All those who thought that the rains of March were A kind of Vogone curseit seems they were right. In fact, I don’t know if it is worth continuing to call them “March rains” because, despite appearances, the rain has not left anywhere. I was taking a breath.
But we have a dorsal on top! It’s true. These days, it has entered A gigantic anticyclonic dorsal of subtropical origin that is not only very warm and very stable, but will cross the Peninsula and will continue to the north until it almost arrives in Iceland.
And we will notice. Because, As Aemet already pointed out In his forecast for this week is that “it will be warmer than normal throughout the country, especially in the peninsular northwest.”
However, it is not a normal dorsal. As Ángel Rivero explainedthis dorsal has a characteristic “finger” form (it is very elongated, but very narrow). That exposes the Peninsula below Danas and Borrascas Frías, both for the East and West.
The problem is that this type of structures (very rare before, but from 2020 more and more frequent) are characterized by An extremely winding polar jet With air bags, ripping continuously. And, as we know, those airbags have a very erratic behavior: they are very difficult to pursue.
And the first example comes Wednesday. The European model draws two cold storms one between the Canary Islands and the Azores (Olivier) and the other in the Gulf of Lion. As Collect Sergio Escaama in Meteoredboth storms go to Cerner on the Peninsula and will cause rains both in the northeast and in the southwest.
If the scenarios are right, both storms would merge into a About the Gulf of Cádiz creating a fairly complex situation. Although we cannot determine the intensity and the trajectory, we do know that we must monitor it closely.
From the middle of the week, we can expect rains in many areas of the country.
And in Holy Week? As we are experiencing in our own flesh, the country’s meteorological context is complex. We are living a spring full of thermal ups and downs and huge rains. Thus, it is difficult to know what is going to
What yes We can discard it is a persistent scenario of stability. If it does not rain on the key days of next week it will be by chance and not because it must necessarily be so.
As I explainedduring the next few days we will have to be aware of the Azores anticyclone. Because if as it seems, zonal circulation is restored, everything will depend on whether the anticyclone lets go storms or not.
Image | WXCHARTS
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