The Iranian nuclear program has only delayed a few months

If the images do not lie, and everything indicates that They do notin the days before the American air operation against Iran’s nuclear facilities, the satellite captured and revealed unusual movements in the Fordow uranium enrichment complex, one of the three objectives of The hammer operation. Not just that. The United States has just been part of the victorious proclamation with A report which puts the result of the mission in serious.

Anticipation. According to him Visual analysis Of the photographs taken by Maxar Technologies between June 19 and 20, a series of cargo trucks, bulldozers and heavy machinery were positioned in accesses to the main tunnel of the underground complex. The registered activity suggests deliberate work in the entrances with land.

In other words, snapshots indicate that they will go He sealted clearly The accesses to its underground nuclear installation of Fordow days before US bombings, suggesting that I was looking to protect her of possible Israeli terrestrial incursions.

Implications Although the United States claims to have destroyed key capabilities, Analysts held until yesterday that the previous seal, together with the possibility that nuclear material has been dispersed, raised doubts about the real impact of the attack. In addition, the Blocked inputs They hinder the evaluation of damage, and there are indications of other non -inspected nuclear facilities, which feed the uncertainty about the future of the Iranian atomic program.

The report. Plus: In the last hours triumphalism in the White House has given way to silence. The attack labeled as a devastating military operation that “volatilized” Tehran’s nuclear capacity has encountered A report of the defense intelligence agency (day) that directly contradicts that narrative, estimating that the bombings have barely delayed the Iranian nuclear program by less than six months.

This preliminary evaluation, released by means Like CNN or the New York Timeshas triggered a hard cross between intelligence agencies, the Pentagon, the presidency of the United States and both national and international political leaders, opening a new front of dispute over the veracity, utility and legitimacy of the aerial offensive.

Narrative in front of evaluation. According to the daymultiple bombardment with B-2 and missile He failed to destroy Iranian nuclear infrastructure definitively. This conclusion reinforces the Previous statement of American intelligence agencies, which argued that Iran were not at that time building a nuclear bomb.

However, Trump has rejected both valuations and the new leaks, qualifying them of “fake news” disseminated by the media and reaffirming that the whites were “completely destroyed.” The President published in Truth Social that the operation was “one of the most successful in military history” and that any dissonant voice was nothing more than a maneuver to “undermine” its leadership.

Rows closure. The Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, back The presidential position. Alleged that fourteen 13,000 kg pumps Employees impacted with surgical precision on all objectives and that the effects were “buried under mountains of debris.” He also described as malicious The leaks of the Dia Report and defended that the attack “annihilated Iran’s ability to create nuclear weapons.”

In line, the White House spokeswoman, Karoline Leavitt, He dismissed validity From the filtered report, he attacked his alleged author as “a low -level loser within the intelligence community” and emphasized that the bombing results were “a total obliteration.” Despite these statements, the government postponed without explanation Detailed the informative session classified in Congress that had to analyze the results of the attack, which further ignited criticism.

International reactions. From Tehran, Iranian President Masoud fishshkian minimized the impact Of the bombings, ensuring that “the aggressor enemy failed in his goal of destroying facilities, reducing nuclear knowledge or causing social instability.” Also He affirmed thatdespite the human losses suffered during the twelve days of war with Israel, the damage caused to the counterpart was “beyond the imaginable.”

This statement challenges frontally Trump’s statements and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who backed the US version without reservations. Netanyahu said that joint bombing campaigns had taken the Iranian nuclear program “to ruin” and warned that they would replicate the offensive if Tehran tries to rebuild it.

Perception vs real scope. The Financial Times counted That, in strategic terms, the operation does not seem to have reached the structural deterrent effect proclaimed by the Trump administration. The intelligence report suggests that damaged infrastructure may be repaired or replacedand that the offensive has only produced a limited tactical interruption over time. In addition, the American political reaction reflects deep divisions among those who see in the attack a act of firmness in front of Tehran and those who fear that more than one propaganda maneuver has been treated than of military action with lasting effects.

Plus: The fact that Iran’s scientific and technical complexes have not been permanently neutralized by doubt the Effectiveness of bombing As a deterrent mechanism and leaves the door open to a new phase of the nuclear conflict.

Limited impact. So things, so much Satellite images like him Intelligence report They suppose a jug of cold water for the rhetoric of the operation, conceived as a demonstration of strength and resolution, but that over the days has become a marked episode by internal tensionsstrategic and narrative doubts.

While the bombing evidenced the American capacity To hit deeply protected facilities, it doesn’t seem like there eradicated the threat Potential represented by the Iranian nuclear program. The controversy generated not only weakens the communicative position of the Trump administration, but also reveals the growing distance between political rhetoric and Technical valuations In international security issues.

If you want also, the story of the Hammer operation It is a faithful reflection of a conflict that, far from having resolved, could now enter an even more complex and volatile phase.

Image | Maxar

In Xataka | No one has seen Israel’s atomic arsenal. And that is because Israel has an infallible trick: it appears that it does not exist

In Xataka | Ukraine was the anticipation of what Israel has done: war is no longer a thing of fighters or missiles, but something much cheaper