If it seemed to us that time was driving crazy, we now have a new phenomenon: “The ghost girl”

We have spent months Waiting for the arrival of the girl. Countries, agencies and universities have dedicated hours and hours to try to find out how to prepare for what was coming and the truth is that there was not necessary to prepare too much: the girl is being very weak and moderate.

Good show of this is that, despite being the great refrigerator of the world, January has been the warmest January of registration.

Is it strange? It is not unheard of, of course; But it is not normal. In fact, the NOA “He has expressed his surprise Seeing a strong atmospheric component of the girl without the corresponding colder surface temperature than the average of the tropical Pacific. “

We could say that the phenomenon has been playing with us for weeks. It is as if it were, but without being completely.

What will happen to the girl? As Martín León explains“The average of the dynamic IRI model and several models of the Multi-Model set of North America predict an earlier transition to enso-neutral in January-March of 2025”. A priori, the most likely scan is this, but “There is a 41% probability that Emerge Emerge Emerge in this season.”

This means that, in aggregate terms, it is expected that “the girls of the girl persist in the short term, with a probable transition to enso-neutral during March-May of 2025 (66% probability).”

And then? The international climate community is nervous because we must not forget that the 2023-2024 child was The fifth strongest Since we have records and the fact that the girl is so soft raises many doubts: is it that the Enso is moving towards a structure much warmer What is accustomed to us?

It is not clear and is more than a fear than a prediction. But it is clear that what are good news (Few impacts due to a weak girl) It is becoming a source of uncertainty. No one knows if we will end the year in another the child, but the possibility is on the table.

Image | NOAA

In Xataka | The boy has not yet left and meteorologists are already preparing for the girl: thus influences our climate