The snow is back

Between January 8 and 9, 2021, a storm left More than 50 centimeters of snow in Madrid and other cities in the center of the Peninsula. This is how Filomena entered our lives. And, although at that time we did not know, so we It has been accompanying During all these years. We have not had winter without “new filomen” that, in the end, has remained at all.

Now he talks about Snow in Madrid and, as they recognize The meteorologists themselves, there are reasons to remember Filomena.

But, before, a little context. What has been spending the last days? The block anticyclone endure In southern Iceland and that is still good news for Spain. For two reasons: first because it makes Atlantic storms circulate very southern And, second, because with the help of the Azores anticyclone the subtropical wet air is channeled north of the usual. The conjunction of the two things generates things like Jana, the high -impact storm that is already abandoning us.

With Konrad, the thing is going to be a bit different. Konrad is The next high impact storm that will arrive (already cross from north to south) the peninsula between Thursday and Friday.

The central theme is that, as happened with Filomena, a mass of continental arctic air will come from Northeast and will get together with Konrad just above our heads.

Will we see another Filomena then? Unfortunately not. I have started this text by saying that Filomena happened on January 8 and 9. It was not an unimportant historical detail: on the contrary, the fact that this happens in March allows us to have much reliability that we will not find a snowfall of that entity.

But snow will be. To start because Konrad ensures almost generalized rainfall throughout the peninsula and to continue because the polar air mass will lower the snow level to 1200 meters (with some northwest points in 800).

This leads us to think that there will be snow in abundance in almost all entity mountains (Pyrenees, North Iberian, Central System or Sierra Nevada). But also that most high mountain systems will see the snow arrive at their dimensions.

As Samuel Biener explainsright now it only seems likely that snow in six provincial capitals: Segovia, Ávila, Burgos, Cuenca, Teruel or Soria. Everything else, right now, are speculation.

Image | Fausto García-Menndez | ECMWF

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