In 1999, during the Kosovo wara single American stealth bomber was able to traverse one of the most defended airspaces in Europe and attack strategic targets without being detected until after impact. Since then, every time one of these devices takes off for a real mission, experts assume that the target is not so much on the surface, but hidden where almost nothing else can reach it.
A conflict over missiles. The war between United States, Israel and Iran has entered a phase in which the prominence is not given to fighters or frigates, but to long-range projectiles. Tehran has one of the largest ballistic arsenals from the Middle East, with thousands of missiles capable of reaching Israel and a good part of the Gulf, in addition to drones and cruise missiles that complement its offensive capacity.
Although it lacks modern aviation and its air defenses have been weakened, its missile muscle It compensates for these shortcomings and has become the axis of its response strategy. This dynamic fits into what many analysts describe as a “war of salvos”where the objective is not to conquer territory, but to neutralize the volume of fire of the adversary before it manages to overwhelm one’s own defenses.
The underground cities. To protect that arsenal, Iran has for years built underground complexes excavated in mountains at great depth, authentic missile cities capable of storing, protecting and in some cases launching projectiles directly from the inside. These facilities, scattered throughout the country and even located hundreds of meters underground, house models such as the Shahab-3he Sejil or the Khorramshahrwith ranges of up to 2,000 kilometers.
Their compartmentalized tunnelsreinforced entrances and hidden launch systems are designed to resist conventional bombing and preserve firing capability even under attack. That is, as long as these bases remain operational, Iran retains the possibility of maintaining the exchange of salvos and maintaining pressure on Israel and US bases in the region.
The arrival of the B-2s. The entry into combat of stealth bombers B-2 Spirit changes the nature of the air campaign. These platforms, capable of flying from the US mainland and penetrating contested airspace thanks to their low detectability, are designed to attack targets that no other aircraft can destroy with the same probability of success.
Its ability to transport multiple penetration bombsincluding specialized ammunition against bunkers, makes them ideal tools for hitting buried infrastructure. Therefore, the arrival of the B-2s can only mean that the systematic search for Tehran’s greatest threat, those cities underground filled with missiles. It is not about punishing visible targets, but about disabling the core that sustains Iran’s missile capacity.
Seal instead of raze. They counted the TWZ analysts that completely destroying these enclaves would be extremely complex for Washington due to their compartmentalized design, but there is another way: seal their access and neutralize their launching points. Collapsing entrances, disabling openings in the ceiling where missiles are fired, or destroying internal ramps can turn these bases into useless traps.
From the air, this requires precision, detailed intelligence, and munitions capable of penetrating rock and concrete before detonating. That is where the figure of the B-2 appears, which with its combination of stealth and massive load of guided and penetrating bombs aims to be the appropriate instrument for the task.
Between intelligence and resistance. If you will also, the success of this phase will possibly depend less on the volume of bombs dropped and more on the quality of the information. Accurately locating entrances, galleries and drop zones requires real-time intelligence and constant surveillance to prevent Iranian forces from reopening damaged access points.
While some facilities already show signs of collapse in satellite images, Tehran’s ability to keep firing indicates that part of its underground network remains intact. The war has moved underground: the outcome will depend on whether stealth bombers manage to turn those missile cities into sealed caverns or whether Iran manages to keep the heart of its arsenal open long enough to sustain the all-out war.
Image | Kate T., Planet Lab
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