It was known since 2019 but this 2025 will not be applied. The new broadcasting regulations of the European Union for Tourism is suspended … until 2027 and with nuances. After months of pressures by the manufacturers, European institutions have allowed a forward kick that softens in the background but not in the forms the restrictions on combustion cars.
This is all we have ahead.
Since 2019. It was called European green pact and, in fact, it established more hard emission limits of those established for manufacturers at the moment. Then there was talk of limiting the maximum emissions to 80.8 gr/km of CO2. The most ambitious objective raises zero emissions in every car sold from 2035 with combustion engines.
Why does an electric car have less autonomy than the announcing
Over the years, the limit rose and It ended up setting 93.6 gr/km of CO2. With a strong fine flying over, manufacturers should not be able to pass from this year this emission limits. A barrier imposed until 2029. From then on the figure will be (or should be) of 49.5 gr/km of CO2. And they should only be able to sell neutral cars from 2035.
The fine. It has been the main reason for concern for manufacturers. To calculate it, the average emissions of the car fleet sold were taken into account. This average should not exceed 93.6 gr/km of CO2. If so, the fine could be a thousand millionaire.
Specifically, the manufacturer had to pay 95 euros for each gr/km of CO2 surpassed… for each car sold. That is to say. If the average emissions of the cars sold was 94.6 gr/km of CO2 (+1 gr/km of CO2 above the expected) the manufacturer paid 95 euros per car. If you sold a million cars in Europe, you would have to pay 95 million euros.
This was a real problem for companies such as Volkswagen, Ford, Stellantis, Renault and even Toyota. All these automobile groups, in the first half of 2024, exceeded 100 gr/km of CO2. That multiplied the sanction for each car in a minimum of 665 euros. According to data collected by Motor.esIn Volkswagen, fines were waiting for 1,500 and 4,700 million euros.
And the machinery began to work. Before the imminent abyss, the manufacturers launched the fan. They talked about unrealistic measures and From Acea (Employers of manufacturers in Europe) They pointed out that up to 16,000 million euros were compromised. A strong blow to the finances of some European manufacturers trying to find solutions before the arrival of new Chinese cars that are eating land in the Low and plug -in ranges.
As if that were not enough, they warned what they were coming: more expensive cars. First because the development of the cars was going to be more expensive. Second because lower ranges cars They had it more complicated, then electrify them, They said, destroy the profit margin. And, third, because if they could not sell combustion cars so as not to affect the average emissions they would have to smaller of them at a higher price.
It was already known. Which The European Parliament has voted (With 458 votes in favor, 101 against and 14 abstentions) it was already known. It has been the confirmation of something that was put on the table last March. Then the European Commission has already voted in favor of a FLEXIBILIZATION IN THE REGULATIONS of emissions. A kind of kick to the regulations. Until 2027 they will not have to meet manufacturers, although the matter has some nuances.
What has been approved? A change, as we said, in the form but not in the background. 93.6 gr/km of CO2 are maintained but manufacturers have between 2025 and 2027 to meet. Arrived 2027, an average will be made with the emissions sold since this year. That is, manufacturers will have to compensate for 2025 excesses during the coming years.
A manufacturer will not receive a fine if it passes at 10 gr/km of CO2 this 2025 but in 2026 and 2027 it will have to compensate it. You may choose to reduce emissions in five grams per kilometer below the regulations in 2026 and 2027 or accumulate the excesses of 2025 and 2026 and sell well below those 93.6 gr/km of CO2 last year.
An exit. What options have a manufacturer that does not reach these emission stockings? The simplest to avoid fines is to make a group against Europe with companies that are well below the limit. Which is it? Manufacturers such as Tesla, which obviously have very low emissions by selling exclusive electric cars, or byd that only sells plug -in cars.
This alternative was already considered by 2025. It will be essential for small brands with very little electrification, Like Mazdabut the door opens to that groups like Stellantis, who also contemplated an associationhave time to sell enough plugs to compensate for emissions or, in the worst case, buy less bonds than those raised in 2025.
What do we expect? A gradual increase in the sales of plug -in (hybrid and electric) and an acceleration for 2027. If it is necessary with automation to reduce registered emissions, it will be done with automation. That if the regulations are maintained and nothing changes.
Who wins? The flexibility in the regulations is an oxygen ball for some manufacturers. Renault, for example, is in the middle of the launch of the Renault 5a car that It is working very well and that will allow you to lower emissions. Has put the market on the market Renault 4 And soon he will have a Berlina. Volkswagen, has a way 25,000 euros electric car For the coming months and another of 20,000 euros (although it points to 2027) And the group has reached options to Skoda either Cupra They can give good results.
It is also facing a good Mercedes opportunity that has the car with which They hope to make a leap in the sales volume. Of course, we will have to see if your controversial platform that loads exclusively with 800 volt plugs Do not punish them in excess. Similarly, Toyota has a perfect opportunity before her eyes. Despite selling hybrids, they exceeded the average emissions. Its new electric models and plug -in hybrids They should help them fulfill.
And who loses? Although the normative change It seems good news For Stellantis, Carlos Tavares criticized hard A, at that time, possible change in the regulations, ensuring that he punished those who, like them, had deployed a huge offer of highly electrified cars. Nor are good news for the manufacturers who have best opted for the electric Like Volvo.
And, of course, it is bad news for manufacturers that only exclusive electric cars and plug -in hybrids. Brands like Byd or Tesla They had before them a good opportunity to inject money to their accounts at the expense, in addition, their rivals. Opportunity that is questioned in the future or that, at least, will not be equally good in 2027.
Photo | Volkswagen and Pascal Bullan
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