Many countries already have more mothers between 30 and 39 years than between 20 and 29. With all that implies

On September 5, 2019, a woman named Mangayamma Yaramati went down in history: she had been the mother of twins. The key fact is that I was 73 years old at that time And it was possibly the oldest woman who had given birth. It is an extreme case, but the truth is that the world has been embarked for years in a situation in which every time Less births occurand increasingly.

And these graphics that we can consult in Our World in Data They reflect that reality that is not encouraging.

2012. The tabarra was given a lot with what the world would end in 2012, but what really happened is A change of trend in births: It was when they began to give more births between mothers from 30 to 39 years and when births between mothers aged 20 to 29 years began to fall.

Worldwide, this is significant because there is a good part of the world (especially developing countries) in which the weight of births falls to those women aged 20 to 29, with alarming birth figures between girls from 10 to 19 years. It is those countries that make up a world photo that shows that The birth engine is gripped.

Spain. Let’s focus on Spain for a moment. Although we walk to the record of inhabitants with more than 49 million, this has little to do with more children. In fact, it is thanks to immigration, since The tables Births and vegetative balance show a very unfavorable situation for Spanish demography. And the data is devastating: more children are born of 41 -year -old women than 25.

The change in global trend occurred in 2012, but in Spain we advance a little. If we put the magnifying glass in 2008, we can see the curve between the two age periods we were talking about, increasingly distancing themselves and adding Another age strip to the equation: Women between 40 and 49 years.

In recent years it has stabilized in the three stripes, but in 2008 60.1% of children were born in the strip of 30 to 39 years, 32.6 in the strip of 20 to 29 years and 4.3% in the 40 to 49 years. In 2023, the figures had changed a lot: 63.3%, 24.8%and 10.2%, respectively.

The neighbors are not much better. The European panorama is very similar. If we discriminating between the different countries, we see that the data and curves are very similar to those that we can find in the case of Spain, but if we group Europe, we can see two very clear inflection points.

One in 2014, at which time births by girls from 10 to 19 years decreased and crossed those who occurred in women from 40 to 49 years, who have continued to increase in recent years.

Another, in 2015, when exactly the same happens, but between the descending strip of 20 to 29 years and the ascendant, in a meteorically, segment of births between women aged 30 to 39.

Stable latam, but eye. On the other side of the puddle, in Latin American territory, the situation is very different. It is more aligned with what we see in the world graph, with a strip of births predominant among women aged 20 to 29, but where we can already appreciate a clear increase in births between women aged 30 to 39.

Then, of course, it depends on each country. Mexico is very aligned with that territorial graph, but in Argentinafor a few years the lines of 20-29 years and 30-39 years are approaching dangerously. In Chili There are more mothers from 30 to 39 years and in Colombia The good news is that birth between 10-19 years is falling.

The Asian drama. And the European situation is not encouraging for the generational relay, but if we go to Asia, the graphics are devastating. It is a case of those of “It is better an image than a thousand words”, and then we leave the graphics of China, Japan and the most devastating: South Korea.

China is the one that “saves”, but the two stripes of critical age are getting closer. The government is applying measures of all kinds: Looking for Women by Door, lower the legal age to marry either Finance painless birthsall in order to increase the birth rate. In Japan they are also Applying measures Not only to foster birth, but to attract foreigners who can work in different positions throughout the country. And South Korea is in a demographic winter from which it will be difficult for him to come out.

In the end, it is something that depends a lot on each country, but there are more and more arrows that suggest that, most people They don’t want to have children. Within this, there are economic and conviction reasons that we will see if they are passengers or have come to stay. At the moment, in Europe the demography goes to the idle and the countries that go best … They are still a disaster.

Images | Our World in Data, Jonathan Borba (UNSPLASH)

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