September 1, 2016. SpaceX is available to launch one of its Falcon 9 rockets, loaded with the AMOS-6 satellite. It was not a new procedure, but something went wrong and the rocket exploded on the launch pad, causing great damage to it. May 28, 2026. Blue Origin begins a static firing test of its New Glenn rocket, but it is not completed. The rocket explodesdestroying the launch pad in its wake.
The similarity between both events shows us that catastrophic explosions occur even in the most million-dollar companies. But it also helps us make calculations about what the future of Jeff Bezos’ company could be. The leaders of this have assured that New Glenn will take flight before this year ends. However, comparisons with the SpaceX event show us that this is an overly optimistic calculation.
Former SpaceX engineers say. In Ars Technica They have interviewed several former SpaceX engineers who were active when the 2016 incident occurred. When asked about the work that remains for Blue Origin, they all agree on the same thing. Repairing a launch pad is very complicated and, at best, could take about 12 months to do. More likely, they could extend up to 18 months. Without a launch platform you cannot launch a rocket, so doing so before the end of this year does not seem very likely.
The case of SpaceX. “My AMOS-6 scar started itching when I saw the New Glenn video.” With that phrase, Hans Koenigsmann, who was then vice president of construction and flight reliability at SpaceX, expressed the great similarity between that event and what happened to Blue Origin. In 2016 he led the investigation into the causes that led to the explosion. Therefore, you know very well that this is a slow process. They spent weeks searching for pieces of the rocket in the wetlands near Cape Canaveral. They also searched for fragments of the launch pad. They even used drones and underwater robots to find as many of these pieces as possible. With all that, they were not able to access the launch pad for reconstruction until 4 months had passed.
They were fortunate that they had another platform at Vandenberg Air Force Base. They just had to adapt it a little, but it was ready in 5 months. However, Blue Origin does not have alternatives. He has to rebuild the launch pad that has already been destroyed.
The complexity of launch platforms. Former SpaceX engineers insist that launch pads are complex facilities. They have tall and resistant steel-based launching towers. They also include foundations heavily reinforced with concrete and trenches excavated under the platform to direct and evacuate the gases and flames generated during the launch so that a fire does not break out.
In addition, there is a complex electrical system and pipes that flow from propellants to cooling liquids, through purge gases, water for deluge systems and much more. These pipes, in fact, are the most complicated to fix, according to former Space X engineer Trip Harriss. Repairing all of this takes a long time, which also begins to count once it has been determined what happened during the incident.
The role of NASA. In his statements to Ars TechnicaKoenigsmann has urged Blue Origin to be transparent with NASA at all times. It is not for less. The US space agency is playing a lot with what happened. The two companies that will bear the burden of the moon landing during the Artemis missions will be SpaceX and Blue Origin.
The latter’s lander, Blue Moon, is advancing at a good pace. However, without a rocket New Glenn cannot be carried to its destination. For this reason, NASA has asked Jeff Bezos’ company for explanations from the first moment. However, also have assured that they will support and help the company in everything that is necessary and that, for the moment, They are not looking for alternatives. They are confident that New Glenn will arrive on time.
The positive part. For John Muratore, the former NASA engineer who was going to direct the launch of the Falcon 9 in 2016, everything that has happened to Blue Origin also has a positive side. They took advantage of their own incident to redesign their launch pad and introduce improvements that have served them well in subsequent releases. Therefore, Blue Origin must have hope. But also try to be more consistent with the dates. Experts do not seem to agree that it is feasible to launch in 2026. In any case, the rare company, private or public, actually launches when planned. Optimism can help them.
Image | Blue Origin/SpaceX
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