is that we depend on the Caribbean to correct it

The heat wave It is leaving us very striking figures: yesterday six weather stations recorded temperatures above the 45º Ceslius, with almost a hundred collecting maximums above 42º; Red notices due to extreme risk associated with heat have spread by north and south. The heat wave is about to finish and we do not know what will happen later. To know, meteorologists already look at what happens in the atmosphere, not only in our environment but also in places as far away as the Caribbean.

First twenty. The State Meteorology Agency (Aemet) foresee that the first twenty of August this year is The warmest In historical records. Until now, the year in which the average temperature between August 1 to 20 had reached its maximum value was in 2003, when the average temperature in peninsular Spain first exceeded the 26th.

The agency’s forecasts indicate that this year we will exceed this barrier. It should also be noted that in addition to the 2003 registration, the years with the first twenty of August were the years from 2022 to 2024.

Aemet data indicates an upward trend in temperature for this period: since 2008, only three years have seen records below the average temperatures of the historical series.

Touching the 46º. We pointed at the beginning that temperatures exceeded 45º in various parts of our geography. Among these recordsthat of the Jerez de la Frontera (Cádiz) airport can be highlighted, which yesterday reached 45.8º; considerably above the 45.4º collected in El Granado (Huelva), or the 45.3º of Montor (Huelva).

From tomorrow the situation is expected to improve. An imminent thermal downturn will bring us temperatures that will not only be colder than those we have seen in recent weeks, they will also be cooler than what is usually usual at this point in August.

The least friendly face of this cool will be brought by storms: They are expected accumulated rainfall above 50 mm in large part of the north and east of the Peninsula. Precipitation also seem to dodge the areas most affected by fire during these days.

A brief relief? The meteorological change will be welcome by many, but perhaps it does not last long. The models indicate A new rebound of the temperature during the next few days.

Uncertainty is high and the evolution of the situation will depend on what happens in the atmosphere in the coming days, not only in our environment but also in the North Atlantic. This summer has been marked by a static atmospheric circulation that has allowed the stagnation of warm air masses on the peninsula.

Looking at the Caribbean. That is why meteorologists Look now What happens in places as far away as the Caribbean, where tropical storm Erin continues its progress. This storm is not expected to have a direct impact on our environment, as has happened on some occasions, but its indirect effect could affect us, as explained by the Aemet researcher and German JJ disseminator.

The storm that now advances north of the Antilles will turn, predictably to the north and towards the second half of the week could end up taking a northeast direction, standing in latitudes already close to ours. A storm of these dimensions could condition atmospheric circulation, even if it does not approach the European continent.

In Xataka | Fire have made a new high -risk activity today in Spain: living near the mountain

Image | ECMWF

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