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Heat is still installed in peninsular Spain. This week a Dana It seems aimed To give us a brief respite but experts anticipate that, as on previous occasions, this will be brief.
An exceptional June. There is a week left for the month of June and experts anticipate the possibility of confirming as the hottest in the historical series. All that despite the appearance of tormentous episodes (some of enough intensity) interspersed between extreme heat days.
For now the most warm June record The 2017 holds it. That year, the average temperature of the first month of the summer was 24.1 Celsius, three degrees above the average for the period 1981-2010 and 0.1º above the previous record, registered in 2003.
That June 2017 was also slightly more humid than it is common for this month, with 3% more rainfall than the average of the period between 1981 and 2010.
A stagnant circulation. According to Experts explain As the physicist, disseminator and researcher at Aemet JJ German, the situation could go worse after this week’s truce. An “stuck” atmospheric circulation would be, at least in part, responsible for this month of June anomalous and hot.
The situation, if it changes, will be worse. According to German, during the next few days “Subtropical Anticyclonic Dorsal” capable of reaching in itself record levels on the Iberian Peninsula.
Meanwhile, under the influence of a Dana. This seems to suggest that the thermal relief caused by the proximity of a Dana will be only temporary. Despite this, the presence of this depression in height implies that we must prepare again for the arrival of instability and rainfall.
During the next few days, they will be in force various yellow warnings issued by the State Meteorology Agency (AEMET) to alert the risk derived from these storms. These notices will coexist with those emitted to warn of heat, will concentrate on the north, especially in the northwestern quadrant of the Peninsula.
In Your forecastthe agency talks about storms and “locally strong” storms in the northern third, with hail and gusts “very strong”. The situation will affect particularly, says Aemet, north of the plateau, Cantabrian mountain range, Pyrenees and the north of the Iberian system.
The risks of a warm summer. Last week, Aemet published its spring analysis and its forecasts for summer. In its presentation, the agency indicated that the first had stood out for high rainfall, while summer could stand out for warmer temperatures.
The succession of a wet spring and a summer of heat implies certain health risks: the appearance of some insect pests have put the health authorities alert to the possibility of the appearance of potential vectors of diseases, such as the Tigre mosquito.
The hot warm summers also tend to imply a greater risk of fire, although in this case, the rainfall of recent months could play in our favor.
Image | ECMWF
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