relatively recent release of ChatGPT, invested 400 million dollars in Anthropic. That number would end up going up up to 2 billion in total at the end of that year, which consolidated the promising commitment to this AI startup. Another 1 billion. As indicated Financial TimesGoogle has invested another $1 billion in Anthropic. The data comes from people related to the movement, and the operation—if confirmed—would allow Google to reinforce its participation in the company. Rival and plan B. Claude is a fantastic AI chatbot that has been gaining popularity in recent months and is now one of the benchmarks, but it rivals Gemini, Google’s model and chatbot. It is a unique situation in which Google has Anthropic as a rival but also as a potential ally if needed. Diversifying is always a good idea. As pointed out in the FT, this operation allows Google to diversify its interests and not put all its eggs in the same basket. And Anthropic expects more financial support. According to this newspaper, Anthropic is about to close a separate investment round of another $2 billion. Lightspeed Venture Partners would participate in it. This round is expected to triple Anthropic’s valuation and place it at around $60 billion. Amazon, even more relevant. Google’s investment is already very relevant, but Amazon is the main protagonist here. The company led by Andy Jassy has invested $8 billion in the startup, and Claude models are expected to end up being an integral part of the future version of Alexa that keeps delaying again and again. They already have gas for one season. These investments will allow Anthropic to continue advancing the development of its AI models. The “Computer Use” function presented at the end of October 2024 showed a future potential full of AI agents to do things for us on the computer, and the firm certainly seems to be heading in the right direction in this area. Image | Xataka In Xataka | Generative AI seems stagnant. Big Tech believes they have an ace up their sleeve: “agents” that do things for us

3.7 billion years ago it still had lakes

The evidence that Mars once had rivers and seas that covered much of its surface with water continues to accumulate. These tests serve, however, more than just to demonstrate what we already know with some certainty, they also help us to know what these seas were like and, perhaps one day, they will tell us the story of their disappearance. New tests. The images captured by the rover Curiosity have made it possible to identify in the Martian rock some geological structures undulating waves similar to those that can be found in the sandy beds of lakes and on beaches on our planet. These structures not only denote the presence of water, they also imply that it was on the surface, at the mercy of the winds of Mars. The ripples. These geological marks were found in two places and, according to estimates, they were formed about 3.7 billion years ago. This detail is important since, as the team responsible for its discovery emphasizes, it implies that the surface water of the red planet lasted longer than some estimates calculate. That is, they extend the period in which Mars was partially covered by water. The ripples observed by Curiosity are tiny: about six millimeters high, and separated by intervals of between four and five centimeters. From these data, the team estimates that these were formed on the floor of a shallow lake, about two meters deep. Uncovered. Another important detail that these marks reveal to us is that the water in these lakes was liquid on the surface, that is, it was not covered by a layer of ice, since it would be the result of the action of the wind. This also contradicts some of the climate models applied to the Martian climate of the time. “The shape of the waves could only have been formed under water open to the atmosphere and affected by the wind,” stated in a press release Claire Mondro, co-author of the study. Modeling the undulations. The team analyzed the Curiosity observations and simulated through computer models the conditions that gave rise to these marks on the rock. Thus they were able to estimate an average wavelength of about 4.5 centimeters and the estimated depth of the body of water in which they formed. Details of the analysis were published in an article in the magazine Science Advances. Curiosity. He rover Curiosity has been 12 years of activity on the surface of Mars, where it has already traveled tens of kilometers. Perseverance’s older brother arrived in Gale Crater in mid-2012 as the spearhead of the Mars Science Laboratory mission. In Xataka | The space dream was to spend billions of euros to go to Mars to end up eating crickets Image | NASA/JPL-Caltech

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