Summer begins its “normalization” this weekend

The first half of this summer has been intense: from the heat we live in the last days of May to the last warm episode that It ends todaypassing of course through the heat wave of June that served to beat numerous temperature records. The heat has been the main protagonist but will it continue to be in this second half?

Normalization, in part. The first clues seem to indicate that the second half of the summer will not be as hot as the first. This does not imply that we will see a second half of the whole normal, but perhaps less anomalous.

Aemet prediction. The State Meteorology Agency, Aemet, has published Your prediction For the next few weeks and gives a certain place to hope since the thermal anomalies we see on their maps are of less degree than we were accustomed.

In these maps they even draw negative thermal anomalies, that is, in some areas it is expected Something less heat of what would correspond to these dates. The prediction indicates, of course, a somewhat drier time than would be common in these weeks.

Returning to the average? We can see this cooling as a mere regression to the average, although that would lead us to ask ourselves, what average? Temperatures seem aimed at descending but temperatures remain, in general, warmer than the averages of the temporal series indicate. We may be returning to an average, but not the historical one but that of recent years.

“Let’s not fool ourselves. Although we see that atmospheric dynamics in the Iberian Peninsula has some more variability than a few weeks ago, the atmosphere is not” resetting ‘” I pointed a few days ago in Twitter The physicist, disseminator and researcher in Aemet, German JJ. “The temperature in the low troposphere continues (and will continue) being above the average very persistently,” he added.

Of course. Aemet’s report indicates that the week of 21 to 27 will be colder than normal in large part of the northern peninsula, although positive thermal anomalies can also be seen in the southern zone, especially in the southwest.

It is therefore expected that next week is an extension of What we are seeing From today, when the timing For the Atlantic it has brought an important thermal relief with respect to what we had seen these previous days, in which the 40º were reached in different areas of the Peninsula and the Canary Islands archipelago.

August, a warm beginning. The predictions The agency for the following weeks indicate the return of temperatures that will range between the “normal” and the warmest of the usual. The week of transition between July and August will run without significant anomalies in the Mediterranean slope but it will be something warmer than usual in the rest of the country, especially in the center and west of the Peninsula.

If the forecasts are completed, the week of August 4 to 10 will be somewhat warmer than usual in almost the entire country, but the appearance of large areas that stand out for their high temperatures beyond the Pyrenees is not planned, although these anomalies would be lower than the 3rd Celsius.

In Xataka | The hydrological bonanza could not be eternal: drought is a real threat after an extremely warm, and also dry June

Image | ECMWF