The synopsis was clear: intense rainfall They were back To the Levante and the southeast of the Peninsula, but they were not going to last too much. However, Aemet It began to point out the possibility that, then, Another storm arrives For the Atlantic.
What has changed in the last hours is that The “extreme traffic lights” just jump: Everything seems to indicate that what is going to arrive is a high impact storm that will bring extremely scrambled time.
What will happen? At the atmospheric level, this storm will be developed this Friday and will begin to enter the west peninsular. On Saturday 8 we will see how a very active front will put all the predictions up. The key will be that, despite not being an atmospheric river, it is true that winds (Ábregos) will have a southern component and will be warmer even if they come loaded with moisture. That will boost storm.
And at a practical level? Three things: bad sea, intense wind and many rainfall. We talk about wind gusts between 50 and 80 kilometers per hour. With hurricane winds in the country’s high areas.
We will also see accumulated “abundant and persistent“With up to 150 liters per square meter throughout the western zone of the Peninsula. In addition, although as a consequence of the temperature rise the snow level will rise, the high areas can receive a good amount.
But we have to talk about something else. Yes, it is true that everything indicates that a high impact storm will come (one that, presumably, will be called Jana), but that is not the big problem. The big problem is that it has been raining many days and the ability of the Earth to absorb water will not be very high.
That means we will see floods and overflows in many zoans of the country. Something that, As Martín León points outit will become even more worrying when the following storms (which can arrive By the blocking anticyclone of northern Europe that is sending it to us) continue to take rain to already wet areas.
And what was that “extreme traffic lights”? It is a way to call EFI (Extreme Forecast Index), the ECMWF model index that measures the rarity of a phenomenon. Well, EFI values for March 8 They will be at maximum And that means that, whatever, this Saturday will be a very adverse day.
Image | ECMWF
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