Gabrielle is at the doors

He Hurricane Gabrielle It has become what the NHC (National Hurricane Center), the US agency dedicated to the surveillance of tropical storms, calls a post-tropical cyclone. Right now the storm The Azores Archipelago crossesbut the models indicate that their arrival to the continent will be through the Iberian Peninsula.

Any Sunday. Meteorological forecasts indicate that former Gabrielle The Peninsula will arrive on Sundaytouching land in Portugal. Of course, its effects could begin to notice hours before this arrival, even during the Saturday afternoon.

As explained by the State Meteorology Agency (Aemet), Gabrielle will already become an extropest storm. For now, uncertainty prevails regarding how the arrival of the storm will be, but we can expect instability to affect a good part of the Southwest Peninsular during the weekend.

Gabrielle’s itinerary. Gabrielle began his journey as a tropical storm in the central area of ​​the Atlantic and took northwest direction until he approached Bermuda. Before reaching the archipelago, the storm intensified until reaching the hurricane category, and then Make a turn of about 90º and put towards the northwest and then in the direction of the Peninsula.

The models indicate that Gabrielle’s most likely route will take the storm to touch the ground near Lisbon During the early hours of Sunday. The route would continue to head southeast, in the direction of the Gulf of Cádiz.

“High uncertainty. ” As Aemet points out, there is a “high uncertainty” not only with respect to the trace of the storm, also with respect to its possible evolution. The agency for now has issued some yellow notices by risk of rains in Western Andalusia, where accumulated 30 mm are expected in six hours. You can expect the notices to change as the information will be more accurate.

What they tell us Aemet’s forecasts We can expect abundant cloudiness. The agency indicates that the possibility of rainfall during Sunday will extend throughout practically the entire territory, although it is in the southwest (also in the Cantabrian and part of the Mediterranean coast) where they are more likely.

With respect to the winds, large gales are not expected for now due to the weakening of the cyclone. Aemet speaks of “moderate winds in the northwest coastlines, with intervals of strong and Possible very strong gustsoccasionally moderate in the Gulf of Cádiz, Balearic Islands and areas of the Peninsular Northwest Third ”.

Behind Gabrielle, Humberto. While we leave doubts about what Gabrielle will hold, the tropical storm Humberto could take a similar route. For now this formation advances west through the waters of the Atlantic. However, forecasts indicate that the storm will turn north before touching land in North America.

This could put Humberto on the course of the east towards the second half of next week. There is still much for it for what we will have to wait to know the evolution of this potential hurricane and the real possibilities that their remnants reach us as those of Gabrielle are.

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Image | ECMWF